Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
England · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sunderland vs Leeds preview: form and head-to-head
Both Sunderland and Leeds have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Premier League on 25 Oct 2026.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Sunderland tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 3.8 for Leeds.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Sunderland
LeedsGame State Tendencies
Sunderland- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Leeds- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Sunderland2Wins · 29%2Wins · 28%Previous meetings
31/07/2026SunderlandLeeds
03/03/2026LeedsSunderland28/12/2025SunderlandLeeds
17/02/2025LeedsSunderland04/10/2024SunderlandLeeds09/04/2024LeedsSunderland12/12/2023SunderlandLeedsRecent Form
Sunderland
Lech PoznanSunderland
BournemouthSunderland
TorreenseSunderlandSunderland
Brighton
Manchester CitySunderlandSunderland
AZ AlkmaarSunderland
ArsenalSunderland
Hull City
BrentfordSunderlandSunderland
FulhamLeedsLeeds
Manchester UnitedArsenalLeedsLeeds
Crystal PalaceLeeds
Newcastle
ChelseaLeedsBrightonLeedsLeedsBrentford
Nottingham ForestLeedsNottingham ForestLeedsLeeds
FC AugsburgReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.16 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).
Cards come from 172 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 8 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 9 |  Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |  Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 18 |  Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 19 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 8 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 7 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Everton | 7 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 8 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 7 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 18 | Coventry | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 19 | Fulham | 7 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 6:14 | 4 |
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This match
About the Sunderland vs Leeds forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sunderland and Leeds in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Leeds are 8th and Sunderland 20th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Sunderland 6-14, Leeds 9-6. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.