Willem II vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Willem II
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg·Allard Lindhout 06/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Willem II Rest
6 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
5 days

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: the result in context

Willem II and PEC Zwolle drew 1-1 in the Eredivisie on 6 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. PEC Zwolle tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.7 for Willem II.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.27
X
26%3.60
2
46%2.08
Double Chance
1X
54%1.71
X2
72%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.5 = 2.93
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.63
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
43%2.19
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 5.4 = 11.1
Over 8.5
75%1.30
Over 9.5
65%1.56
Over 10.5
54%1.96
Under 8.5
25%3.12
Under 9.5
35%2.29
Under 10.5
46%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
54%2.72
Over 4.5
34%-
Under 3.5
46%1.42
Under 4.5
66%-

Match Events

2'Sydney van Hooijdonk
3'Hidde ter Avest
45'Anass Zarrouk INkasper boogaard out
55'Uriël van Aalst INJari Schuurman out
58'Gilles Van Der Wal INElias Sörensen out
67'Tonny Vilhena INEser Gürbüz out
69'Vito van CrooyFoul
74'Olivier Aertssen INJan Burger out
74'Dylan Mbayo INThijs Oosting out
83'Vito van Crooy INThomas Verheydt out
83'Calvin Twigt INMats Lemmens out
85'Younes Namli INGabriel Reiziger out
85'Ryan Thomas INNick Fichtinger out

Lineups

Willem II
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Streppel
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: D. van der Ree
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.74
M. Delanghe6.226M. Delanghe
H. ter Avest7.55H. ter Avest
F. Stam6.73F. Stam
M. Dekker6.723M. Dekker
N. Tjoe-A-On7.424N. Tjoe-A-On
Anass Zarrouk6.318A. Zarrouk
C. Twigt7.16C. Twigt
T. Vilhena7.052T. Vilhena
Uriel van Aalst6.419U. van Aalst
V. van Crooij6.532V. van Crooij
D. Haen6.19D. Haen
J. Schendelaar7.41J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen7.23O. Aertssen
T. Velthuis6.94T. Velthuis
N. Viergever6.824N. Viergever
D. van der Haar6.733D. van der Haar
R. Thomas6.630R. Thomas
T. Sommer6.68T. Sommer
Gilles van der Wal6.137G. van der Wal
Y. Namli6.97Y. Namli
D. Mbayo7.011D. Mbayo
S. van Hooijdonk8.217S. van Hooijdonk

Willem II Substitutes

2A. Ciranni
8K. Boogaard45'for Anass Zarrouk6.3
11A. Culum
15A. Et-Taïbi
50E. Gürbüz67'for Tonny Vilhena6.9
83M. Lemmens83'for Calvin Twigt6.3
17O. Martin
10J. Schuurman55'for Uriël van Aalst6.8
28T. Verheydt83'for Vito van Crooy6.6
31K. de Leeuw
22Per van Loon
21W. van der Steen

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

6Jan Bürger74'for Olivier Aertssen6.1
42Dylan Ruward
43Torben Bos
25T. Oosting74'for Dylan Mbayo6.3
9E. Sørensen58'for Gilles Van Der Wal6.8
22I. Cissoko
34N. Fichtinger85'for Ryan Thomas6.2
20G. Reiziger85'for Younes Namli6.2
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
10K. Kostons
41D. Verduin
16T. de Graaff

Match Stats

Willem IIPEC Zwolle
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls8
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
413Total Passes557
336Passes Accurate473
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Willem IIWillem II
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1526Elo Rating 1580
1.50Attack 1.42
0.00Defense 2.03
19%Hit Rate 37%
10.6Shots per Game 16.2
3.3Shots on Target 4.9
3.7Corners per Game 6.3
2.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Willem IIWillem II2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle4Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Eredivisie14/05/2025
Willem IIPEC Zwolle
12
Eredivisie13/12/2024
PEC ZwolleWillem II
01
Eerste Divisie10/03/2023
Willem IIPEC Zwolle
23
Eerste Divisie09/09/2022
PEC ZwolleWillem II
22
Eredivisie14/01/2022
PEC ZwolleWillem II
20
Eredivisie28/08/2021
Willem IIPEC Zwolle
10
Eredivisie22/01/2021
Willem IIPEC Zwolle
13
Eredivisie24/10/2020
PEC ZwolleWillem II
00

Referee Profile

Allard Lindhout220 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.08Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allard Lindhout3.24
Other referees3.38

3.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 211 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Willem II vs PEC Zwolle forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Willem II and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PEC Zwolle are 13th and Willem II 18th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Willem II 11-40, PEC Zwolle 13-24. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.