Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1France France · Regular Season - 6
Rennes
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Auxerre
Roazhon Park, Rennes·Willy Delajod 11/10/2026
RennesRennes
4-1
Finished
AuxerreAuxerre

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.70
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Rennes Rest
8 days
Auxerre Rest
9 days

Rennes vs Auxerre: result, form and history

Rennes beat Auxerre 4-1 in the Ligue 1 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Rennes tend to win more corners, 8.3 a game to 5.0 for Auxerre.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.44
X
19%5.03
2
15%6.99
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
34%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.61
No
40%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 1.36 = 3.39
Over 1.5
85%1.12
Over 2.5
66%1.44
Over 3.5
47%2.17
Under 1.5
15%5.50
Under 2.5
34%2.70
Under 3.5
53%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.29
Over 9.5
51%1.56
Over 10.5
41%1.95
Under 8.5
39%3.04
Under 9.5
49%2.25
Under 10.5
59%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.74
Over 4.5
29%2.73
Under 3.5
52%2.00
Under 4.5
71%1.43

Match Events

15'Esteban LepaulAssist: Charlie Cresswell
25'Cameron ArcherAssist: Mamadou Diop
50'Anthony RouaultFoul
53'Adrien ThomassonAssist: Bryan Reynolds
59'Esteban LepaulFoul
59'Adrien ThomassonFoul
67'Mousa Al-Tamari INEliezer Mayenda out
67'Adrien Thomasson INDjaoui Cissé out
76'Clément Akpa INElikya Legros out
77'Issa Soumaré INLudovic Blas out
77'Esteban Lepaul INBoulaye Dia out
77'Naouirou Ahamada INPierre Ekwah out
77'Danny Namaso INRemy Labeau Lascary out
82'Arthur Piedfort INAristide Zossou out
85'Mahamadou Nagida INPrzemysław Frankowski out
87'Romain Faivre INYoussef Khoudda out
90'Djaoui CisséFoul
90+2'Boulaye DiaAssist: Ludovic Blas
90+4'Boulaye DiaAssist: Bryan Reynolds

Lineups

Rennes
4-3-3Coach: F. Haise
Auxerre
3-4-2-1Coach: W. Still
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.16
B. Samba7.530B. Samba
B. Reynolds7.914B. Reynolds
C. Cresswell7.24C. Cresswell
A. Rouault6.324A. Rouault
M. Nagida6.818M. Nagida
A. Thomasson7.528A. Thomasson
V. Rongier6.721V. Rongier
M. Camara6.545M. Camara
Mousa Tamari6.511M. Tamari
E. Lepaul8.19E. Lepaul
I. Soumaré6.490I. Soumaré
M. Diop7.023M. Diop
A. Piedfort6.146A. Piedfort
A. Tuanzebe5.84A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa6.292C. Akpa
L. Sy5.727L. Sy
N. Ahamada6.58N. Ahamada
K. Danois6.45K. Danois
F. Oppegård5.422F. Oppegård
R. Faivre6.621R. Faivre
D. Namaso5.910D. Namaso
C. Archer7.59C. Archer

Rennes Substitutes

95P. Frankowski85'for Mahamadou Nagida6.2
17S. Szymański
16N. Lemaître
12Eliezer Mayenda67'for Mousa Al-Tamari6.7
48A. Ait Boudlal
10L. Blas77'for Issa Soumaré6.9
6D. Cissé67'for Adrien Thomasson90'6.3
22B. Dia77'for Esteban Lepaul90+2'90+4'8.3
65H. Do Marcolino

Auxerre Substitutes

34L. Dioubate
17P. Ekwah77'for Naouirou Ahamada5.8
47Youssef Khoudda87'replaced by Romain Faivre
3R. Labeau Lascary77'for Danny Namaso6.4
35E. Legros76'for Clément Akpa5.6
1P. Nardi
77Aristide Zossou82'for Arthur Piedfort5.5
45Salimou Danfakha
20S. Diomandé

Match Stats

RennesAuxerre
59%Ball Possession41%
12Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards0
21Total Shots12
10Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
2Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves6
534Total Passes377
459Passes Accurate293
86%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

RennesRennes
AuxerreAuxerre
1821Elo Rating 1690
2.05Attack 1.73
0.84Defense 1.20
42%Hit Rate 63%
18.4Shots per Game 11.3
7.3Shots on Target 5.1
8.3Corners per Game 5.0
2.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+131 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.39 goals
📈BTTS Trend17% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RennesRennes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AuxerreAuxerre
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

RennesRennes2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
AuxerreAuxerre2Wins · 33%
2.8Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 122/02/2026
AuxerreRennes
03
Ligue 119/10/2025
RennesAuxerre
22
Ligue 106/04/2025
RennesAuxerre
01
Ligue 103/11/2024
AuxerreRennes
40
Ligue 111/03/2023
AuxerreRennes
00
Ligue 111/09/2022
RennesAuxerre
50

Recent Form

RennesRennes
3W2D5L
02/10/2026
LavalRennes
10
L
19/09/2026
LyonRennes
40
L16/09/2026
Sturm GrazRennes
00
D11/09/2026
RennesMarseille
10
W06/09/2026
AngersRennes
12
W30/08/2026
RennesLe Mans
32
W23/08/2026
RennesParis Saint Germain
22
D
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford U21
12
L
AuxerreAuxerre
4W2D4L
02/10/2026
AuxerreClermont Foot
43
W
20/09/2026
AuxerreStade Brestois 29
21
W12/09/2026
AuxerreNice
10
W04/09/2026
LyonAuxerre
31
L29/08/2026
AuxerreAngers
13
L22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
L
08/08/2026
AuxerreEstac Troyes
11
D
01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
11
D
25/07/2026
AuxerreOrleans
12
L
18/07/2026
AuxerreSt Maur Lusitanos
52
W

Referee Profile

Willy Delajod173 matches

3.94Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Willy Delajod3.95
Other referees4.00

3.95 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 166 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LyonLyon742113:5+814WLWDW
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain742114:9+514WWWWL
3Paris FCParis FC742112:7+514WLWDW
4LilleLille742110:5+514DWLWW
5MonacoMonaco742110:6+414LDWDW
6RennesRennes741215:14+113LWLWW
7LorientLorient73227:6+111WWLDW
8NiceNice83238:10-211WLWWL
9LensLens731314:11+310WWLDL
10MarseilleMarseille730414:10+49WWLLL
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
12ToulouseToulouse723212:11+19WDWDL
13AuxerreAuxerre730411:17-69WLWWL
14StrasbourgStrasbourg721412:15-37LLLDW
15AngersAngers72149:15-67LLWDL
16Le MansLe Mans713310:15-56LLWDD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes71155:16-114LLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre70255:11-62LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LyonLyon713:514
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain714:914
3Paris FCParis FC712:714
4LilleLille710:514
5MonacoMonaco710:614
6RennesRennes715:1413
7LorientLorient77:611
8NiceNice88:1011
9LensLens714:1110
10MarseilleMarseille714:109
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
12ToulouseToulouse712:119
13AuxerreAuxerre711:179
14StrasbourgStrasbourg712:157
15AngersAngers79:157
16Le MansLe Mans710:156
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes75:164
18Le HavreLe Havre75:112
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

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About the Rennes vs Auxerre forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rennes and Auxerre in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Rennes are 6th and Auxerre 13th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Rennes 15-14, Auxerre 11-17. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.