Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 9
Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.08SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+10.9%
Atletico Grau Rest
7 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
9 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.38
X29%3.20
233%2.90
Double Chance
1X67%1.36
X263%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.80
No43%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.32 = 2.58
Over 1.573%1.33
Over 2.554%2.08
Over 3.533%3.75
Under 1.527%3.10
Under 2.546%1.71
Under 3.567%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.6 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.77
Over 9.546%2.16
Over 10.536%2.94
Under 8.541%1.98
Under 9.554%1.61
Under 10.564%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%1.75
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%1.98
Match Events
23'Cristian PenillaAssist: José María Ingratti
40'Ariel MuñozFoul
45+1'Card upgrade confirmedJosé María Ingratti
45+1'José María IngrattiSerious foul
45+4'Aldair VásquezAssist: Pablo Lavandeira
53'Ignacio Tapia
58'Mauro Da Luz INDiego Barreto out
59'Aldair Vásquez INAdrián Fernández out
62'Paulo De La CruzFoul
66'Anthony Gordillo INJorge del Castillo out
72'Gabriel Alfaro INElsar Rodas out
72'Pablo Lavandeira INLuis Benites out
73'Cristian Penilla INGuillermo Larios out
74'Ariel Muñoz INJimmy Perez out
82'Paulo De La Cruz INEslyn Imanol Correa Vilela out
82'Germán Díaz INFranchesco Flores out
82'Jairo Molina INValentin Robaldo out
90+1'Hernan LupuArgument
90+1'Luis BenitesArgument
90+5'Luis BenitesAssist: Diego Barreto
Lineups
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico
4-4-2Coach: F. Urciuoli
1P. ÁlvarezP. Álvarez
4D. RodríguezD. Rodríguez
27R. TapiaR. Tapia
3I. TapiaI. Tapia
25G. AlfaroG. Alfaro
13F. OncoyF. Oncoy
5R. GuarderasR. Guarderas
10P. de la CruzP. de la Cruz
15P. LavandeiraP. Lavandeira
20A. VásquezA. Vásquez
77M. da LuzM. da Luz
31S. RivadeneyraS. Rivadeneyra
16S. FernándezS. Fernández
2R. SuarezR. Suarez
6J. LujánJ. Luján
24A. GordilloA. Gordillo
23A. MuñozA. Muñoz
10G. DíazGermán Díaz
15H. LupúH. Lupú
17C. PenillaC. Penilla
27J. IngrattiJ. Ingratti
29J. MolinaJ. MolinaAtletico Grau Substitutes
16J. AtaupillcoD
7D. BarretoM
96L. BenítesM
33J. CalderónG
21E. CorreaM
99A. FernándezF
6E. RodasD
9R. RuidíazF
8C. VásquezD
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
20Jimmy PérezM
9V. RobaldoF
95D. PrietoG
19J. MendietaD
11G. LariosF
25W. GuzmánD
8F. FloresM
37J. DelgadoM
22J. del CastilloM
Match Stats
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico 56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
10Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box5
0Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots1
19Fouls8
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
367Total Passes295
291Passes Accurate238
8Free Kicks18
Team Comparison
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico1587Elo Rating 1628
2.22Attack 2.16
1.34Defense 1.35
61%Hit Rate 63%
8.9Shots per Game 19.5
4.1Shots on Target 5.3
3.4Corners per Game 5.6
1.9Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Grau- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza Atletico- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Atletico Grau 0%Draw 81%19% Alianza Atletico
2.4Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Atletico Grau3W0D2L
Alianza Atletico4W1D0L
04/09/2026Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
ADTAlianza Atletico
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca32
W30/08/2026UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
W25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
21/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
W15/08/2026ADTAlianza Atletico11
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | +26 | 56 | WLWDW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | +15 | 48 | LWDDL |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | +16 | 46 | WLDDL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | +2 | 45 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | +5 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | +8 | 38 | WLLWW |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | +3 | 38 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 | LDDDW |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 | DDDWL |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 | DLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 44:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 43:31 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 39:24 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 45:29 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 40:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 48:40 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 29:26 | 38 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 26:31 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 41:52 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 27:41 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | LWDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | LWDDL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDDWL |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LDWLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LLWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | +12 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | +3 | 20 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 7 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 10 | DLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 | LDWLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Sport Boys | 10 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 7 | Cusco | 10 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 5:20 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Grau and Alianza Atletico have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.