Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Bahia
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Vasco DA Gama
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador·Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.39
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Bahia Rest
10 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
3 days

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama: the result in context

Bahia and Vasco DA Gama drew 0-0 in the Serie A on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Bahia tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 3.1 for Vasco DA Gama.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
28%3.45
2
27%3.73
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
55%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.73
No
47%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.05 = 2.39
Over 1.5
71%1.28
Over 2.5
48%1.90
Over 3.5
26%3.20
Under 1.5
29%3.50
Under 2.5
52%1.91
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
60%1.40
Over 9.5
49%1.66
Over 10.5
37%2.06
Under 8.5
40%2.70
Under 9.5
51%2.06
Under 10.5
63%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.39
Over 4.5
57%1.83
Under 3.5
26%2.61
Under 4.5
43%1.90

Match Events

21'Goal Disallowed - offsideAdson
31'Cuiabano
37'Thiago MendesUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'Ademir INKaue Junior out
46'Brenner INM. Hinestroza out
46'C. Cuesta INA. Saldivia out
46'Luciano Juba INZe Guilherme out
64'Jean Lucas INCaio Alexandre out
64'Willian Jose INMichel Araujo out
72'Adson INC. Spinelli out
74'David INRamon Rique out
77'AdemirMisses next match
86'Jair INCauan Barros out
86'Rodrigo INM. Sanabria out
90'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Sanabria

Lineups

Bahia
4-4-2Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Vasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.89
Ronaldo6.91Ronaldo
Román Gómez7.631R. Gómez
David Duarte7.533D. Duarte
Santiago Ramos Mingo7.221S. Ramos Mingo
Luciano Juba6.346L. Juba
Ademir6.57Ademir
Nicolás AcevedoC6.95N. Acevedo
Jean Lucas6.76J. Lucas
Rodrigo Nestor7.011R. Nestor
Willian José6.912W. José
Alejo Véliz6.69A. Véliz
Léo Jardim6.91L. Jardim
Paulo Henrique6.996P. Henrique
Carlos Cuesta6.946C. Cuesta
Robert Renan8.030R. Renan
Cuiabano7.766Cuiabano
Tchê Tchê6.93T. Tchê
Jair7.38Jair
Adson7.028Adson
Thiago MendesC6.323T. Mendes
David6.37David
Brenner6.320Brenner

Bahia Substitutes

57Kauê Furquim43'for Ademir6.3
66José Guilherme46'for Luciano Juba6.5
15Michel Araújo64'for Willian Jose6.3
8Caio Alexandre64'for Jean Lucas6.6
17Guido Herrera
4Kanu
3Marco Moreno
44Marcos Victor
63David Martins
23Mateo Sanabria86'for Rodrigo6.7
99Cristian Olivera
27Everaldo

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

4Alan Saldivia46'for C. Cuesta6.9
18Marino Hinestroza46'for Brenner6.9
13Daniel Fuzato
37Pablo
6Lucas Piton
64Walace
43Lucas Freitas
2Puma Rodríguez
88Cauan Barros86'for Jair6.9
10Johan Rojas
83Ramon Rique74'for David6.5
77Claudio Spinelli72'for Adson6.5

Match Stats

BahiaVasco DA Gama
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots7
13Fouls10
3Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
383Total Passes364
321Passes Accurate301
84%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

BahiaBahia
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1713Elo Rating 1742
1.56Attack 1.64
1.04Defense 0.97
37%Hit Rate 44%
13.1Shots per Game 12.0
3.2Shots on Target 3.0
6.6Corners per Game 3.1
2.2Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BahiaBahia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

BahiaBahia5Wins · 56%
Draws111%
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A12/02/2026
Vasco DA GamaBahia
01
Serie A23/11/2025
BahiaVasco DA Gama
10
Serie A25/09/2025
Vasco DA GamaBahia
31
Serie A29/10/2024
Vasco DA GamaBahia
32
Serie A27/06/2024
BahiaVasco DA Gama
21
Serie A03/09/2023
BahiaVasco DA Gama
11
Serie A02/05/2023
Vasco DA GamaBahia
01
Serie B28/08/2022
BahiaVasco DA Gama
21
Serie B15/05/2022
Vasco DA GamaBahia
10

Recent Form

BahiaBahia
2W4D4L
30/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
00
D
26/07/2026
BahiaCorinthians
11
D
22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahia
11
D
18/07/2026
BahiaChapecoense-sc
20
W
12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
L
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
W
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
L
17/05/2026
BahiaGremio
11
D
14/05/2026
RemoBahia
21
L
10/05/2026
BahiaCruzeiro
12
L
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
3W3D4L

Referee Profile

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima170 matches

5.31Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima5.31
Other referees5.25

5.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Bahia and Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Bahia are 6th and Vasco DA Gama 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Bahia 50-45, Vasco DA Gama 43-50. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.