Millwall vs Lincoln Prediction

Millwall
2-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Lincoln
The Den, London·Ruebyn Ricardo 17/10/2026
MillwallMillwall
2-2
Finished
LincolnLincoln

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
53%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Millwall Rest
3 days
Lincoln Rest
2 days

Millwall vs Lincoln: the result in context

Millwall and Lincoln drew 2-2 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ruebyn Ricardo averages 5.03 cards a game, 1.24 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.65
X
26%3.85
2
22%5.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.16
X2
48%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.06 = 2.54
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.82
Over 3.5
30%2.92
Under 1.5
26%3.75
Under 2.5
49%1.98
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.4 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.29
Over 9.5
59%1.51
Over 10.5
48%1.86
Under 8.5
30%3.30
Under 9.5
41%2.40
Under 10.5
52%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.52
Over 4.5
41%2.06
Under 3.5
39%2.47
Under 4.5
59%1.71

Match Events

1'Andrei Coubiș
33'Robert Nicholas StreetAssist: Sonny Bradley
35'Robert Nicholas StreetArgument
35'Tristan CramaFoul
41'F. DraperTime wasting
45'Mark Sykes INLuke Cundle out
45'Filip Marshall INMax Crocombe out
63'Kyrell Lisbie
66'Reeco Hackett-Fairchild INDaniel Oyegoke out
69'Andrei CoubișTime wasting
72'Kyrell LisbieDissent
72'Jenson Metcalfe INRomain Esse out
72'Tristan Crama INRyan Leonard out
80'Adam Reach INRyley Towler out
80'Dom Jefferies INCallum Elder out
80'Kyrell Lisbie INZakariya Lovelace out
82'Jake Cooper
84'Deji Elerewe
86'Zak SturgeFoul
90+1'Callum ElderArgument
90+1'Ryan LeonardArgument
90+2'Camiel NeghliFoul
90+3'F. Draper INMikkel Ladefoged out

Lineups

Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
Lincoln
4-2-3-1Coach: Chris Cohen
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating6.34
F. Marschall5.334F. Marschall
T. Crama5.94T. Crama
C. Taylor6.76C. Taylor
J. Cooper7.85J. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge6.23Z. Norton Sturge
D. Mazou-Sacko6.649D. Mazou-Sacko
Jenson Metcalfe6.014J. Metcalfe
M. Sykes6.117M. Sykes
C. Neghli6.210C. Neghli
K. Lisbie7.622K. Lisbie
L. Dykes6.413L. Dykes
G. Wickens6.51G. Wickens
A. Coubiș6.74A. Coubiș
D. Elerewe5.625D. Elerewe
S. Bradley6.815S. Bradley
A. Reach6.23A. Reach
Y. Konak6.226Y. Konak
I. Varfolomeev6.024I. Varfolomeev
R. Hackett6.47R. Hackett
R. Street7.317R. Street
D. Jefferies6.116D. Jefferies
F. Draper6.634F. Draper

Millwall Substitutes

45A. Doughty
11R. Esse72'for Jenson Metcalfe6.1
18R. Leonard72'for Tristan Crama90+1'5.8
16D. Kelly
12E. Baggott
29Z. Lovelace80'for Kyrell Lisbie6.5
15M. Crocombe45'for Filip Marshall5.7
2J. Osei-Tutu
25L. Cundle45'for Mark Sykes6.4

Lincoln Substitutes

20C. Elder80'for Dom Jefferies90+1'5.9
23J. Honohan
11M. Ladefoged90+3'for F. Draper
27C. Ogbene
19I. Olaofe
33D. Oyegoke66'for Reeco Hackett-Fairchild6.3
6R. Towler80'for Adam Reach6.1
8T. Bayliss
46J. Gauci

Match Stats

MillwallLincoln
70%Ball Possession30%
12Corner Kicks2
6Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box0
7Blocked Shots2
14Fouls10
1Offsides6
1Goalkeeper Saves4
391Total Passes179
294Passes Accurate94
10Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

MillwallMillwall
LincolnLincoln
1654Elo Rating 1694
1.18Attack 1.68
1.53Defense 0.32
17%Hit Rate 27%
12.9Shots per Game 12.5
3.9Shots on Target 3.6
7.7Corners per Game 2.2
2.8Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
LincolnLincoln
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
3W2D5L
13/10/2026
MillwallSwansea
01
L
10/10/2026
PrestonMillwall
01
W
19/09/2026
MillwallWest Ham
22
D
15/09/2026
MiddlesbroughMillwall
22
D
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
L
08/09/2026
MillwallNewcastle
01
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W

Referee Profile

Ruebyn Ricardo29 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.83Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ruebyn Ricardo5.03
Other referees3.79

5.03 cards a match, 1.24 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Millwall vs Lincoln forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Millwall and Lincoln in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Millwall (13th) and Lincoln (15th) are level on 15 points. League goal record so far: Millwall 19-20, Lincoln 13-20. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Millwall and Lincoln have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.