Estoril vs Moreirense Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 9
Estoril vs Moreirense: what the numbers say
Neither Estoril nor Moreirense arrives in good form, with no more than one win each from their last five. The match is played in the Primeira Liga on 25 Oct 2026.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. Referee Carlos Macedo averages 4.52 cards a game, 1.00 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Estoril
MoreirenseAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Estoril- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Moreirense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Estoril1Wins · 13%4Wins · 50%Previous meetings
20/04/2026MoreirenseEstoril07/12/2025EstorilMoreirense11/05/2025MoreirenseEstoril28/12/2024EstorilMoreirense18/05/2024MoreirenseEstoril13/01/2024EstorilMoreirense07/05/2022EstorilMoreirense28/12/2021MoreirenseEstorilRecent Form
Estoril
Moreirense
AVSMoreirenseMoreirense
GIL Vicente
Vitória SCMoreirenseMoreirense
MaritimoMoreirense
Benfica
FC PortoMoreirense
Casa PiaMoreirense
AroucaMoreirenseMoreirense
SC BragaMoreirense
AmaranteReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.52 cards a match, 1.00 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.52).
Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 18 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 14 | WWDLL |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 | LLDWL |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 | LWDDD |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 8 | 8:6 | 14 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 8:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 3:17 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 4:12 | 2 |
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This match
About the Estoril vs Moreirense forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estoril and Moreirense in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Moreirense are 12th and Estoril 18th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Estoril 4-12, Moreirense 8-15. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.