Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town Prediction

Exeter City
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Fleetwood Town
St James Park, Exeter 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
Exeter City Rest
3 days
Fleetwood Town Rest
3 days

Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: the result in context

Exeter City beat Fleetwood Town 2-1 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Exeter City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fleetwood Town.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.38
X
30%3.12
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
60%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.12 = 2.61
Over 1.5
72%1.34
Over 2.5
48%2.04
Over 3.5
27%3.74
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.73
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.83
Over 10.5
39%2.29
Under 8.5
37%2.44
Under 9.5
49%1.87
Under 10.5
61%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

35'Taylor PerryFoul
45'Taylor Perry INReece Cole out
58'Charlie CumminsAssist: Reece Cole
60'Jack FitzwaterFoul
61'Ronan CoughlanAssist: Crispin McLean
61'Finley Potter INDanny Andrew out
61'Ched Evans INR. Cirino out
63'Anthony Scully INEthan Sutherland out
64'L. WoodhouseAssist: George Birch
70'Lewis McCann INAaron Loupalo-Bi out
70'Crispin McLean INJosh Robertson out
71'Josh Gordon INSonny Cox out
78'George Birch INVincent Harper out
78'Harry Kite INLiam Oakes out

Lineups

Exeter City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Taylor
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2Coach: M. Lawlor
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.31
J. Bycroft6.31J. Bycroft
L. Samuel6.82L. Samuel
J. Taylor6.46J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater6.95J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse7.73L. Woodhouse
H. Kite6.414H. Kite
C. Cummins7.216C. Cummins
George Birch7.320G. Birch
T. Perry6.08T. Perry
A. Scully6.725A. Scully
J. Gordon6.610J. Gordon
J. Lynch5.61J. Lynch
S. Rooney5.526S. Rooney
Conor Haughey6.516C. Haughey
F. Potter5.95F. Potter
H. Neal6.24H. Neal
L. McCann6.014L. McCann
C. McLean7.027C. McLean
M. Helm6.010M. Helm
Jake Thomas Batty6.424J. Thomas Batty
C. Evans6.117C. Evans
R. Coughlan7.719R. Coughlan

Exeter City Substitutes

12R. Cole45'for Taylor Perry6.6
19S. Cox71'for Josh Gordon6.4
24V. Harper78'for George Birch6.5
40E. James
18Liam Oakes78'for Harry Kite6.5
22Frankie Phillips
23Ethan Sutherland63'for Anthony Scully6.2

Fleetwood Town Substitutes

29R. Cirino61'for Ched Evans6.2
3D. Andrew61'for Finley Potter6.3
9W. Davies
20A. Loupalo-Bi70'for Lewis McCann6.4
15A. Murphy
22J. Pradic
28J. Robertson70'for Crispin McLean6.8

Match Stats

Exeter CityFleetwood Town
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
9Fouls11
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
383Total Passes413
272Passes Accurate288
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Exeter CityExeter City
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
1560Elo Rating 1540
1.44Attack 1.36
2.45Defense 1.35
66%Hit Rate 17%
9.9Shots per Game 11.6
3.0Shots on Target 4.0
3.2Corners per Game 5.1
1.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Exeter CityExeter City1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1Wins · 25%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

League One24/02/2024
Exeter CityFleetwood Town
11
League One11/11/2023
Fleetwood TownExeter City
30
League One01/04/2023
Fleetwood TownExeter City
22
League One22/10/2022
Exeter CityFleetwood Town
21

Recent Form

Exeter CityExeter City
5W2D3L
20/10/2026
Exeter CityCrewe
20
W
17/10/2026
ColchesterExeter City
00
D
10/10/2026
ShrewsburyExeter City
01
W
06/10/2026
Exeter CityOxford United
4232
W
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
W
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
L
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
L
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
L
08/09/2026
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
20
W
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
3W2D5L
20/10/2026
CheltenhamFleetwood Town
42
L
17/10/2026
Fleetwood TownRotherham
20
W
10/10/2026
Fleetwood TownWalsall
11
D
06/10/2026
Fleetwood TownBarnsley
41
W
03/10/2026
Salford CityFleetwood Town
10
L
26/09/2026
Fleetwood TownRochdale
12
L
22/09/2026
OldhamFleetwood Town
10
L
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
L
16/09/2026
Fleetwood TownSheffield Utd
10
W
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Exeter City and Fleetwood Town in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Exeter City are 12th and Fleetwood Town 16th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Exeter City 11-9, Fleetwood Town 18-18. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.