Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 11
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad preview: form and head-to-head
Real Sociedad come into this one in far better shape, having won 4 of their last five against 1 for Athletic Club. It is a derby, played in the La Liga on 1 Nov 2026.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Athletic Club tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.2 for Real Sociedad.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Athletic Club
Real SociedadAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Athletic Club- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
Real Sociedad- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Athletic Club3Wins · 30%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
04/03/2026Real SociedadAthletic Club11/02/2026Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
01/02/2026Athletic ClubReal Sociedad01/11/2025Real SociedadAthletic Club04/05/2025Real SociedadAthletic Club24/11/2024Athletic ClubReal Sociedad13/01/2024Athletic ClubReal Sociedad30/09/2023Real SociedadAthletic Club15/04/2023Athletic ClubReal Sociedad14/01/2023Real SociedadAthletic ClubRecent Form
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Getafe
LevanteAthletic Club
ValenciaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
AlavesAthletic Club
ElcheAthletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Celta VigoAthletic Club
BarcelonaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Sevilla
ZaragozaAthletic ClubReal SociedadReal SociedadLevante
LillestromReal Sociedad
MalagaReal Sociedad
Union St. GilloiseReal SociedadReal Sociedad
Deportivo La CorunaValenciaReal SociedadReal Sociedad
BournemouthReal SociedadAtletico MadridElcheReal SociedadReal SociedadCelta VigoLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 7:19 | 5 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More La Liga matches
About the Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad forecast
As a derby, this La Liga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Athletic Club and Real Sociedad in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad are 5th and Athletic Club 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 12-9, Real Sociedad 19-18. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.