Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction

Sunderland
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Dinamo Zagreb
Stadium of Light, Sunderland·Andrea Colombo 05/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Sunderland Rest
5 days
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
5 days

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: result, form and history

Dinamo Zagreb beat Sunderland 2-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 5 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Dinamo Zagreb had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sunderland.

Referee Andrea Colombo averages 5.01 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.43
X
23%4.79
2
17%6.97
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
40%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.79
No
45%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.59 = 3.07
Over 1.5
80%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.66
Over 3.5
38%2.58
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.28
Under 3.5
62%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.52
Over 9.5
40%1.89
Over 10.5
30%2.42
Under 8.5
49%2.38
Under 9.5
60%1.83
Under 10.5
70%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.82
Over 4.5
44%2.55
Under 3.5
37%1.90
Under 4.5
56%1.48

Match Events

22'Luka Stojkovic
25'Niko GalešićFoul
28'Granit XhakaFoul
36'Kevin DansoFoul
39'Dion Drena BeljoAssist: Luka Stojkovic
45'Dayann Methalie INReinildo Isnard Mandava out
45'Sergi Dominguez INStjepan Radeljić out
45'Thomas Meunier INTrai Hume out
45'Jules Ahoka INNoah Sadiki out
45'Chris Rigg INEnzo Le Fée out
46'Lukas KacavendaFoul
47'Goal cancelledWilson Isidor
55'Trai HumeFoul
64'Luka Stojkovic INLuka Ivanušec out
64'Wilson Isidor INBrian Brobbey out
70'Dion Drena Beljo INSmail Prevljak out
80'Mislav Oršić INArber Hoxha out
80'Bruno Goda INMatteo Perez Vinlöf out

Lineups

Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Le Bris
Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Leko
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.77
R. Roefs5.622R. Roefs
T. Meunier6.112T. Meunier
K. Danso6.44K. Danso
O. Alderete6.715O. Alderete
D. Methalie6.06D. Methalie
G. Xhaka7.034G. Xhaka
Jules Ahoka6.029J. Ahoka
N. Angulo6.310N. Angulo
C. Rigg6.811C. Rigg
M. Fofana6.539M. Fofana
W. Isidor6.418W. Isidor
D. Kotarski8.324D. Kotarski
M. Valinčić6.025M. Valinčić
Sergi Domínguez6.736S. Domínguez
N. Galešić6.215N. Galešić
B. Goda6.33B. Goda
J. Mišić6.327J. Mišić
M. Lisica5.821M. Lisica
L. Kačavenda6.280L. Kačavenda
L. Stojković9.010L. Stojković
M. Oršić6.499M. Oršić
D. Beljo7.89D. Beljo

Sunderland Substitutes

32T. Hume45'for Thomas Meunier55'5.4
9B. Brobbey64'for Wilson Isidor6.3
28E. Le Fée45'for Chris Rigg6.2
17Reinildo45'for Dayann Methalie6.2
21S. Moore
13L. O'Nien
77T. Proctor
27N. Sadiki45'for Jules Ahoka6.5
7C. Talbi
57Timur Tuterov
40J. Whittaker
48Jenson Jones

Dinamo Zagreb Substitutes

8M. Zajc
1D. Zagorac
41S. Sunta
7Dani Rodríguez
6S. Radeljić45'for Sergi Dominguez7.1
14S. Prevljak70'for Dion Drena Beljo6.4
22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf80'for Bruno Goda6.6
35N. Mikic
17L. Ivanušec64'for Luka Stojkovic6.6
11A. Hoxha80'for Mislav Oršić6.5
23Iker Almena
44I. Filipović

Match Stats

SunderlandDinamo Zagreb
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
9Fouls17
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
455Total Passes280
382Passes Accurate194
17Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

SunderlandSunderland
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
1725Elo Rating 1771
0.95Attack 1.96
1.24Defense 1.77
19%Hit Rate 61%
15.8Shots per Game 16.5
5.3Shots on Target 5.9
3.8Corners per Game 4.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SunderlandSunderland
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.5 in second half)

Referee Profile

Andrea Colombo143 matches

5.01Cards per match
4.74Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Colombo5.01
Other referees4.51

5.01 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.51).

Cards come from 120 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Sunderland (11th) and Dinamo Zagreb (9th) are level on 7 points. League goal record so far: Sunderland 4-4, Dinamo Zagreb 5-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dinamo Zagreb have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.