Twente vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Twente
3-2
Finished
HT 1-2
PSV Eindhoven
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede·Serdar Gozubuyuk 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-9.7%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Twente Rest
7 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
6 days

Twente vs PSV Eindhoven: result, form and history

Twente beat PSV Eindhoven 3-2 in the Eredivisie on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game. Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk averages 4.00 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.80
X
23%4.00
2
51%2.16
Double Chance
1X
49%1.67
X2
74%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.25
No
30%3.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.88 = 3.09
Over 1.5
87%1.06
Over 2.5
70%1.25
Over 3.5
51%1.67
Under 1.5
13%7.70
Under 2.5
30%3.65
Under 3.5
49%2.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
54%1.59
Over 10.5
42%1.98
Under 8.5
36%2.84
Under 9.5
46%2.17
Under 10.5
58%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.7 = 3
Over 3.5
36%1.73
Over 4.5
19%2.87
Under 3.5
64%2.00
Under 4.5
81%1.38

Match Events

10'Ricardo Pepi INSven Mijnans out
14'Younes Taha El Idrissi
26'Guus TilAssist: Mauro Júnior
29'Guus TilAssist: Paul Wanner
43'Wout WeghorstDissent
58'Filip Erik Thorvaldsen INDaan Rots out
60'Ruben van BommelFoul
66'Ivan PerišićArgument
75'Ruben van Bommel INEsmir Bajraktarević out
76'Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter INMarko Pjaca out
76'Robin Propper INLucas hesselink of vennegoor out
79'Wout WeghorstAssist: Daan Rots
80'Paul Wanner INRyan Flamingo out
83'Daouda WeidmannAssist: Max Bruns
86'Younes Taha El Idrissi INThomas Van den Belt out

Lineups

Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: J. van den Brom
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Bosz
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.35
L. Unnerstall6.21L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij6.128B. van Rooij
M. Bruns7.238M. Bruns
R. Pröpper6.53R. Pröpper
R. Nijstad6.54R. Nijstad
R. Zerrouki6.26R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann8.28D. Weidmann
F. Thorvaldsen6.017F. Thorvaldsen
Y. Taha7.010Y. Taha
S. Ørjasæter6.427S. Ørjasæter
W. Weghorst8.29W. Weghorst
M. Kovář5.732M. Kovář
S. Dest6.08S. Dest
L. Geertruida6.22L. Geertruida
A. Obispo6.64A. Obispo
Mauro Júnior6.917M. Júnior
K. Sano6.424K. Sano
P. Wanner6.810P. Wanner
I. Perišić6.15I. Perišić
G. Til7.920G. Til
R. van Bommel5.77R. van Bommel
R. Pepi6.39R. Pepi

Twente Substitutes

25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink76'for Robin Propper6.7
20T. van den Belt86'for Younes Taha El Idrissi6.0
37N. Ünüvar
11D. Rots58'for Filip Erik Thorvaldsen7.2
2M. Rosiak
7M. Pjaca76'for Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter6.7
22R. Pasveer
24K. Kurowski
16J. Drommel
18Jordy Bawuah
29A. Adelgaard

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

6R. Flamingo80'for Paul Wanner5.9
51T. Smolenaars
35A. Santos
1N. Olij
21S. Mijnans10'for Ricardo Pepi6.1
27D. Man
18F. Kostić
3Yarek Gasiorowski
31N. Fernandez
23M. Hansen
37A. Bouhamdi
19E. Bajraktarevic75'for Ruben van Bommel6.3

Match Stats

TwentePSV Eindhoven
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box2
9Blocked Shots2
10Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
361Total Passes545
279Passes Accurate471
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

TwenteTwente
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1877Elo Rating 1886
4.06Attack 2.38
2.28Defense 1.98
86%Hit Rate 39%
23.4Shots per Game 20.7
9.7Shots on Target 6.7
7.7Corners per Game 6.6
1.2Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TwenteTwente
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.6 in first half)
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TwenteTwente1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven8Wins · 80%
4.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie17/05/2026
PSV EindhovenTwente
51
Eredivisie17/08/2025
TwentePSV Eindhoven
02
Eredivisie24/04/2025
TwentePSV Eindhoven
13
Eredivisie06/12/2024
PSV EindhovenTwente
61
Eredivisie17/03/2024
PSV EindhovenTwente
10
KNVB Beker17/01/2024
PSV EindhovenTwente
31
Eredivisie25/11/2023
TwentePSV Eindhoven
03
Eredivisie26/02/2023
PSV EindhovenTwente
31
Eredivisie03/09/2022
TwentePSV Eindhoven
21
Eredivisie02/04/2022
TwentePSV Eindhoven
33

Recent Form

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
6W2D2L
13/09/2026
PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
41
W
10/09/2026
PSV EindhovenShakhtar Donetsk
11
D
05/09/2026
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
13
W
30/08/2026
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
16
W
23/08/2026
PSV EindhovenGroningen
51
W
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
L

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk267 matches

4.01Cards per match
3.87Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Serdar Gozubuyuk4.00
Other referees3.49

4.00 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 259 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
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About the Twente vs PSV Eindhoven forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Twente and PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: PSV Eindhoven are 1st in the Eredivisie, 2 points ahead of Twente in 4th. League goal record so far: Twente 30-12, PSV Eindhoven 40-15. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Twente have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.