Estrela vs Benfica Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Estrela vs Benfica: the result in context
Benfica beat Estrela 3-2 in the Primeira Liga on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Benfica had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Estrela.
Benfica have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Estrela
Avg ratingAvg rating
24L. Linck
21M. Scholze
30P. Luan
4B. Schappo
55R. Soares
6K. Höög Jansson
78S. Serra
99A. Marcus
14L. Zvonarek
10I. Stoica
37L. Antonetti
24S. Soares
6A. Bah
44T. Araújo
2C. Lenglet
26S. Dahl
10H. Sudakov
36J. Palhinha
27Rafa
30C. Echeverri
25G. Prestianni
14V. PavlidisEstrela Substitutes
Benfica Substitutes
Match Stats
EstrelaBenfica Team Comparison
EstrelaBenficaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Estrela- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Benfica- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Estrela0Wins · 0%9Wins · 100%Previous meetings
25/01/2026BenficaEstrela16/08/2025EstrelaBenfica02/02/2025EstrelaBenfica
23/11/2024BenficaEstrela24/08/2024BenficaEstrela29/01/2024EstrelaBenfica19/08/2023BenficaEstrela
20/11/2022EstrelaBenfica12/01/2021EstrelaBenficaRecent Form
Estrela
MoreirenseEstrelaEstrela
Casa Pia
FazendenseEstrela
AroucaEstrelaEstrela
Academico Viseu
Rio AveEstrelaEstrela
SC BragaEstrela
Famalicao
NacionalEstrela
AlvercaEstrelaBenficaBenfica
Lech PoznanBenficaAlvercaBenfica
GIL Vicente
Santa ClaraBenfica
Omonia NicosiaBenficaBenfica
CelticBenfica
Vitória SC
FC PortoBenfica
AC MilanBenficaBenficaGIL VicenteReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).
Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | +22 | 33 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 24 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 20 | LWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 | LWWLD |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 | LDWLD |
| 15 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 27:5 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 10:8 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 6:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
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About the Estrela vs Benfica forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estrela and Benfica in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Benfica are 2nd and Estrela 12th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Estrela 17-22, Benfica 30-10. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.