Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction
France · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Marseille vs Le Havre preview: form and head-to-head
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Marseille on 2 wins from their last five and Le Havre on 1. They meet in the Ligue 1 on 25 Oct 2026.
Marseille have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game. Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Marseille
Le HavreAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Marseille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Le Havre- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Marseille6Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
10/05/2026Le HavreMarseille18/10/2025MarseilleLe Havre10/05/2025Le HavreMarseille05/01/2025MarseilleLe Havre19/05/2024Le HavreMarseille08/10/2023MarseilleLe HavreRecent Form
Marseille
Sturm GrazMarseille
AngersMarseilleMarseille
Olympiakos Piraeus
Estac TroyesMarseilleMarseille
Paris Saint Germain
BeşiktaşMarseille
RennesMarseilleMarseille
Paris FC
MonacoMarseilleMarseille
StrasbourgLe HavreLe Havre
Auxerre
LilleLe HavreLe Havre
Boulogne
ToulouseLe HavreLe HavreAngersLe Havre
Stade Brestois 29
LyonLe HavreLe HavreMonaco
Le MansLe Havre
IpswichLe HavreReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.58 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).
Cards come from 260 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 14 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 14 | LDWDW |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 | WWLLL |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 9 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 9 | WDWDL |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 13 |  Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | LWWLD |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 5:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 5:11 | 2 |
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This match
About the Marseille vs Le Havre forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Marseille and Le Havre in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Marseille are 9th and Le Havre 18th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Marseille 14-10, Le Havre 5-11. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.