Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction

Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad· U. Aslam 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalNEUTRALModel41%RiskHighGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.96
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskHighGap+10.6%
Fredrikstad Rest
9 days
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.42
X
25%3.50
2
38%2.63
Double Chance
1X
62%1.44
X2
63%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.56
No
38%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.54 = 3.21
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
68%1.68
Over 3.5
42%2.67
Under 1.5
16%4.15
Under 2.5
32%2.11
Under 3.5
58%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.23
Over 9.5
52%1.45
Over 10.5
42%1.74
Under 8.5
37%3.45
Under 9.5
48%2.50
Under 10.5
58%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.8 = 2.9
Over 3.5
34%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
66%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

19'Max NilssonAssist: Isak Helstad Amundsen
20'Sander Johan Christiansen INMichael Opoku out
28'Olaus Jair SkarsemAssist: Sondre Sorlie
45'Michael Opoku INAndreas Hansen out
61'Bryan Fiabema INSalim Laghzaoui out
61'Benjamin Thoresen Faraas INLiam West out
61'Solomon Owusu INSimen Rafn out
68'Claus Babo Niyukuri INPeter Reinhardsen out
77'Samuel Holm INLeonard Owusu out
87'Max NilssonFoul
89'Simen RafnFoul
90'Sondre Sorlie INNoa Williams out

Lineups

Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
M. Børsheim77M. BørsheimM. Børsheim
I. Amundsen38I. AmundsenI. Amundsen
F. Holmé4F. HolméF. Holmé
S. Owusu28S. OwusuS. Owusu
D. Eid16D. EidD. Eid
S. Leach Holm6S. Leach HolmS. Leach Holm
M. Nilsson14M. NilssonM. Nilsson
S. Sørløkk13S. SørløkkS. Sørløkk
B. Thoresen7B. ThoresenB. Thoresen
H. Skogvold23H. SkogvoldH. Skogvold
B. Fiabema18B. FiabemaB. Fiabema
L. Øy87L. ØyL. Øy
C. Niyukuri12C. NiyukuriC. Niyukuri
B. Utvik4B. UtvikB. Utvik
M. Lode2M. LodeM. Lode
A. Hiim21A. HiimA. Hiim
S. Sørli10S. SørliS. Sørli
S. Christiansen8S. ChristiansenS. Christiansen
A. Sher6A. SherA. Sher
O. Skarsem77O. SkarsemO. Skarsem
D. Karlsbakk11D. KarlsbakkD. Karlsbakk
V. Halvorsen22V. HalvorsenV. Halvorsen

Fredrikstad Substitutes

5S. RafnD
30J. TorkildsenG
12U. FredriksenD
10J. Hummelvoll-NuñezF
29G. WessehM
11L. WestF
21J. JezierskiM
9S. LaghzaouiM
24L. OwusuM

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

18Bop GueyeM
5L. HøylandD
1J. PrytsG
33A. NibeM
15M. OpokuM
20P. ReinhardsenD
24S. RostedD
32E. WichneD
17N. WilliamsM

Match Stats

FredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box1
3Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots0
9Fouls15
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
603Total Passes427
526Passes Accurate349
15Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
1614Elo Rating 1604
2.58Attack 1.20
1.91Defense 1.99
50%Hit Rate 17%
11.4Shots per Game 10.6
4.4Shots on Target 4.8
3.6Corners per Game 4.1
1.9Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fredrikstad 56%Draw 17%27% Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.36Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

U. Aslam · 6 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 19% of referees analysed

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt20162252:17+3550WWWWW
2VikingViking20152351:20+3147WDWLW
3MoldeMolde20113643:30+1336WWWWL
4TromsoTromso20105537:27+1035LLDLW
5LillestromLillestrom20102828:26+232WWLDL
6RosenborgRosenborg2093836:29+730WWLWW
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2083924:31-727DLWWW
8BrannBrann20821037:31+626LLDWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2067723:26-325DDDLL
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2065927:41-1423LLDLD
11ValerengaValerenga20641033:42-922LDLDL
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo20641022:34-1222WLLDW
13SandefjordSandefjord20551018:27-920LDDWL
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK20541120:37-1719LWDLW
15AalesundAalesund2039831:45-1418LWLDD
16StartStart20441222:41-1916WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2052:1750
2VikingViking2051:2047
3MoldeMolde2043:3036
4TromsoTromso2037:2735
5LillestromLillestrom2028:2632
6RosenborgRosenborg2036:2930
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2024:3127
8BrannBrann2037:3126
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2023:2625
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2027:4123
11ValerengaValerenga2033:4222
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2022:3422
13SandefjordSandefjord2018:2720
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2020:3719
15AalesundAalesund2031:4518
16StartStart2022:4116
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eliteserien fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eliteserien

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Key Factors for This Match

Fredrikstad have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.36 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.