Santos vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Santos
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Atletico Paranaense
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos·Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
Santos Rest
4 days
Atletico Paranaense Rest
2 days

Santos vs Atletico Paranaense: result, form and history

Atletico Paranaense beat Santos 2-0 in the Serie A on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 5.7 for Santos.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.10
X
28%3.21
2
25%3.70
Double Chance
1X
76%1.28
X2
53%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.83
No
47%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.98 = 2.43
Over 1.5
71%1.34
Over 2.5
48%2.11
Over 3.5
26%3.80
Under 1.5
29%3.10
Under 2.5
52%1.72
Under 3.5
74%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.50
Over 9.5
48%1.82
Over 10.5
37%2.30
Under 8.5
40%2.42
Under 9.5
52%1.88
Under 10.5
63%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.34
Over 4.5
56%1.72
Under 3.5
26%3.02
Under 4.5
44%2.04

Match Events

14'K. Viveros
20'A. FriasRoughing
26'K. ViverosAssist: Joao Cruz
34'K. ViverosFoul
46'G. Caballero INB. Rollheiser out
60'Leozinho INK. A. Calderon Vargas out
60'Jadson INFelipinho out
61'Gilberto INDantas out
61'C. Oliva INRony out
71'Luiz Gustavo INDiogo Riquelme out
80'Joao Schmidt INWillian Arao out
80'Gabriel Menino INThaciano out
85'Joao Cruz INDudu Kogitzki out

Lineups

Santos
4-2-2-2Coach: Cuca
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Joao Correia
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.91
Gabriel Brazão6.777G. Brazão
Gabriel Menino7.025G. Menino
Adonis Frías6.298A. Frías
João Paulo Ananias6.726J. Paulo Ananias
Gonzalo Escobar6.731G. Escobar
Christian Oliva6.228C. Oliva
João Schmidt7.25J. Schmidt
Gabriel Bontempo6.68G. Bontempo
Álvaro Barreal7.222Á. Barreal
Gabriel BarbosaC6.59G. Barbosa
Gustavo Caballero6.317G. Caballero
Mycael6.91Mycael
Gastón Benavídez7.329G. Benavídez
Juan Felipe Aguirre7.333J. Felipe Aguirre
Arthur Dias7.54A. Dias
Gilberto6.912Gilberto
Jádson6.316Jádson
Luiz GustavoC7.314L. Gustavo
Steven Mendoza6.57S. Mendoza
Leozinho6.221Leozinho
João Cruz6.98J. Cruz
Kevin Viveros8.29K. Viveros

Santos Substitutes

1Diogenes
42João Alencar
14Luan Peres
81Samuel Mendes
32Benjamín Rollheiser46'for G. Caballero6.9
30Miguelito
27Davizinho
57Nadson
16Thaciano80'for Gabriel Menino6.3
15Willian Arão80'for Joao Schmidt6.7
7Robinho Júnior
11Rony61'for C. Oliva6.6

Atletico Paranaense Substitutes

42Matheus Soares
25Dantas61'for Gilberto6.9
2Gilberto Junior
6Leonardo Derik
3Léo
10Bruno Zapelli
53Dudu85'replaced by Joao Cruz6.3
63Diogo Riquelme71'for Luiz Gustavo6.3
18Kerwin Calderón Vargas60'for Leozinho6.9
5Felipinho60'for Jadson6.9
19Jorge Rivaldo
70Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno

Match Stats

SantosAtletico Paranaense
62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box3
10Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
568Total Passes351
494Passes Accurate279
87%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

SantosSantos
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1771Elo Rating 1700
1.07Attack 1.17
1.96Defense 1.39
19%Hit Rate 17%
16.8Shots per Game 17.5
5.9Shots on Target 5.0
5.7Corners per Game 9.0
3.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SantosSantos
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

SantosSantos3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense4Wins · 45%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A12/02/2026
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
21
Serie A03/12/2023
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
30
Serie A05/08/2023
SantosAtletico Paranaense
11
Serie A28/09/2022
SantosAtletico Paranaense
20
Serie A05/06/2022
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
22
Serie A30/10/2021
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
01
Copa Do Brasil15/09/2021
SantosAtletico Paranaense
01
Copa Do Brasil26/08/2021
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
10
Serie A07/07/2021
SantosAtletico Paranaense
21

Recent Form

SantosSantos
5W3D2L
05/08/2026
RemoSantos
01
W
02/08/2026
SantosRemo
00
D
29/07/2026
SantosUCV
42
W
25/07/2026
SantosChapecoense-sc
22
D
22/07/2026
UCVSantos
14
W
17/07/2026
BotafogoSantos
21
L
31/05/2026
SantosVitoria
31
W
27/05/2026
SantosDeportivo Cuenca
30
W
24/05/2026
GremioSantos
32
L
21/05/2026
SantosSan Lorenzo
22
D
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
5W2D3L
07/08/2026
VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
40
L
04/08/2026
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria
20
W
31/07/2026
CorinthiansAtletico Paranaense
00
D
25/07/2026
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
20
W
23/07/2026
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
12
W
11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
21
L
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
L
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
W
18/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo
11
D
15/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense
1040
W

Referee Profile

Rafael Rodrigo Klein203 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Rodrigo Klein5.46
Other referees5.23

5.46 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
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About the Santos vs Atletico Paranaense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Santos and Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th and Santos 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Santos 49-47, Atletico Paranaense 50-40. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.