Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction

Sligo Rovers
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Dundalk
The Showgrounds, Sligo 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-13.1%
Sligo Rovers Rest
8 days
Dundalk Rest
15 days

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk: result, form and history

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk drew 1-1 in the Premier Division on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Dundalk tend to win more corners, 5.3 a game to 3.2 for Sligo Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%4.11
X
24%3.92
2
47%1.73
Double Chance
1X
53%2.06
X2
71%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.25 = 2.51
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.53
Over 3.5
36%2.35
Under 1.5
21%4.90
Under 2.5
43%2.38
Under 3.5
64%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Tyreke WilsonFoul
25'Mayowa Animasahun INEgor Vassenin out
45'A. Gabbidon INSeb Quirk out
46'Kaiyne WooleryAssist: sean stewart
57'Luke YoungFoul
59'sean stewartFoul
62'Aodh Dervin INshane tracey out
63'Trevor Clarke INDeclan McDaid out
67'Daire Patton INJames McManus out
70'Kaiyne Woolery INLuke Pearce out
73'Cian dillon INleonardo gaxha out
74'Keith Buckley INHarry Groome out
90'ronan teahanAssist: Declan McDaid

Lineups

Sligo Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Purse
Dundalk
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Kilduff
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.56
Liam John Hughes8.11L. John Hughes
Aidan Gabbidon6.651A. Gabbidon
O. Denham6.815O. Denham
G. McElroy6.852G. McElroy
Sean Stewart6.53S. Stewart
L. Young6.26L. Young
D. Patton6.471D. Patton
K. Woolery7.841K. Woolery
A. Meekison6.110A. Meekison
J. Shorrock6.77J. Shorrock
C. Kavanagh6.211C. Kavanagh
E. Minogue6.01E. Minogue
B. Burns6.33B. Burns
M. Animasahun6.94M. Animasahun
T. Grivosti6.044T. Grivosti
T. Wilson5.822T. Wilson
K. Buckley6.218K. Buckley
A. Dervin6.56A. Dervin
T. Clarke6.715T. Clarke
R. Teahan8.211R. Teahan
D. Horgan6.87D. Horgan
C. Dillon6.59C. Dillon

Sligo Rovers Substitutes

23K. McDonagh
14J. McManus67'for Daire Patton6.4
9L. Pearce70'for Kaiyne Woolery6.5
4S. Quirk45'for A. Gabbidon6.4
48Ross Ruane-Dalton
50Ruben Gillespie
61Conor Cannon
77Kevin Zefi
60R. Brush

Dundalk Substitutes

17S. Tracey62'for Aodh Dervin6.4
16E. Vassenin25'for Mayowa Animasahun6.3
5H. Warren
20S. Safaei
12L. Mulligan
27D. McDaid63'for Trevor Clarke7.2
8H. Groome74'for Keith Buckley6.6
10Leonardo Gaxha73'for Cian dillon6.6
14Norman Garbett

Match Stats

Sligo RoversDundalk
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks13
2Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots23
2Shots on Goal9
1Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots10
11Fouls9
3Offsides3
7Goalkeeper Saves1
291Total Passes350
176Passes Accurate229
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
DundalkDundalk
1384Elo Rating 1493
0.56Attack 1.02
0.13Defense 0.78
0%Hit Rate 0%
8.2Shots per Game 14.0
2.3Shots on Target 4.9
3.2Corners per Game 5.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
DundalkDundalk4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
Premier Division25/04/2026
Sligo RoversDundalk
20
Premier Division16/03/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
10
FAI Cup18/07/2025
DundalkSligo Rovers
02
Premier Division21/09/2024
Sligo RoversDundalk
21
Premier Division13/06/2024
DundalkSligo Rovers
10
Premier Division19/04/2024
Sligo RoversDundalk
11
Premier Division04/03/2024
DundalkSligo Rovers
05
Premier Division20/10/2023
Sligo RoversDundalk
02
Premier Division11/08/2023
DundalkSligo Rovers
10

Recent Form

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
1W2D7L
09/10/2026
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
51
L
19/09/2026
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
01
L
14/09/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
13
L
11/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
20
L
04/09/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
30
L
28/08/2026
BohemiansSligo Rovers
30
L
21/08/2026
Sligo RoversWaterford
00
D
15/08/2026
Sligo RoversKerry
40
W
07/08/2026
Derry CitySligo Rovers
20
L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D
DundalkDundalk
2W2D6L
02/10/2026
DundalkBohemians
12
L
18/09/2026
DundalkShelbourne
23
L
14/09/2026
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
04
L
11/09/2026
WaterfordDundalk
11
D
06/09/2026
Derry CityDundalk
42
L
28/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
23
W
21/08/2026
DundalkGalway United
12
L
15/08/2026
DundalkCastlebar Celtic
80
W
07/08/2026
Shamrock RoversDundalk
32
L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk in the Premier Division table

In the Premier Division table, Dundalk are 7th and Sligo Rovers 10th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Sligo Rovers 26-64, Dundalk 52-58. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.