Swansea vs West Ham Prediction

Swansea
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
West Ham
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea·Josh Smith 17/10/2026
SwanseaSwansea
0-1
Finished
West HamWest Ham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Swansea Rest
3 days
West Ham Rest
2 days

Swansea vs West Ham: result, form and history

West Ham beat Swansea 1-0 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Swansea had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for West Ham.

West Ham tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.4 for Swansea.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.22
X
29%3.58
2
41%2.10
Double Chance
1X
59%1.69
X2
70%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.4 = 2.58
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.73
Over 3.5
32%2.75
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.09
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.2 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.42
Over 9.5
52%1.71
Over 10.5
41%2.19
Under 8.5
36%2.57
Under 9.5
48%2.05
Under 10.5
59%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.62
Over 4.5
39%2.24
Under 3.5
41%2.20
Under 4.5
61%1.62

Match Events

34'Divine MukasaAssist: Mohamadou Kante
41'Divine MukasaFoul
56'Jay Fulton INStephen Eustáquio out
57'Joseph Amankwaah Opoku INEom Ji-Sung out
61'Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus INTaty Castellanos out
69'Mohamadou Kante INEdvin Austbö out
76'Moussa Kounfolo Yeo INElijah Just out
76'Goncalo Franco INmelker widell out
76'Marko Stamenić INZan Vipotnik out
81'Taty CastellanosDissent
84'Manor Solomon INTomáš Souček out
85'Divine Mukasa INJoel Piroe out

Lineups

Swansea
4-3-3Coach: Vítor Matos
West Ham
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.70
L. Vigouroux6.722L. Vigouroux
Ronald6.935Ronald
B. Cabango6.25B. Cabango
S. Welsh6.823S. Welsh
J. Tymon6.514J. Tymon
Gonçalo Franco6.417G. Franco
J. Fulton6.74J. Fulton
M. Stamenić6.06M. Stamenić
M. Yeo6.149M. Yeo
A. Idah6.333A. Idah
Joseph Okopu6.230J. Okopu
M. Hermansen6.11M. Hermansen
J. Veltman6.434J. Veltman
K. Mavropanos7.315K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman6.63M. Kilman
Morato6.85Morato
M. Kanté7.117M. Kanté
A. Engels6.77A. Engels
J. Bowen6.620J. Bowen
D. Mukasa7.914D. Mukasa
M. Solomon6.510M. Solomon
Pablo6.419Pablo

Swansea Substitutes

10Eom Ji-Sung57'for Joseph Amankwaah Opoku6.6
46S. Eustáquio56'for Jay Fulton6.4
1A. Fisher
50C. Heywood
8E. Just76'for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo5.9
3J. Seelt
9Z. Vipotnik76'for Marko Stamenić6.4
7M. Widell76'for Goncalo Franco6.4
44Thomas Woodward

West Ham Substitutes

30O. Scarles
28T. Souček84'for Manor Solomon6.8
2K. Walker-Peters
9J. Piroe85'for Divine Mukasa6.7
61L. Orford
58A. Golambeckis
11V. Castellanos61'for Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus81'6.2
35E. Austbö69'for Mohamadou Kante6.5
23A. Areola

Match Stats

SwanseaWest Ham
69%Ball Possession31%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots9
0Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
9Fouls8
2Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves0
621Total Passes283
525Passes Accurate188
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

SwanseaSwansea
West HamWest Ham
1673Elo Rating 1802
0.81Attack 2.38
1.12Defense 1.74
50%Hit Rate 42%
10.5Shots per Game 19.9
3.1Shots on Target 7.6
4.4Corners per Game 8.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.2

Game State Tendencies

SwanseaSwansea
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

SwanseaSwansea
7W2D1L
13/10/2026
MillwallSwansea
01
W
10/10/2026
SwanseaNorwich
21
W
19/09/2026
LincolnSwansea
12
W
12/09/2026
SwanseaBurnley
31
W
08/09/2026
SouthamptonSwansea
31
L
05/09/2026
SwanseaWrexham
00
D
01/09/2026
SwanseaWatford
20
W
29/08/2026
DerbySwansea
03
W
22/08/2026
SwanseaSheffield Utd
00
D
15/08/2026
Stoke CitySwansea
12
W

Referee Profile

Josh Smith203 matches

3.90Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Josh Smith3.90
Other referees3.86

3.90 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).

Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Swansea vs West Ham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Swansea and West Ham in the Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Swansea are 2nd in the Championship, 1 point ahead of West Ham in 3rd. League goal record so far: Swansea 16-13, West Ham 32-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Swansea and West Ham have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.