Fortuna Sittard vs Twente Prediction

Fortuna Sittard
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Twente
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard·Robin Hensgens 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Fortuna Sittard Rest
7 days
Twente Rest
20 days

Fortuna Sittard vs Twente: the result in context

Fortuna Sittard and Twente drew 1-1 in the Eredivisie on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Twente have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Twente tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 2.2 for Fortuna Sittard.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%6.45
X
21%5.00
2
64%1.40
Double Chance
1X
36%2.79
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 1.95 = 2.96
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.36
Over 3.5
44%1.95
Under 1.5
16%6.50
Under 2.5
34%3.10
Under 3.5
56%1.86
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 6.1 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.27
Over 9.5
53%1.52
Over 10.5
43%1.81
Under 8.5
36%3.34
Under 9.5
47%2.27
Under 10.5
57%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.5 = 3.1
Over 3.5
37%2.05
Over 4.5
20%3.05
Under 3.5
63%1.72
Under 4.5
80%1.35

Match Events

9'Anthony DescotteAssist: Mohammed Ihattaren
34'Robin PropperAssist: Wout Weghorst
55'Marko Pjaca INKristian Nokkvi Hlynsson out
67'Daouda Weidmann INThomas Van den Belt out
74'Bart van RooijFoul
75'Lequincio Zeefuik INKristoffer Peterson out
81'Daan Rots INLucas hesselink of vennegoor out
84'Mohammed Ihattaren INSven Simons out
84'Ivo Pinto INSiebe Wylin out
90+1'Shiloh 't Zand INDaley Sinkgraven out

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3Coach: D. Buijs
Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: J. van den Brom
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.66
M. Branderhorst7.331M. Branderhorst
Ivo Pinto6.512I. Pinto
Rodrigo Guth7.43R. Guth
S. van Ottele7.06S. van Ottele
Justin Quincy Hubner6.028J. Quincy Hubner
P. Brittijn6.423P. Brittijn
É. Michut6.820É. Michut
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand7.122S. Kiesar ’t Zand
M. Ihattaren6.752M. Ihattaren
L. Zeefuik6.425L. Zeefuik
A. Descotte8.29A. Descotte
J. Drommel6.816J. Drommel
B. van Rooij6.128B. van Rooij
R. Pröpper7.73R. Pröpper
R. Nijstad6.64R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard6.929A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki7.16R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann6.58D. Weidmann
D. Rots6.411D. Rots
Y. Taha6.510Y. Taha
M. Pjaca6.37M. Pjaca
W. Weghorst7.39W. Weghorst

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

2S. Wylin84'for Ivo Pinto6.4
15N. de Groot
38Moussa Gbemou
33K. Reitmaier
1L. Koopmans
7K. Peterson75'for Lequincio Zeefuik6.5
10O. Romeny
14S. Simons84'for Mohammed Ihattaren6.3
24D. Sinkgraven90+1'for Shiloh 't Zand
39Ganni Buyukhan

Twente Substitutes

25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink81'for Daan Rots6.6
20T. van den Belt67'for Daouda Weidmann6.3
37N. Ünüvar
2M. Rosiak
22R. Pasveer
24K. Kurowski
14K. Hlynsson55'for Marko Pjaca6.3
31Yannick Gerritsen
18Jordy Bawuah

Match Stats

Fortuna SittardTwente
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls21
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
372Total Passes502
304Passes Accurate421
20Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
TwenteTwente
1663Elo Rating 1815
1.55Attack 2.09
1.12Defense 1.82
34%Hit Rate 61%
10.5Shots per Game 21.9
3.9Shots on Target 6.0
2.2Corners per Game 5.9
1.5Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TwenteTwente
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
TwenteTwente7Wins · 70%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie21/03/2026
Fortuna SittardTwente
12
Eredivisie26/09/2025
TwenteFortuna Sittard
32
Eredivisie05/04/2025
TwenteFortuna Sittard
11
Eredivisie23/11/2024
Fortuna SittardTwente
12
Eredivisie06/04/2024
TwenteFortuna Sittard
20
Eredivisie08/10/2023
Fortuna SittardTwente
03
Eredivisie11/03/2023
Fortuna SittardTwente
03
Eredivisie14/08/2022
TwenteFortuna Sittard
30
Eredivisie07/05/2022
TwenteFortuna Sittard
12
Eredivisie14/08/2021
Fortuna SittardTwente
21

Referee Profile

Robin Hensgens162 matches

3.39Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robin Hensgens3.39
Other referees3.24

3.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
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About the Fortuna Sittard vs Twente forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortuna Sittard and Twente in the Eredivisie table

Twente and Fortuna Sittard are close in the Eredivisie table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Fortuna Sittard 17-17, Twente 19-10. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.