Universidad de Chile vs Nublense Prediction
Chile · Regular Season - 24
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Universidad de Chile Rest
4 days
Nublense Rest
15 days
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense: the result in context
Universidad de Chile beat Nublense 6-0 in the Primera División on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Cristian Garay averages 4.64 cards a game, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.50
X23%4.20
215%5.80
Double Chance
1X85%1.11
X237%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.72
No47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.28 + 0.92 = 3.20
Over 1.579%1.18
Over 2.557%1.65
Over 3.536%2.63
Under 1.521%4.40
Under 2.543%2.14
Under 3.564%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 4.1 = 10.6
Over 8.566%1.55
Over 9.559%1.94
Over 10.549%2.54
Under 8.534%2.33
Under 9.541%1.80
Under 10.551%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.2 = 5.5
Over 3.580%-
Over 4.565%1.40
Under 3.520%-
Under 4.535%2.80
Match Events
13'Maximiliano GuerreroAssist: Agustín Arce
18'Tobías ReinhartFoul
37'Maximiliano GuerreroAssist: Ignacio Vásquez
45'Matías Plaza INCarlos Salomón out
45'Ignacio Jeraldino INLucas Molina Canto out
45+3'Pablo Calderón
55'Agustín ArceAssist: Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
57'Ignacio Vásquez INGonzalo Ezequiel Reyna out
57'Nicolás Ramírez INFabián Hormazabal out
62'Esteban Calderón INFernando Ovelar out
62'Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga INDiego Céspedes out
72'Gabriel Graciani INFranco Rami out
73'Gonzalo Ezequiel ReynaAssist: Agustín Arce
75'Eduardo VargasAssist: Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
77'Tobías Reinhart INIsrael Poblete out
77'Maximiliano Guerrero INJuan Martin Lucero out
77'Charles Aránguiz INMarcelo Díaz out
86'Fabián HormazabalAssist: Matias Zaldivia
Lineups
Universidad de ChileNublense
3-4-3Coach: Juan José RiberaAvg ratingAvg rating
25G. Castellón
3I. Lichnovsky
22M. Zaldivia
5N. Ramírez
14M. Morales
20C. Aránguiz
15T. Reinhart
7M. Guerrero
28A. Arce
23I. Vásquez
11E. Vargas
1N. Pérez
6P. Calderón
5F. Campos
15S. Valencia
8G. Graciani
21L. Reyes
28M. Rivera
14J. Campusano
10M. Plaza
20I. Jeraldino
26E. CalderónUniversidad de Chile Substitutes
32G. Añasgo57'for Ignacio Vásquez73'
8I. Poblete77'for Tobías Reinhart
18J. Lucero77'for Maximiliano Guerrero
17F. Hormazábal57'for Nicolás Ramírez86'
6N. Fernández
21M. Díaz77'for Charles Aránguiz
19J. Altamirano
1C. Toselli
26Matias Riquelme
Nublense Substitutes
22A. Valdés
18D. Céspedes62'for Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga
23J. Gonzalez
11L. Molina45'for Ignacio Jeraldino
25H. Muñoz
7F. Ovelar62'for Esteban Calderón
9F. Rami72'for Gabriel Graciani
13D. Saavedra
3C. Salomón45'for Matías Plaza
Match Stats
Universidad de ChileNublense 71%Ball Possession29%
7Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots7
10Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal1
12Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
8Fouls12
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
726Total Passes300
643Passes Accurate201
12Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
Universidad de ChileNublense1700Elo Rating 1522
2.87Attack 0.76
2.07Defense 0.00
58%Hit Rate 23%
17.5Shots per Game 8.4
9.1Shots on Target 3.5
6.2Corners per Game 3.8
1.8Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+178 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Universidad de Chile- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nublense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Universidad de Chile4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Nublense3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
12/04/2026NublenseUniversidad de Chile10
20/07/2025NublenseUniversidad de Chile22
16/02/2025Universidad de ChileNublense50
20/11/2024Universidad de ChileNublense10
03/11/2024NublenseUniversidad de Chile14
26/05/2024Universidad de ChileNublense00
09/12/2023Universidad de ChileNublense31
20/05/2023NublenseUniversidad de Chile11
17/07/2022Universidad de ChileNublense01
21/02/2022NublenseUniversidad de Chile32
Recent Form
Universidad de Chile6W1D3L
08/10/2026
AntofagastaUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Everton de Vina
D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Colo Colo
Deportes LimacheUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
Huachipato
AntofagastaUniversidad de Chile20
L27/09/2026Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina11
D13/09/2026D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile03
W06/09/2026Universidad de ChileCoquimbo Unido42
W30/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Chile21
L23/08/2026Universidad de ChileColo Colo12
L15/08/2026Deportes LimacheUniversidad de Chile13
W10/08/2026Universidad de ChilePalestino21
W06/08/2026
Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
02/08/2026Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile01
WUniversidad de ChileHuachipato20
WNublense4W1D5L
26/09/2026Nublense
D. Puerto Montt
NublenseD. Puerto Montt21
W22/09/2026D. Puerto MonttNublense
12/09/2026D. Puerto MonttNublense20
LNublenseEverton de Vina13
L06/09/2026D. La SerenaNublense21
L03/09/2026Deportes LimacheNublense20
L30/08/2026Nublense
Concepción01
L23/08/2026
U. CatolicaNublense12
W16/08/2026Nublense
Union La Calera21
W11/08/2026
A. ItalianoNublense22
D05/08/2026Nublense
Rangers de Talca
NublenseRangers de Talca10
WReferee Profile
4.64Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.64 cards a match, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.44).
Cards come from 156 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 51:28 | +23 | 55 | DLDDW |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 45:20 | +25 | 48 | WWWWL |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 51:36 | +15 | 42 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | +10 | 39 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 46:37 | +9 | 37 | WDLWW |
| 7 | Nublense | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 | WLLLL |
| 8 | D. La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39:42 | -3 | 33 | WLLWW |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 37:35 | +2 | 32 | LWLLL |
| 10 | Concepción | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 32 | LDDLW |
| 11 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 34:40 | -6 | 32 | DWWWD |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 29 | DWWLD |
| 13 |  O'Higgins | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 28 | DLLWL |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 26 | DDWLW |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 18:41 | -23 | 23 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23:42 | -19 | 21 | WDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 25 | 51:28 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 45:20 | 48 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 24 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 25 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 39:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 46:37 | 37 |
| 7 | Nublense | 25 | 30:38 | 35 |
| 8 | D. La Serena | 25 | 39:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 37:35 | 32 |
| 10 | Concepción | 25 | 27:30 | 32 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 24 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 24 | 27:32 | 29 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 25 | 29:39 | 28 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 25 | 36:46 | 26 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 18:41 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 25 | 23:42 | 21 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion 10/10/26
- Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena 11/10/26
- Concepción vs Union La Calera 11/10/26
- Deportes Limache vs Palestino 12/10/26
- A. Italiano vs Huachipato 24/10/26
- O'Higgins vs Cobresal 25/10/26
- Palestino vs Colo Colo 25/10/26
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache 26/10/26
About the Universidad de Chile vs Nublense forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Universidad de Chile and Nublense in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Universidad de Chile are 2nd and Nublense 7th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Universidad de Chile 45-20, Nublense 30-38. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.