Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction

Liverpool
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Brighton
Anfield, Liverpool·Samuel Barrott 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Liverpool Rest
4 days
Brighton Rest
2 days

Liverpool vs Brighton: the result in context

Liverpool beat Brighton 2-0 in the Premier League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.15
X
26%3.80
2
29%3.15
Double Chance
1X
71%1.34
X2
55%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.45
No
41%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.07 = 2.45
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
56%1.53
Over 3.5
33%2.37
Under 1.5
22%5.04
Under 2.5
44%2.47
Under 3.5
67%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.33
Over 9.5
42%1.64
Over 10.5
31%2.04
Under 8.5
47%2.84
Under 9.5
58%2.16
Under 10.5
69%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.63
Over 4.5
36%2.20
Under 3.5
45%2.25
Under 4.5
64%1.62

Match Events

6'Ferdi Kadıoğlu INCostinha out
17'Pascal GroßOG
21'Alexander IsakAssist: Bradley Barcola
45'Olivier Boscagli INJack Hinshelwood out
45+3'Olivier BoscagliFoul
54'Chema Andrés INMalick Yalcouyé out
65'Florian Wirtz INTreymaurice Nyoni out
73'CostinhaFoul
75'Yasin Ayari INGeorginio Rutter out
77'Bradley Barcola INRio Ngumoha out
77'Alexander Isak INLewis Koumas out
88'Milos Kerkez INKonstantinos Tsimikas out

Lineups

Liverpool
4-2-3-1Coach: Andoni Iraola
Brighton
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Hürzeler
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.33
Alisson Becker6.21A. Becker
R. Araújo6.933R. Araújo
J. Jacquet7.25J. Jacquet
V. van Dijk7.44V. van Dijk
M. Kerkez6.66M. Kerkez
R. Gravenberch6.538R. Gravenberch
A. Mac Allister6.210A. Mac Allister
B. Barcola7.729B. Barcola
F. Wirtz6.57F. Wirtz
C. Gakpo6.618C. Gakpo
A. Isak8.29A. Isak
B. Verbruggen6.81B. Verbruggen
F. Kadıoğlu6.124F. Kadıoğlu
L. Vušković7.144L. Vušković
L. Dunk6.25L. Dunk
O. Boscagli5.821O. Boscagli
P. Groß6.813P. Groß
José María Andrés Baixauli6.714J. María Andrés Baixauli
D. Gómez6.025D. Gómez
Y. Ayari6.326Y. Ayari
M. De Cuyper6.329M. De Cuyper
C. Kostoulas6.219C. Kostoulas

Liverpool Substitutes

73R. Ngumoha77'for Bradley Barcola6.4
25G. Mamardashvili
2J. Gomez
21K. Tsimikas88'for Milos Kerkez7.0
3W. Endo
42T. Nyoni65'for Florian Wirtz6.9
53J. McConnell
14F. Chiesa
67L. Koumas77'for Alexander Isak6.1

Brighton Substitutes

12P. David
15I. Osman
10G. Rutter75'for Yasin Ayari6.5
35M. Yalcouyé54'for Chema Andrés6.6
33M. O'Riley
8J. Hinshelwood45'for Olivier Boscagli5.9
20Costinha6'for Ferdi Kadıoğlu73'5.9
3J. Hadjam
23J. Steele

Match Stats

LiverpoolBrighton
36%Ball Possession64%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal10
10Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots6
13Fouls9
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
324Total Passes576
224Passes Accurate487
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

LiverpoolLiverpool
BrightonBrighton
1938Elo Rating 1952
2.85Attack 2.68
0.88Defense 3.00
83%Hit Rate 73%
19.7Shots per Game 22.3
6.2Shots on Target 6.3
7.3Corners per Game 7.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LiverpoolLiverpool
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BrightonBrighton
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LiverpoolLiverpool5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
BrightonBrighton4Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/03/2026
BrightonLiverpool
21
FA Cup14/02/2026
LiverpoolBrighton
30
Premier League13/12/2025
LiverpoolBrighton
20
Premier League19/05/2025
BrightonLiverpool
32
Premier League02/11/2024
LiverpoolBrighton
21
League Cup30/10/2024
BrightonLiverpool
23
Premier League31/03/2024
LiverpoolBrighton
21
Premier League08/10/2023
BrightonLiverpool
22
FA Cup29/01/2023
BrightonLiverpool
21
Premier League14/01/2023
BrightonLiverpool
30

Referee Profile

Samuel Barrott209 matches

3.59Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Samuel Barrott3.59
Other referees3.85

3.59 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.85).

Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton751123:5+1816WWWWD
4ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
5LiverpoolLiverpool73319:8+112WLWDW
6Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
7BrentfordBrentford724113:8+510LDWDD
8LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
9EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
10IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
11Hull CityHull City72328:7+19LDLDD
12TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
13FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
14NewcastleNewcastle722310:14-48LLWLD
15Manchester UnitedManchester United714210:1007DDDLD
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace72149:17-87LWDLW
17BournemouthBournemouth71339:13-46WLLDD
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton723:516
4ChelseaChelsea817:1513
5LiverpoolLiverpool79:812
6Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
7BrentfordBrentford713:810
8LeedsLeeds79:610
9EvertonEverton88:910
10IpswichIpswich812:1610
11Hull CityHull City78:79
12TottenhamTottenham88:109
13FulhamFulham88:108
14NewcastleNewcastle710:148
15Manchester UnitedManchester United710:107
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace79:177
17BournemouthBournemouth79:136
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Liverpool vs Brighton forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Liverpool and Brighton in the Premier League table

Brighton and Liverpool are close in the Premier League table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Liverpool 9-8, Brighton 23-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Brighton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.