Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles Prediction

Excelsior
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
GO Ahead Eagles
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam·Jeroen Manschot 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Excelsior Rest
6 days
GO Ahead Eagles Rest
7 days

Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles: the result in context

GO Ahead Eagles beat Excelsior 1-0 in the Eredivisie on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

GO Ahead Eagles have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. GO Ahead Eagles tend to win more corners, 4.6 a game to 1.6 for Excelsior.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.75
X
27%3.58
2
38%2.35
Double Chance
1X
61%1.55
X2
65%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.46
No
39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.32 = 2.67
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
36%2.40
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
42%2.30
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.42
Over 9.5
45%1.72
Over 10.5
34%2.15
Under 8.5
43%2.60
Under 9.5
55%1.99
Under 10.5
66%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-2.60
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
-1.45
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

60'Thibo Baeten INVictor Kaj Edvardsen out
60'Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson INErik Flataker Hovden out
70'Mario Domínguez Franco INDavid Garden out
70'Noah Naujoks INValentin Sulzbacher out
71'Aymen sliti INAlireza Jahanbakhsh out
72'Søren TengstedtAssist: Mathis Suray
76'Søren Tengstedt INOskar Siira Sivertsen out
79'Kasey Bos INSimon Janssen out
79'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INYaqub Finey out
81'Tomas GalvezFoul
84'Alfons Sampsted INGerrit Nauber out
84'Yassir Salah Rahmouni INTino Jukic out
90+5'Alireza JahanbakhshFoul

Lineups

Excelsior
4-2-3-1Coach: R. den Uil
GO Ahead Eagles
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Oosting
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.70
S. van Gassel5.81S. van Gassel
R. Meissen6.63R. Meissen
C. Widell6.94C. Widell
J. Plug7.614J. Plug
K. Bos6.612K. Bos
L. Hartjes6.720L. Hartjes
I. Yegoian7.18I. Yegoian
A. Sliti6.27A. Sliti
N. Naujoks6.810N. Naujoks
Á. Þorsteinsson5.930Á. Þorsteinsson
Mario Domínguez6.19M. Domínguez
J. Cillessen6.824J. Cillessen
A. Sampsted6.82A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen7.126J. Dirksen
J. Kramer7.14J. Kramer
Tomas Galvez6.127T. Galvez
M. Meulensteen6.421M. Meulensteen
Y. Rahmouni6.734Y. Rahmouni
S. Tengstedt8.110S. Tengstedt
M. Suray6.417M. Suray
T. Baeten6.223T. Baeten
S. Sigurðarson6.59S. Sigurðarson

Excelsior Substitutes

24Giulliano Cairo
19D. Garden70'for Mario Domínguez Franco6.4
11A. Jahanbakhsh71'for Aymen sliti90+5'6.1
15S. Janssen79'for Kasey Bos6.4
34Quinten Kraaivanger
23Y. Finey79'for Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson6.5
21I. Silva Timas
18V. Sulzbacher70'for Noah Naujoks6.2
22O. Turay
2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
6D. van Vianen
16Celton Biai

GO Ahead Eagles Substitutes

29E. Flataker60'for Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson6.3
1K. Haug
16V. Edvardsen60'for Thibo Baeten6.6
5D. James
6T. Jukić84'for Yassir Salah Rahmouni6.5
8E. Linthorst
18R. Margaret
3G. Nauber84'for Alfons Sampsted6.9
11O. Sivertsen76'for Søren Tengstedt6.9
33N. Verdoni
15R. Weijenberg
25G. van Zwam

Match Stats

ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
6Fouls7
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
451Total Passes495
355Passes Accurate397
7Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

ExcelsiorExcelsior
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
1624Elo Rating 1639
0.83Attack 2.32
0.00Defense 0.45
23%Hit Rate 42%
6.3Shots per Game 14.5
2.2Shots on Target 4.5
1.6Corners per Game 4.6
0.9Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

ExcelsiorExcelsior1Wins · 13%
Draws225%
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles5Wins · 62%
2.0Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Eredivisie01/03/2026
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
01
Eredivisie26/10/2025
GO Ahead EaglesExcelsior
20
Eredivisie30/03/2024
GO Ahead EaglesExcelsior
30
Eredivisie16/12/2023
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
11
Eredivisie14/04/2023
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
21
Eredivisie29/10/2022
GO Ahead EaglesExcelsior
31
Eerste Divisie12/05/2021
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
01
Eerste Divisie31/10/2020
GO Ahead EaglesExcelsior
00

Referee Profile

Jeroen Manschot185 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.32Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
19.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeroen Manschot3.43
Other referees3.17

3.43 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.17).

Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excelsior and GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, GO Ahead Eagles are 8th and Excelsior 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Excelsior 16-29, GO Ahead Eagles 24-27. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

GO Ahead Eagles have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.