Ascoli vs Sampdoria Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+1.3%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Ascoli Rest
3 days
Sampdoria Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%2.12
X28%3.24
223%3.41
Double Chance
1X78%1.29
X251%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.67
No44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 0.93 = 2.64
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.551%1.90
Over 3.530%3.20
Under 1.525%3.50
Under 2.549%1.91
Under 3.570%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.55
Over 9.554%1.93
Over 10.543%2.50
Under 8.534%2.27
Under 9.546%1.80
Under 10.557%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.7 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.47
Over 4.542%1.91
Under 3.539%2.55
Under 4.558%1.80
Match Events
53'Filippo Delli CarriFoul
55'Andrea·SilipoAssist: Matteo Brunori
66'Gennao Acampora INTommaso Milanese out
66'Matteo Brunori INGabriele Gori out
66'Antoine Makoumbou INGennaro Tutino out
66'Lorenzo Venuti INAndrea Oliveri out
66'Alex Ferrari INStefan Gartenmann out
72'Tobias Lauritsen INYann Karamoh out
76'Manuel Nicoletti INNicholas Rizzo out
82'Oliver AbildgaardOG
85'Giovanni Corradini INSergiu Perciun out
89'Abdoul GuiebreArgument
89'Tjas BegicArgument
90+4'Alessandro Di Pardo INKarim Diop out
Lineups
AscoliSampdoria
4-3-2-1Coach: L. D'AngeloAvg ratingAvg rating
1S. Vitale
5L. Venuti
30M. Curado
3M. Nicoletti
7A. Silipo
8G. Corradini
4S. Damiani
13G. Acampora
19A. Guiébré9999M. Brunori
15S. D'Uffizi
12A. Krastev
29A. Di Pardo
25A. Ferrari
15F. Delli Carri
7M. Cicconi
45A. Makoumbou
28O. Abildgaard
6L. Henderson
11T. Begić
16Y. Verschaeren
9T. LauritsenAscoli Substitutes
45G. Crespi
21G. De Pieri
77D. Bolsius
35G. Gori66'replaced by Matteo Brunori
32F. Gattoni
18L. Lo Scalzo
62T. Milanese66'for Gennao Acampora
14A. Oliveri66'for Lorenzo Venuti
11S. Perciun85'for Giovanni Corradini
27M. Ricci
33N. Rizzo76'for Manuel Nicoletti
9A. Chakir
Sampdoria Substitutes
38K. Diop90+4'for Alessandro Di Pardo
44Gerald Donegà
3S. Gartenmann66'for Alex Ferrari
14Yann Karamoh72'replaced by Tobias Lauritsen
96S. Massolo
43K. Mbabu
39L. Mezzotero
40Federico Piermattei
99G. Tutino66'for Antoine Makoumbou
1P. Vindahl
Match Stats
AscoliSampdoria 67%Ball Possession33%
10Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls16
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves4
594Total Passes287
519Passes Accurate214
14Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
AscoliSampdoria1670Elo Rating 1511
2.34Attack 1.02
2.19Defense 1.05
44%Hit Rate 17%
15.6Shots per Game 14.7
5.2Shots on Target 3.8
6.7Corners per Game 6.2
1.6Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Ascoli- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sampdoria- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Ascoli0Wins · 0%Draws267%
Sampdoria1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%2.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
11/03/2024SampdoriaAscoli21
07/10/2023AscoliSampdoria11
20/10/2022SampdoriaAscoli9181
Recent Form
Ascoli5W3D2L
24/10/2026
CatanzaroAscoliAscoli
Empoli
SudtirolAscoliAscoli
Avellino
GenoaAscoliAscoli
Potenza
CatanzaroAscoli16
W17/10/2026AscoliEmpoli11
D10/10/2026SudtirolAscoli00
D19/09/2026AscoliAvellino31
W12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
PadovaAscoli10
L05/09/2026Ascoli
Benevento
AscoliBenevento10
W29/08/2026Ascoli
Carrarese
AscoliCarrarese11
D23/08/2026
Hellas VeronaAscoli
16/08/2026Hellas VeronaAscoli12
WGenoaAscoli41
L08/08/2026AscoliPotenza31
WSampdoria2W2D6L
24/10/2026SudtirolSampdoriaSampdoria
ArezzoAvellinoSampdoria
MantovaSampdoria
PalermoSampdoria
CesenaSampdoria
CremoneseSampdoria
SudtirolSampdoria11
D18/10/2026SampdoriaArezzo12
L09/10/2026AvellinoSampdoria41
L19/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro
13/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro21
WMantovaSampdoria20
L07/09/2026PalermoSampdoria31
L29/08/2026Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
23/08/2026SampdoriaJuve Stabia12
LCesenaSampdoria11
D17/08/2026CremoneseSampdoria20
L09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
ParmaSampdoria02
WReferee Profile
4.35Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.35 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).
Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 18:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 9:20 | 4 |
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About the Ascoli vs Sampdoria forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ascoli and Sampdoria in the Serie B table
The table shows a wide gap: Ascoli are 4th in the Serie B, while Sampdoria sit 19th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Ascoli 14-6, Sampdoria 8-16. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.