Padova vs Sudtirol Prediction

Serie BItaly Italy · Regular Season - 9
Padova
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sudtirol
Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua·Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni 27/10/2026
PadovaPadova
2-0
Finished
SudtirolSudtirol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-5.5%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+2.7%
Padova Rest
3 days
Sudtirol Rest
3 days

Padova vs Sudtirol: result, form and history

Padova beat Sudtirol 2-0 in the Serie B on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.39
X
30%3.10
2
32%3.10
Double Chance
1X
68%1.35
X2
62%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.82
No
48%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.21 = 2.46
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.19
Over 3.5
24%4.00
Under 1.5
30%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.68
Under 3.5
76%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.57
Over 9.5
51%2.00
Over 10.5
40%2.54
Under 8.5
37%2.21
Under 9.5
49%1.72
Under 10.5
60%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.80
Over 4.5
40%2.57
Under 3.5
40%1.91
Under 4.5
60%1.47

Match Events

19'Gabriele ArtisticoAssist: Giovanni·Giunti
45'Aljosa Vasic INRares Burnete out
62'Dhirar Brik INFabio Rispoli out
68'Matteo LovatoArgument
68'Salvatore MolinaArgument
69'Matteo CocchiFoul
70'Matteo Cocchi INLorenzo Carissoni out
70'Luca Moro INAlexander Seghetti out
72'Alvin Okoro INKenny Meddy Mixtur out
74'Pietro FusiFoul
78'Emanuele Zuelli INAlessandro Capelli out
78'Marco Pompetti INKevin Varas out
81'Fabio RispoliArgument
81'Federico Davi INKevin Zeroli out
87'Alessandro Capelli
87'Goal confirmedKevin Varas
90'Pietro Fusi INNicolas Galazzi out
90+2'Alessandro DellavalleFoul

Lineups

Padova
3-5-2Coach: N. Calabro
Sudtirol
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Possanzini
Avg rating7.16
Avg rating6.59
A. Sorrentino8.522A. Sorrentino
Alessandro Dellavalle6.727A. Dellavalle
M. Lovato7.15M. Lovato
C. Pastina7.558C. Pastina
M. Pompetti6.414M. Pompetti
E. Zuelli6.521E. Zuelli
G. Giunti7.56G. Giunti
P. Fusi6.88P. Fusi
M. Cocchi7.234M. Cocchi
G. Artistico8.190G. Artistico
L. Moro7.09L. Moro
A. Plizzari6.122A. Plizzari
R. Stivanello6.94R. Stivanello
A. Giorgini7.055A. Giorgini
D. Veroli6.73D. Veroli
S. Molina7.179S. Molina
D. Brik6.846D. Brik
S. Tronchin7.15S. Tronchin
F. Davi6.223F. Davi
Vasco Lopes6.511V. Lopes
A. Vasic6.414A. Vasic
A. Okoro6.290A. Okoro

Padova Substitutes

17A. Capelli78'for Emanuele Zuelli87'7.7
24L. Carissoni70'for Matteo Cocchi6.9
23F. Di Mariano
72C. Faedo
25N. Galazzi90'for Pietro Fusi
74D. Marcolini
1L. Mouquet
11A. Seghetti70'for Luca Moro6.7
32F. Sgarbi
18E. Silletti
7K. Varas78'for Marco Pompetti6.9
20M. Bortolussi

Sudtirol Substitutes

9R. Burnete45'for Aljosa Vasic7.2
24S. Davì
19M. Pellini
10Fabio Rispoli62'for Dhirar Brik81'6.5
27G. Stabile
21F. Tait
18Kevin Zeroli81'for Federico Davi6.0
17L. Anghelè
39Marco Iuliano
25K. Mixtur72'for Alvin Okoro6.3
80Elias Schroot
12Rok Vadjunec

Match Stats

PadovaSudtirol
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots21
5Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal13
8Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots3
19Fouls11
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total Passes578
296Passes Accurate525
10Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

PadovaPadova
SudtirolSudtirol
1536Elo Rating 1577
0.81Attack 0.93
1.82Defense 1.74
41%Hit Rate 17%
10.5Shots per Game 9.8
2.1Shots on Target 2.9
4.5Corners per Game 3.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.1

Game State Tendencies

PadovaPadova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SudtirolSudtirol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

PadovaPadova2Wins · 25%
Draws563%
SudtirolSudtirol1Wins · 12%
1.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie B25/01/2026
SudtirolPadova
30
Serie B01/11/2025
PadovaSudtirol
11
Serie C - Girone A16/04/2022
SudtirolPadova
00
Coppa Italia Serie C06/04/2022
SudtirolPadova
01
Coppa Italia Serie C09/03/2022
PadovaSudtirol
00
Serie C - Girone A12/12/2021
PadovaSudtirol
00
Serie C - Girone B21/02/2021
SudtirolPadova
11
Serie C - Girone B25/10/2020
PadovaSudtirol
20

Recent Form

PadovaPadova
3W2D5L
24/10/2026
AvellinoPadova
01
W17/10/2026
PadovaVirtus Entella
12
L11/10/2026
PadovaCarrarese
02
L19/09/2026
PalermoPadova
21
L
12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
10
W
06/09/2026
CremonesePadova
31
L
29/08/2026
PadovaHellas Verona
11
D
23/08/2026
PisaPadova
01
W15/08/2026
UdinesePadova
10
L
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
SudtirolSudtirol
3W4D3L
24/10/2026
SudtirolSampdoria
11
D18/10/2026
Juve StabiaSudtirol
30
L10/10/2026
SudtirolAscoli
00
D
02/10/2026
SudtirolWacker Innsbruck
23
L
20/09/2026
ArezzoSudtirol
14
W15/09/2026
GenoaSudtirol
10
L
12/09/2026
SudtirolModena
11
D
05/09/2026
SudtirolCatanzaro
20
W
30/08/2026
BeneventoSudtirol
11
D
22/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Entella
10
W

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa815:1014
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese87:97
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

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About the Padova vs Sudtirol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Padova and Sudtirol in the Serie B table

Sudtirol and Padova are close in the Serie B table, 7th and 9th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Padova 7-10, Sudtirol 10-7. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.