West Ham vs Southampton Prediction

West Ham
2-3
Finished
HT 1-3
Southampton
London Stadium, London·Michael Salisbury 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
West Ham Rest
7 days
Southampton Rest
7 days

West Ham vs Southampton: result, form and history

Southampton beat West Ham 3-2 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. West Ham tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.1 for Southampton.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.67
X
22%4.22
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.18
X2
42%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.47
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.94 = 2.61
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.44
Over 3.5
40%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
39%2.70
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.5 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.25
Over 9.5
53%1.46
Over 10.5
42%1.81
Under 8.5
35%3.44
Under 9.5
47%2.46
Under 10.5
58%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.73
Over 4.5
41%2.36
Under 3.5
39%2.02
Under 4.5
59%1.55

Match Events

2'Kuryu Matsuki
11'James Bree
18'Manor SolomonFoul
24'Kyle Walker-PetersAssist: Divine Mukasa
34'Lewis Dobbin
45'Felipe Morato INOllie Scarles out
51'Caspar JanderFoul
63'Manor Solomon INTomáš Souček out
63'Divine Mukasa INPablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus out
64'Léo Scienza INSamuel Edozie out
73'Kuryu Matsuki INWelington out
74'Kyle Walker-Peters INEdvin Austbö out
74'Mohamadou Kante INJoel Piroe out
78'Lewis DobbinFoul
89'Lewis Dobbin INDivin Mubama out
90+3'Tomáš SoučekAssist: Taty Castellanos

Lineups

West Ham
4-4-2Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Southampton
4-2-3-1Coach: Tonda Eckert
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.65
M. Hermansen6.41M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters6.92K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos7.015K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman7.03M. Kilman
Morato5.95Morato
J. Bowen7.220J. Bowen
D. Mukasa7.614D. Mukasa
A. Engels6.67A. Engels
M. Solomon6.410M. Solomon
V. Castellanos7.611V. Castellanos
M. Kanté6.117M. Kanté
Daniel Peretz8.61D. Peretz
J. Bree7.114J. Bree
J. Stephens6.55J. Stephens
K. Schlotterbeck6.613K. Schlotterbeck
R. Manning6.03R. Manning
J. Ward-Prowse6.330J. Ward-Prowse
C. Jander6.38C. Jander
K. Matsuki7.127K. Matsuki
F. Azaz6.110F. Azaz
Léo Scienza6.27L. Scienza
L. Dobbin7.911L. Dobbin

West Ham Substitutes

35E. Austbö74'for Kyle Walker-Peters6.3
58A. Golambeckis
63Ezra Mayers
61L. Orford
23A. Areola
19Pablo63'for Divine Mukasa6.8
9J. Piroe74'for Mohamadou Kante6.2
30O. Scarles45'for Felipe Morato6.2
28T. Souček63'for Manor Solomon90+3'6.8

Southampton Substitutes

6Z. Abbott
26Cameron Bragg
23S. Edozie64'for Léo Scienza6.0
18T. Fellows
25G. Long
28D. Mubama89'for Lewis Dobbin6.5
2M. Roerslev
34Welington73'for Kuryu Matsuki6.1
15N. Wood-Gordon

Match Stats

West HamSouthampton
56%Ball Possession44%
14Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
28Total Shots15
11Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box11
13Shots Outside Box4
11Blocked Shots4
16Fouls7
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves11
459Total Passes376
391Passes Accurate301
6Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

West HamWest Ham
SouthamptonSouthampton
1802Elo Rating 1794
2.38Attack 1.31
1.74Defense 2.18
42%Hit Rate 63%
19.9Shots per Game 14.1
7.6Shots on Target 4.6
8.1Corners per Game 4.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SouthamptonSouthampton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

West HamWest Ham4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
SouthamptonSouthampton2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

League Cup25/08/2026
SouthamptonWest Ham
14
Premier League19/04/2025
West HamSouthampton
11
Premier League26/12/2024
SouthamptonWest Ham
01
Premier League02/04/2023
West HamSouthampton
10
Premier League16/10/2022
SouthamptonWest Ham
11
FA Cup02/03/2022
SouthamptonWest Ham
31
Premier League26/12/2021
West HamSouthampton
23
Premier League11/09/2021
SouthamptonWest Ham
00
Premier League23/05/2021
West HamSouthampton
30
Premier League29/12/2020
SouthamptonWest Ham
00

Referee Profile

Michael Salisbury152 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.28Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Salisbury3.42
Other referees3.77

3.42 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.77).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
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About the West Ham vs Southampton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

West Ham and Southampton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, West Ham are 3rd and Southampton 6th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: West Ham 32-15, Southampton 24-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.