ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Bingoal Stadion, The Hague·Alex Bos 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
ADO Den Haag Rest
6 days
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
6 days

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: the result in context

ADO Den Haag beat Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.48
X
25%3.60
2
35%2.63
Double Chance
1X
65%1.44
X2
61%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.47
No
35%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.43 = 3.00
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
40%2.38
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.37
Under 3.5
60%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.30
Over 9.5
58%1.52
Over 10.5
46%1.87
Under 8.5
31%3.10
Under 9.5
42%2.31
Under 10.5
54%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-2.25
Over 4.5
-3.45
Under 3.5
-1.60
Under 4.5
-1.28

Match Events

20'Pascal Mulder INLasse Wilhelm out
22'Juho KiloAssist: Jalen Hawkins
50'Bas KuipersAssist: Milan Zonneveld
52'Matteo WaemFoul
56'Shunsuke Mito INRobin van Cruijsen out
57'Nigel Thomas
66'Nigel Thomas INJesse Bal out
66'Mylian Jimenez INJan Zamburek out
69'Mitchell Van Bergen INAndrej Kostić out
70'Jalen Hawkins INCameron Peupion out
71'Illaijh de Ruijter INJonas Jensen-Abbew out
78'Michael Brouwer INFilip Bednarek out
79'Daryl van MieghemAssist: Cameron Peupion
86'Bruno Martins Indi INJens Toornstra out
86'Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi INJoel Ideho out
87'Milan Hokke INSekou Sylla out

Lineups

ADO Den Haag
4-2-3-1Coach: Levi Schwiebbe
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Meijer
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.19
K. Nikiéma7.11K. Nikiéma
Illaijh de Ruijter6.810I. de Ruijter
P. Mulder6.23P. Mulder
M. Waem6.74M. Waem
M. Hokke7.015M. Hokke
J. Kilo8.225J. Kilo
M. Jiménez6.414M. Jiménez
D. van Mieghem7.07D. van Mieghem
E. Rottier6.911E. Rottier
J. Hawkins7.717J. Hawkins
N. Thomas7.827N. Thomas
M. Brouwer5.91M. Brouwer
L. Martes6.22L. Martes
M. Young6.13M. Young
B. Martins Indi5.94B. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers7.15B. Kuipers
Cedric Hatenboer6.38C. Hatenboer
Teo Quintero6.56T. Quintero
M. van Bergen6.37M. van Bergen
S. Mito6.110S. Mito
I. Babadi7.211I. Babadi
M. Zonneveld6.79M. Zonneveld

ADO Den Haag Substitutes

22L. Wilhelm20'for Pascal Mulder6.8
32D. van Loenen
8J. Žambůrek66'for Mylian Jimenez6.4
9J. Bal66'for Nigel Thomas7.1
77D. Bárány
16Finn de Bruin
12Sem Eekhout
5J. Jensen-Abbew71'for Illaijh de Ruijter6.6
21C. Peupion70'for Jalen Hawkins7.3
33M. Šín
18S. Sylla87'for Milan Hokke6.6
23N. Thiede

Sparta Rotterdam Substitutes

18Robin van Cruijsen56'for Shunsuke Mito5.7
21J. Toornstra86'for Bruno Martins Indi5.8
17C. Terho
16A. Roaldsøy
12B. Reith
30P. Kuiper
19Andrej Kostić69'replaced by Mitchell Van Bergen
22Joel Ideho86'for Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi6.3
20F. Bednarek78'for Michael Brouwer4.8
15G. Vianello

Match Stats

ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots16
7Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
3Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves4
421Total Passes428
337Passes Accurate339
8Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
1601Elo Rating 1618
1.23Attack 2.38
1.47Defense 0.86
17%Hit Rate 44%
13.5Shots per Game 13.5
3.8Shots on Target 5.4
3.4Corners per Game 4.7
2.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1Wins · 25%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

KNVB Beker20/12/2023
ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
20
Eredivisie31/01/2021
ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
11
Eredivisie22/11/2020
Sparta RotterdamADO Den Haag
60
KNVB Beker28/10/2020
ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
5131

Referee Profile

Alex Bos168 matches

2.99Cards per match
2.85Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alex Bos2.99
Other referees3.24

2.99 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Sparta Rotterdam are 12th and ADO Den Haag 17th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: ADO Den Haag 16-25, Sparta Rotterdam 21-29. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.