Swansea vs Blackburn Prediction

Swansea
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Blackburn
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea·Gavin Ward 31/10/2026
SwanseaSwansea
4-0
Finished
BlackburnBlackburn

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Swansea Rest
7 days
Blackburn Rest
7 days

Swansea vs Blackburn: the result in context

Swansea beat Blackburn 4-0 in the Championship on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Swansea have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Blackburn tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.4 for Swansea.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.74
X
26%3.75
2
22%4.55
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
48%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.04 = 2.60
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.81
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.70
Under 2.5
48%1.94
Under 3.5
69%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.29
Over 9.5
54%1.54
Over 10.5
43%1.93
Under 8.5
34%3.14
Under 9.5
46%2.27
Under 10.5
57%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
56%1.67
Over 4.5
36%2.32
Under 3.5
44%2.13
Under 4.5
64%1.57

Match Events

11'Stephen EustáquioAssist: Joseph Amankwaah Opoku
22'Moussa·BaradjiFoul
24'Harry Pickering INGady Beyuku out
32'Joseph Amankwaah Opoku
36'Filip LissahAssist: Stephen Welsh
45'Tom Atcheson INHayden Carter out
45'J. Fevrier INAugustus Kargbo out
59'Ross StewartAssist: Eom Ji-Sung
62'melker widell INGoncalo Franco out
62'Ross Stewart INZan Vipotnik out
72'Josh Tymon INTiago parente out
73'Stephen Eustáquio INAdam Idah out
78'Filip Lissah INJosh Key out
78'Andri Guðjohnsen INYuki Ohashi out
79'Moussa·Baradji INYuri Ribeiro out

Lineups

Swansea
4-2-3-1Coach: Vítor Matos
Blackburn
4-2-3-1Coach: Tony Mowbray
Avg rating7.50
Avg rating6.04
L. Vigouroux7.122L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah8.126F. Lissah
B. Cabango7.75B. Cabango
S. Welsh8.223S. Welsh
J. Tymon7.614J. Tymon
J. Fulton7.24J. Fulton
S. Eustáquio8.246S. Eustáquio
Joseph Okopu9.030J. Okopu
M. Widell6.67M. Widell
Eom Ji-Sung7.710E. Ji-Sung
R. Stewart8.031R. Stewart
B. Tóth6.422B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu5.92R. Alebiosu
Tom Atcheson5.76T. Atcheson
S. McLoughlin6.515S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering5.73H. Pickering
M. Baradji6.024M. Baradji
Kristi Montgomery5.431K. Montgomery
J. Fevrier5.811J. Fevrier
T. Cantwell6.210T. Cantwell
O. Afolayan5.821O. Afolayan
A. Guðjohnsen6.39A. Guðjohnsen

Swansea Substitutes

1A. Fisher
17Gonçalo Franco62'for melker widell7.0
33A. Idah73'for Stephen Eustáquio6.5
8E. Just
2J. Key78'for Filip Lissah7.4
12J. Monga
18Tiago Parente72'for Josh Tymon7.0
3J. Seelt
9Z. Vipotnik62'for Ross Stewart6.8

Blackburn Substitutes

1A. Pears
4Yuri Ribeiro79'for Moussa·Baradji5.6
7A. Kargbo45'for J. Fevrier7.2
30J. Garrett
23Y. Ohashi78'for Andri Guðjohnsen6.5
14D. De Neve
17H. Carter45'for Tom Atcheson5.6
27Gady Beyuku24'for Harry Pickering6.1
48I. Dunn

Match Stats

SwanseaBlackburn
68%Ball Possession32%
1Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
9Fouls16
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
687Total Passes344
605Passes Accurate267
16Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

SwanseaSwansea
BlackburnBlackburn
1673Elo Rating 1637
0.81Attack 1.81
1.12Defense 1.87
50%Hit Rate 63%
10.8Shots per Game 11.1
3.1Shots on Target 4.0
4.4Corners per Game 6.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SwanseaSwansea
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BlackburnBlackburn
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SwanseaSwansea6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
BlackburnBlackburn4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship20/01/2026
SwanseaBlackburn
31
Championship30/09/2025
BlackburnSwansea
12
Championship22/02/2025
SwanseaBlackburn
30
Championship19/10/2024
BlackburnSwansea
10
Championship02/03/2024
SwanseaBlackburn
21
Championship28/10/2023
BlackburnSwansea
01
Championship18/02/2023
BlackburnSwansea
10
Championship06/08/2022
SwanseaBlackburn
03
Championship05/02/2022
SwanseaBlackburn
10
Championship07/08/2021
BlackburnSwansea
21

Referee Profile

Gavin Ward203 matches

3.76Cards per match
3.65Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gavin Ward3.76
Other referees3.80

3.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).

Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1384130:17+1328WWDWW
2SwanseaSwansea1382320:13+726WLLWW
3WolvesWolves1373323:16+724WWDWL
4West BromWest Brom1373319:14+524WDWWL
5SouthamptonSouthampton1383228:13+1523WWDWW
6BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
7Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
8West HamWest Ham1364333:18+1522LLWWD
9QPRQPR1355321:16+520LWLWD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1354416:15+119DWDWW
12MillwallMillwall1353523:21+218WLDLW
13BlackburnBlackburn1353519:20-118LWLWW
14Bristol CityBristol City1353515:17-218WDLLD
15NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1335519:20-114LWDWL
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1342718:26-814LLDWL
20CharltonCharlton1335511:21-1014LLLDD
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1316617:25-89DLLDW
23DerbyDerby1314811:25-147LDLLD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1330:1728
2SwanseaSwansea1320:1326
3WolvesWolves1323:1624
4West BromWest Brom1319:1424
5SouthamptonSouthampton1328:1323
6BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
7Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
8West HamWest Ham1333:1822
9QPRQPR1321:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1316:1519
12MillwallMillwall1323:2118
13BlackburnBlackburn1319:2018
14Bristol CityBristol City1315:1718
15NorwichNorwich1323:2415
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1319:2014
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1318:2614
20CharltonCharlton1311:2114
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1317:259
23DerbyDerby1311:257
24PrestonPreston1310:275
PromotionRelegation

About the Swansea vs Blackburn forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Swansea and Blackburn in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Swansea are 2nd and Blackburn 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Swansea 20-13, Blackburn 19-20. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Blackburn have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.