Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction
England · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: result, form and history
Middlesbrough and Cardiff drew 2-2 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Middlesbrough have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Middlesbrough tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 4.7 for Cardiff.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Middlesbrough
Avg ratingAvg rating
1R. Vítek
2C. Brittain
12L. Ayling
4A. Phillips
30N. Borges
10A. Morris
29A. Malanda
11A. Cozier-Duberry
8R. McGree
9T. Conway
22K. Joseph
1N. Trott
44R. Kpakio
5K. Bielik
4G. Osho
3J. Bagan
18A. Robertson
11O. Tanner
27J. Colwill
45C. Ashford
16C. Willock
8J. MoylanMiddlesbrough Substitutes
Cardiff Substitutes
Match Stats
MiddlesbroughCardiff Team Comparison
MiddlesbroughCardiffAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Middlesbrough- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
Cardiff- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Middlesbrough6Wins · 60%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
04/01/2025MiddlesbroughCardiff31/08/2024CardiffMiddlesbrough27/04/2024CardiffMiddlesbrough03/10/2023MiddlesbroughCardiff11/02/2023CardiffMiddlesbrough13/09/2022MiddlesbroughCardiff27/04/2022MiddlesbroughCardiff23/10/2021CardiffMiddlesbrough27/02/2021MiddlesbroughCardiff24/10/2020CardiffMiddlesbroughRecent Form
Middlesbrough
Stoke CityMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Wolves
BirminghamMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
MillwallMiddlesbrough
Norwich
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
QPRMiddlesbrough
BurnleyMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
West Brom
DoncasterMiddlesbroughCardiffCardiff
Watford
BlackburnCardiffCardiff
Charlton
BoltonCardiffCardiffStoke City
PortsmouthCardiffQPRCardiffCardiff
Sheffield UtdCardiffNorwich
DerbyCardiffReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).
Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 10:25 | 5 |
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About the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Middlesbrough and Cardiff in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Middlesbrough are 1st and Cardiff 16th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Middlesbrough 27-17, Cardiff 19-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cardiff have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.