Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 16
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas: result, form and history
Leon and Guadalajara Chivas drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 9 Nov 2026. Guadalajara Chivas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Leon.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Leon
Avg ratingAvg rating
23Ó. García
7I. Moreno
14J. Romaña
3J. José Guevara Possu
5S. Vegas
20R. Echeverría
29J. Rodríguez
6F. Beltrán
13D. Arcila
27D. Cambindo
19J. Alvarado
1J. Rangel
23D. Aguirre
3D. Campillo
7L. Romo
37R. Ledezma
28R. González
6O. Govea
5B. González
25R. Alvarado
10E. Álvarez
30S. SandovalLeon Substitutes
Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes
Match Stats
LeonGuadalajara Chivas Team Comparison
LeonGuadalajara ChivasAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leon- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Guadalajara Chivas- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Leon5Wins · 50%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
19/03/2026Guadalajara ChivasLeon20/07/2025LeonGuadalajara Chivas29/01/2025LeonGuadalajara Chivas19/09/2024Guadalajara ChivasLeon10/03/2024Guadalajara ChivasLeon04/07/2023LeonGuadalajara Chivas16/04/2023LeonGuadalajara Chivas21/07/2022Guadalajara ChivasLeon20/02/2022LeonGuadalajara Chivas19/08/2021Guadalajara ChivasLeonRecent Form
Leon
Cruz AzulLeonLeon
Toluca
Tigres UANLLeonLeon
Club America
PueblaLeonLeon
FC Juarez
Club QueretaroLeonLeon
Atletico San Luis
U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLeonClub AmericaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Atlante FC
MonterreyGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
NecaxaGuadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
AtlasGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasClub AmericaGuadalajara ChivasClub QueretaroClub AmericaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San LuisGuadalajara ChivasReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.75).
Cards come from 63 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leon and Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd and Leon 7th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Leon 23-21, Guadalajara Chivas 26-15. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.