Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Utrecht Rest
7 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
3 days
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: result, form and history
NEC Nijmegen beat Utrecht 3-2 in the Eredivisie on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Utrecht have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.39
X27%3.80
234%2.63
Double Chance
1X65%1.44
X261%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.39
No35%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.32 = 2.88
Over 1.583%1.11
Over 2.563%1.44
Over 3.542%2.11
Under 1.517%5.75
Under 2.537%2.71
Under 3.558%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 5.2 = 10.4
Over 8.569%1.39
Over 9.557%1.67
Over 10.546%2.10
Under 8.531%2.70
Under 9.543%2.08
Under 10.554%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.561%2.20
Over 4.542%3.35
Under 3.539%1.62
Under 4.558%1.30
Match Events
34'Kevin KersAssist: Mitchel Bakker
38'Dušan TadićAssist: Deveron Fonville
56'Yoann CathlineAssist: Ángel Alarcón
58'Dušan Tadić
59'Marius Broholm INNordin Amrabat out
59'Artem Stepanov INOualid Agougil out
59'Ángel Alarcón INAdrian Blake out
64'Dani De WitAssist: Nordin Amrabat
69'Kevin Kers INClement Bischoff out
72'Nordin AmrabatPersistent infringement
76'Per Kloosterboer INS. van Duijn out
77'Deveron Fonville INPhilippe Sandler out
85'Bryan LinssenFoul
88'Dušan Tadić INWillum Thor Willumsson out
88'Tjaronn Chery INJamiro Monteiro out
88'Gabriel·Bras INTobias Storm out
89'Clement BischoffTime wasting
90'Yoann CathlineFoul
90+1'Niklas Vesterlund INJakov Medic out
90+2'Willum Thor WillumssonFoul
Lineups
UtrechtNEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick SchreuderAvg ratingAvg rating
1V. Barkas
23N. Vesterlund
3M. Didden
5N. Panagiotou
32P. Kloosterboer
80M. Broholm
8J. van Overeem
20D. de Wit
11Á. Alarcón
9A. Stepanov
10Y. Cathline
1G. Crettaz
73G. Brás
22A. Kaplan
24D. Fonville
34K. Kers
6D. Nejašmić
20N. Lebreton
5M. Bakker
9T. Chery
10D. Tadić
30B. LinssenUtrecht Substitutes
38O. Agougil59'for Artem Stepanov
39N. Amrabat59'for Marius Broholm72'
15A. Blake59'for Ángel Alarcón
33K. Gadellaa
2S. Horemans
18J. Medić90+1'for Niklas Vesterlund
6G. Offerhaus
21N. Ogidi Nwankwo
22S. Padt
34D. van den Berg
17S. van Duijn76'for Per Kloosterboer
92A. Zagré
NEC Nijmegen Substitutes
11W. Willumsson88'for Dušan Tadić90+2'
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
35Jamiro Monteiro88'for Tjaronn Chery
42Y. Moslih
12N. Polster
3P. Sandler77'for Deveron Fonville
14K. Sierhuis
21T. Storm88'for Gabriel·Bras
19Adam Tahaui
77A. Thomas
99Clement Bischoff69'for Kevin Kers89'
8I. Hansen-Aarøen
Match Stats
UtrechtNEC Nijmegen 49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
17Fouls11
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes400
293Passes Accurate292
10Free Kicks17
Team Comparison
UtrechtNEC Nijmegen1685Elo Rating 1718
1.72Attack 2.14
1.42Defense 1.50
54%Hit Rate 44%
16.4Shots per Game 19.9
4.7Shots on Target 6.2
7.3Corners per Game 7.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Utrecht- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NEC Nijmegen- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Utrecht6Wins · 60%Draws220%
NEC Nijmegen2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
11/02/2026NEC NijmegenUtrecht13
02/11/2025UtrechtNEC Nijmegen10
15/03/2025UtrechtNEC Nijmegen01
24/11/2024NEC NijmegenUtrecht12
17/03/2024UtrechtNEC Nijmegen10
23/09/2023NEC NijmegenUtrecht30
12/03/2023NEC NijmegenUtrecht22
16/09/2022UtrechtNEC Nijmegen00
29/04/2022UtrechtNEC Nijmegen10
22/09/2021NEC NijmegenUtrecht03
Recent Form
Utrecht4W3D3L
01/11/2026
TelstarUtrecht
Kozakken BoysUtrechtUtrecht
PEC Zwolle
TwenteUtrechtUtrecht
Willem II
FeyenoordUtrecht
ExcelsiorUtrechtUtrecht
GO Ahead EaglesUtrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
TelstarUtrecht42
L29/10/2026Kozakken BoysUtrecht01
W24/10/2026UtrechtPEC Zwolle11
D18/10/2026TwenteUtrecht12
W11/10/2026UtrechtWillem II31
W20/09/2026FeyenoordUtrecht50
L13/09/2026ExcelsiorUtrecht12
W08/09/2026UtrechtGO Ahead Eagles33
D30/08/2026UtrechtPSV Eindhoven16
L22/08/2026Sparta RotterdamUtrecht33
DNEC Nijmegen2W5D3L
05/11/2026NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
HeerenveenNEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Dinamo ZagrebNEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
Levski Sofia
AjaxNEC NijmegenNEC NijmegenGO Ahead Eagles
JuventusNEC Nijmegen
CambuurNEC Nijmegen
NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia31
W31/10/2026HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen10
L25/10/2026NEC NijmegenGroningen22
D22/10/2026Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen24
W18/10/2026NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard22
D15/10/2026NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia11
D10/10/2026AjaxNEC Nijmegen11
D20/09/2026NEC NijmegenGO Ahead Eagles11
D17/09/2026JuventusNEC Nijmegen50
L12/09/2026CambuurNEC Nijmegen30
LReferee Profile
3.70Cards per match
3.56Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.70 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40:15 | +25 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36:17 | +19 | 25 | LDDWW |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | +18 | 24 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 | WLLDL |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | DDWDD |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 12 | LWLWD |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11:40 | -29 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 36:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 30:12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 29:28 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 25:27 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 21:34 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 16:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 11:40 | 3 |
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About the Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie table
In the Eredivisie table, NEC Nijmegen are 11th and Utrecht 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Utrecht 21-34, NEC Nijmegen 20-21. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.