Parma vs Torino Prediction

Parma
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Torino
Ennio Tardini, Parma·Giovanni Ayroldi 19/10/2026
ParmaParma
0-3
Finished
TorinoTorino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap-7.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Parma Rest
9 days
Torino Rest
7 days

Parma vs Torino: the result in context

Torino beat Parma 3-0 in the Serie A on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Giovanni Ayroldi averages 5.97 cards a game, 1.26 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.30
X
31%3.00
2
37%2.42
Double Chance
1X
63%1.57
X2
68%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.17 = 2.43
Over 1.5
65%1.48
Over 2.5
40%2.45
Over 3.5
17%4.65
Under 1.5
35%2.60
Under 2.5
60%1.55
Under 3.5
83%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.75
Over 9.5
52%2.25
Over 10.5
41%3.04
Under 8.5
37%1.97
Under 9.5
48%1.58
Under 10.5
59%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.59
Over 4.5
44%2.13
Under 3.5
37%2.31
Under 4.5
56%1.66

Match Events

4'Giovanni SimeoneAssist: Rafik Belghali
24'Che Adams
28'Diego CarlosFoul
37'Ardian IsmajliFoul
45'Diego Carlos INDominik Drobnic out
45'Giovanni Fabbian INSimone Lontani out
54'Sascha Britschgi
63'Che Adams INSandro Kulenović out
63'Rolando Mandragora INGvidas Gineitis out
69'Giovanni SimeoneAssist: Rafik Belghali
70'Sascha Britschgi INDjibril Diallo out
70'El Bilal Toure INMatija Frigan out
73'Rafik Belghali INZakaria Aboukhlal out
73'Nikola Vlašić INCesare Casadei out
75'Pietro ComuzzoFoul
80'Adrián Bernabé García INChristian Ordóñez out
82'Goal cancelledMatija Frigan
83'Giovanni Simeone INDuván Zapata out
90+2'Mariano TroiloFoul

Lineups

Parma
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Gilardino
Torino
3-4-1-2Coach: Ignazio Abate
Avg rating6.28
Avg rating7.22
E. Corvi5.240E. Corvi
Diego Carlos6.434D. Carlos
M. Troilo6.537M. Troilo
E. Del Prato6.115E. Del Prato
S. Britschgi5.727S. Britschgi
Adrián Bernabé7.210A. Bernabé
M. Keita6.616M. Keita
E. Valeri6.914E. Valeri
G. Fabbian6.280G. Fabbian
E. Touré6.019E. Touré
D. Romero6.79D. Romero
Lucas Perri8.720L. Perri
Saúl Coco7.223S. Coco
A. Ismajli7.244A. Ismajli
P. Comuzzo7.415P. Comuzzo
R. Belghali8.645R. Belghali
R. Mandragora6.28R. Mandragora
Daniel Bragança7.121D. Bragança
A. Cacciamani6.777A. Cacciamani
N. Vlašić6.610N. Vlašić
G. Simeone9.118G. Simeone
C. Adams7.919C. Adams

Parma Substitutes

8B. Cremaschi
29F. Carboni
30G. Daffara
25T. De Martis
72D. Drobnic45'for Diego Carlos6.3
20M. Frigan70'for El Bilal Toure6.5
22S. Ghidotti
47Abdou Konate
76S. Lontani45'for Giovanni Fabbian6.3
3A. N'Diaye
32C. Ordoñez80'for Adrián Bernabé García5.9
4V. Sierro
70D. Diallo70'for Sascha Britschgi6.0

Torino Substitutes

22C. Casadei73'for Nikola Vlašić6.8
5E. Cömert
28K. Fitz-Jim
66G. Gineitis63'for Rolando Mandragora6.8
17S. Kulenović63'for Che Adams6.4
26D. Mascardi
11G. Oristanio
2N. Patterson
9P. Pellegri
13R. Rodríguez
76L. Siviero
91D. Zapata83'for Giovanni Simeone6.5
3C. Biraghi
7Z. Aboukhlal73'for Rafik Belghali6.6

Match Stats

ParmaTorino
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
25Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
19Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots2
7Fouls16
2Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves8
463Total Passes453
386Passes Accurate375
14Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

ParmaParma
TorinoTorino
1634Elo Rating 1752
0.74Attack 2.05
0.74Defense 1.82
17%Hit Rate 69%
13.0Shots per Game 12.4
4.5Shots on Target 4.3
3.3Corners per Game 3.2
1.5Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ParmaParma
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
TorinoTorino
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

ParmaParma1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
TorinoTorino3Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie A13/03/2026
TorinoParma
41
Serie A29/09/2025
ParmaTorino
21
Serie A08/03/2025
ParmaTorino
22
Serie A05/01/2025
TorinoParma
00
Serie A03/05/2021
TorinoParma
10
Serie A03/01/2021
ParmaTorino
03

Referee Profile

Giovanni Ayroldi122 matches

5.97Cards per match
5.57Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
28.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giovanni Ayroldi5.97
Other referees4.71

5.97 cards a match, 1.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter871023:10+1322WWWDW
2LazioLazio871016:5+1122WWWWD
3AS RomaAS Roma853019:6+1318DWDDW
4AC MilanAC Milan853016:7+918WWDWD
5ComoComo852114:7+717WWDLW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino841313:11+213WWWDL
9CagliariCagliari84136:9-313LLDWW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
12LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo822412:16-48LLDLW
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese81169:18-94LLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
19ParmaParma81165:15-104LLLWL
20VeneziaVenezia81076:17-113LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter823:1022
2LazioLazio816:522
3AS RomaAS Roma819:618
4AC MilanAC Milan816:718
5ComoComo814:717
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino813:1113
9CagliariCagliari86:913
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
12LecceLecce89:149
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo812:168
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese89:184
18FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
19ParmaParma85:154
20VeneziaVenezia86:173
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Parma vs Torino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Parma and Torino in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Torino are 8th and Parma 19th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Parma 5-15, Torino 13-11. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.