Nacional vs SC Braga Prediction

Nacional
-
25/10/2026
19:00
SC Braga
Estádio da Madeira, Funchal·Jose Bessa
NacionalNacional
25/10/202619:00
SC BragaSC Braga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
Upgrade to Pro to see the best pickLog in
Value Analysis
Upgrade to Elite to see all value analysisLog in
Nacional Rest
8 days
SC Braga Rest
2 days

Nacional vs SC Braga: what the numbers say

Both Nacional and SC Braga have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Primeira Liga on 25 Oct 2026.

SC Braga have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6.65
X
4.24
2
1.50
Double Chance
1X
2.50
X2
1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.93
No
1.78
Goals
Over 1.5
1.26
Over 2.5
1.88
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 1.5
3.60
Under 2.5
1.94
Under 3.5
1.33
Corners
Over 8.5
1.55
Over 9.5
1.94
Over 10.5
2.44
Under 8.5
2.21
Under 9.5
1.78
Under 10.5
1.43
Cards
Over 3.5
1.35
Over 4.5
1.70
Under 3.5
3.05
Under 4.5
2.07
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

NacionalNacional
SC BragaSC Braga
1490Elo Rating 1748
0.62Attack 0.93
0.49Defense 1.46
0%Hit Rate 27%
10.8Shots per Game 14.8
3.4Shots on Target 5.1
4.8Corners per Game 4.7
0.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NacionalNacional
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SC BragaSC Braga
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NacionalNacional1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
SC BragaSC Braga8Wins · 80%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga28/02/2026
NacionalSC Braga
12
Taça de Portugal23/11/2025
SC BragaNacional
42
Primeira Liga28/09/2025
SC BragaNacional
01
Primeira Liga21/02/2025
SC BragaNacional
10
Primeira Liga20/09/2024
NacionalSC Braga
03
Taça da Liga22/12/2023
NacionalSC Braga
13
Taça de Portugal25/04/2023
SC BragaNacional
22
Taça de Portugal12/04/2023
NacionalSC Braga
05
Primeira Liga28/02/2021
NacionalSC Braga
12
Primeira Liga17/10/2020
SC BragaNacional
21

Referee Profile

Jose Bessa97 matches

5.51Cards per match
5.27Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Bessa5.51
Other referees5.27

5.51 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 49 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica861124:7+1719WLWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP853020:9+1118WDDWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara853012:4+818WDWWD
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu842211:10+114WWWWL
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga83239:10-111LLDWL
10EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
11Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
12MoreirenseMoreirense82248:15-78LDWLL
13MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
14FamalicaoFamalicao814310:11-17LWDDD
15Rio AveRio Ave82158:17-97WLDLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17NacionalNacional81169:18-94LLLLL
18EstorilEstoril80264:12-82LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica824:719
3Sporting CPSporting CP820:918
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara812:418
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu811:1014
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga89:1011
10EstrelaEstrela914:1710
11Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
12MoreirenseMoreirense88:158
13MaritimoMaritimo99:198
14FamalicaoFamalicao810:117
15Rio AveRio Ave88:177
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17NacionalNacional89:184
18EstorilEstoril84:122
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Nacional vs SC Braga forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional and SC Braga in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, SC Braga are 9th and Nacional 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional 9-18, SC Braga 9-10. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SC Braga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.