Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction

Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad·U. Aslam 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseHighGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.96
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseHighGap+10.6%
Fredrikstad Rest
9 days
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
7 days

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: result, form and history

Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF drew 1-1 in the Eliteserien on 13 Sep 2026. Fredrikstad had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Sarpsborg 08 FF tend to win more corners, 11.8 a game to 5.8 for Fredrikstad.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.42
X
25%3.50
2
38%2.63
Double Chance
1X
62%1.44
X2
63%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.56
No
38%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.54 = 3.21
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
68%1.68
Over 3.5
42%2.67
Under 1.5
16%4.15
Under 2.5
32%2.11
Under 3.5
58%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.23
Over 9.5
52%1.45
Over 10.5
42%1.74
Under 8.5
37%3.45
Under 9.5
48%2.50
Under 10.5
58%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.8 = 2.9
Over 3.5
34%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
66%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

19'Max NilssonAssist: Isak Helstad Amundsen
20'Sander Johan Christiansen INMichael Opoku out
28'Olaus Jair SkarsemAssist: Sondre Sorlie
45'Michael Opoku INAndreas Hansen out
61'Bryan Fiabema INSalim Laghzaoui out
61'Benjamin Thoresen Faraas INLiam West out
61'Solomon Owusu INSimen Rafn out
68'Claus Babo Niyukuri INPeter Reinhardsen out
77'Samuel Holm INLeonard Owusu out
87'Max NilssonFoul
89'Simen RafnFoul
90'Sondre Sorlie INNoa Williams out

Lineups

Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.48
M. Børsheim6.877M. Børsheim
I. Amundsen6.938I. Amundsen
F. Holmé7.04F. Holmé
S. Owusu7.028S. Owusu
D. Eid7.316D. Eid
S. Leach Holm7.26S. Leach Holm
M. Nilsson8.214M. Nilsson
S. Sørløkk6.713S. Sørløkk
B. Thoresen6.47B. Thoresen
H. Skogvold6.223H. Skogvold
B. Fiabema6.318B. Fiabema
L. Øy6.287L. Øy
C. Niyukuri6.112C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik6.64B. Utvik
M. Lode6.72M. Lode
A. Hiim6.721A. Hiim
S. Sørli6.610S. Sørli
S. Christiansen6.38S. Christiansen
A. Sher6.96A. Sher
O. Skarsem7.877O. Skarsem
D. Karlsbakk6.211D. Karlsbakk
V. Halvorsen6.422V. Halvorsen

Fredrikstad Substitutes

5S. Rafn61'for Solomon Owusu89'6.1
30J. Torkildsen
12U. Fredriksen
10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
29G. Wesseh
11L. West61'for Benjamin Thoresen Faraas6.5
21J. Jezierski
9S. Laghzaoui61'for Bryan Fiabema6.5
24L. Owusu77'for Samuel Holm6.2

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

18Bop Gueye
5L. Høyland
1J. Pryts
33A. Nibe45'replaced by Michael Opoku6.3
15M. Opoku20'for Sander Johan Christiansen45'for Andreas Hansen6.0
20P. Reinhardsen68'for Claus Babo Niyukuri5.9
24S. Rosted
32E. Wichne
17N. Williams90'for Sondre Sorlie

Match Stats

FredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots0
9Fouls15
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
608Total Passes426
531Passes Accurate348
15Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
1620Elo Rating 1612
2.27Attack 2.21
0.42Defense 1.32
27%Hit Rate 81%
14.2Shots per Game 22.9
3.9Shots on Target 6.2
5.8Corners per Game 11.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

FredrikstadFredrikstad3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF1Wins · 17%
2.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Eliteserien09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
NM Cupen08/03/2026
FredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
21
Eliteserien08/11/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
02
Eliteserien01/06/2025
FredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
11
Eliteserien28/09/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
01
Eliteserien13/04/2024
FredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
22

Referee Profile

U. Aslam6 matches analysed

4.01Cards per match
3.87Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 18% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2443:3440
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 8th and Fredrikstad 11th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Fredrikstad 29-44, Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-39. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarpsborg 08 FF have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.