D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile Prediction

Estadio La Portada, La Serena 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.68
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+5.9%
D. La Serena Rest
7 days
Universidad de Chile Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%3.90
X
33%3.65
2
46%1.80
Double Chance
1X
54%1.91
X2
79%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.63
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.32 = 2.59
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.71
Over 3.5
33%2.77
Under 1.5
26%3.98
Under 2.5
45%2.08
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.7 = 8.7
Over 8.5
49%1.33
Over 9.5
40%1.60
Over 10.5
28%2.00
Under 8.5
51%2.90
Under 9.5
60%2.15
Under 10.5
72%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%1.60
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%2.25

Match Events

11'Rafael DelgadoDissent
29'Eduardo VargasFoul
45'Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna INMarcelo Díaz out
47'Agustín Arce
50'Ángelo Henríquez INDiego Rubio out
55'Fabián HormazabalAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
59'Agustín ArceFoul
72'Jeisson Vargas INAlexander Oroz out
72'F. Dinamarca INJoaquín Gutierrez out
74'Nicolás Fernández INIgor Lichnovsky out
74'Juan Martin Lucero INIgnacio Vásquez out
82'Felipe Chamorro INMatias Pinto out
82'Matías Marín INSebastián Díaz out
89'Maximiliano GuerreroFoul
90+4'Igor LichnovskyAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero

Lineups

D. La Serena
3-4-3Coach: Felipe Gutiérrez
Universidad de Chile
4-4-2Coach: Fernando Gago
J. Tapia31J. TapiaJ. Tapia
I. Rasso34I. RassoI. Rasso
F. Mac Allister4F. Mac AllisterF. Mac Allister
R. Delgado33R. DelgadoR. Delgado
B. Gutiérrez21B. GutiérrezB. Gutiérrez
M. Marín23M. MarínM. Marín
G. Escalante8G. EscalanteG. Escalante
F. Dinamarca26F. DinamarcaF. Dinamarca
F. Chamorro14F. ChamorroF. Chamorro
Á. Henríquez9Á. HenríquezÁ. Henríquez
J. Vargas10J. VargasJ. Vargas
G. Castellón25G. CastellónG. Castellón
F. Hormazábal17F. HormazábalF. Hormazábal
N. Ramírez5N. RamírezN. Ramírez
M. Zaldivia22M. ZaldiviaM. Zaldivia
N. Fernández6N. FernándezN. Fernández
G. Añasgo32G. AñasgoG. Añasgo
T. Reinhart15T. ReinhartT. Reinhart
A. Arce28A. ArceA. Arce
M. Guerrero7M. GuerreroM. Guerrero
E. Vargas11E. VargasE. Vargas
J. Lucero18J. LuceroJ. Lucero

D. La Serena Substitutes

6S. DiazM
16J. GutiérrezD
20Milovan VelasquezM
1F. LanzillotaG
28Y. SalazarM
7A. OrozF
29M. PintoD
3M. PérezD
11D. RubioF

Universidad de Chile Substitutes

23I. VásquezF
19J. AltamiranoM
21M. DíazM
3I. LichnovskyD
8I. PobleteM
26Matias RiquelmeM
9O. RiveroF
31B. TamayoD
1C. ToselliG

Match Stats

D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots2
9Fouls11
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
400Total Passes351
299Passes Accurate262
12Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
1518Elo Rating 1709
1.43Attack 2.51
1.47Defense 1.68
56%Hit Rate 64%
12.1Shots per Game 14.3
4.8Shots on Target 5.1
3.5Corners per Game 6.3
2.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend59% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.3 in first half)

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

D. La Serena and Universidad de Chile have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.09 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.