Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Cambuur
2-5
Finished
HT 1-3
PSV Eindhoven
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden·Sander van der Eijk 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Cambuur Rest
7 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
3 days

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven: result, form and history

PSV Eindhoven beat Cambuur 5-2 in the Eredivisie on 8 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Cambuur had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for PSV Eindhoven.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%5.90
X
18%5.34
2
68%1.40
Double Chance
1X
32%2.81
X2
86%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.40
No
30%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 2.15 = 3.46
Over 1.5
89%1.05
Over 2.5
73%1.25
Over 3.5
54%1.68
Under 1.5
11%8.43
Under 2.5
27%3.75
Under 3.5
46%2.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 6 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.25
Over 9.5
53%1.50
Over 10.5
42%1.91
Under 8.5
35%3.40
Under 9.5
47%2.41
Under 10.5
58%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%2.40
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
47%1.53
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

1'Sven MijnansAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević
15'Sven MijnansAssist: Ruben van Bommel
19'Ruben van BommelAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević
41'Nicky Souren
55'Mathieu MaertensFoul
58'Mathieu Maertens INSami Bouhoudane out
63'Sven MijnansFoul
64'Guus Til INRicardo Pepi out
65'Ruben van Bommel INAyoni Santos out
66'Morgan CostarelliFoul
68'Rafik El ArguiouiFoul
72'Sergiño DestFoul
73'Morgan Costarelli INEthan Apkakou out
73'Nicolas Binder INIwan Henstra out
75'Sergiño Dest INKiliann Sildillia out
78'Iwan HenstraAssist: Rafik El Arguioui
80'Sven Mijnans
86'Lutsharel Geertruida INRyan Flamingo out
86'Esmir Bajraktarević INDennis Man out
89'Rafik El Arguioui INSkye Vink out
89'Jason Ceka INFabian Kvam out
90+2'Ayoni SantosAssist: Kodai Sano

Lineups

Cambuur
4-3-3Coach: J. Plat
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Bosz
Avg rating6.19
Avg rating6.80
T. Jansen5.51T. Jansen
D. Bouah6.22D. Bouah
I. Baouf5.84I. Baouf
B. van Duijl5.614B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli5.228M. Costarelli
M. Maertens5.633M. Maertens
N. Souren7.78N. Souren
R. El Arguioui6.010R. El Arguioui
J. Çeka6.530J. Çeka
N. Binder6.213N. Binder
I. Hamache6.411I. Hamache
M. Kovář6.432M. Kovář
S. Dest6.18S. Dest
L. Geertruida6.92L. Geertruida
A. Obispo6.34A. Obispo
F. Kostić6.118F. Kostić
K. Sano6.724K. Sano
Mauro Júnior6.517M. Júnior
E. Bajraktarevic7.819E. Bajraktarevic
S. Mijnans9.021S. Mijnans
R. van Bommel7.97R. van Bommel
G. Til6.920G. Til

Cambuur Substitutes

3J. Berkhout
9S. Vink89'for Rafik El Arguioui6.3
22L. Plogmann
16R. Mulders
15F. Kvam89'for Jason Ceka6.3
27W. Kooistra
17Ethan Apkakou73'for Morgan Costarelli5.9
7S. Bouhoudane58'for Mathieu Maertens6.7
29Iwan Henstra73'for Nicolas Binder78'7.2
23L. Jetten
24M. Kalisvaart
45B. Vogelzang

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

31N. Fernandez
6R. Flamingo86'for Lutsharel Geertruida6.2
3Yarek Gasiorowski
29S. Lammers
27D. Man86'for Esmir Bajraktarević6.6
1N. Olij
9R. Pepi64'for Guus Til6.6
35A. Santos65'for Ruben van Bommel90+2'7.2
25K. Sildillia75'for Sergiño Dest5.8
42S. Cornecion
23M. Hansen
51T. Smolenaars

Match Stats

CambuurPSV Eindhoven
38%Ball Possession62%
1Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls19
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
303Total Passes510
225Passes Accurate426
17Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CambuurCambuur
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1683Elo Rating 1886
3.18Attack 2.38
2.47Defense 1.98
83%Hit Rate 39%
14.8Shots per Game 20.7
7.2Shots on Target 6.7
5.0Corners per Game 6.6
1.9Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.46 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CambuurCambuur
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 1.2 in second half)
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CambuurCambuur1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3Wins · 75%
4.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Eredivisie12/03/2023
PSV EindhovenCambuur
52
Eredivisie01/10/2022
CambuurPSV Eindhoven
30
Eredivisie23/04/2022
CambuurPSV Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie21/08/2021
PSV EindhovenCambuur
41

Referee Profile

Sander van der Eijk181 matches

3.56Cards per match
3.30Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sander van der Eijk3.56
Other referees3.31

3.56 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).

Cards come from 174 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cambuur and PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st and Cambuur 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Cambuur 25-27, PSV Eindhoven 40-15. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cambuur have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.