Twente vs Ajax Prediction

Twente
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Ajax
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede·Joey Kooij 08/11/2026
TwenteTwente
2-2
Finished
AjaxAjax

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Twente Rest
2 days
Ajax Rest
2 days

Twente vs Ajax: the result in context

Twente and Ajax drew 2-2 in the Eredivisie on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Twente tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.9 for Ajax.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.94
X
28%4.09
2
27%3.40
Double Chance
1X
73%1.32
X2
55%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.37
No
30%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 1.47 = 3.41
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.40
Over 3.5
46%2.00
Under 1.5
15%6.50
Under 2.5
34%2.88
Under 3.5
54%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.3 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.41
Over 9.5
41%1.72
Over 10.5
30%2.13
Under 8.5
47%2.65
Under 9.5
59%2.03
Under 10.5
70%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%2.25
Over 4.5
37%3.45
Under 3.5
44%1.60
Under 4.5
63%1.28

Match Events

3'Tolu ArokodareAssist: Oscar Gloukh
35'Lucas Oliveira·RosaFoul
52'Tolu ArokodareFoul
59'Davy Klaassen INRayane Bounida out
60'Robin PropperFoul
60'Yves Bissouma INSofyan Amrabat out
64'Aaron BouwmanFoul
66'Rayane BounidaAssist: Oscar Gloukh
68'Dies JanseOG
69'Younes Taha El Idrissi INMarko Pjaca out
70'Oscar GloukhFoul
75'Penalty cancelledTolu Arokodare
79'Youri Baas INDaley Blind out
82'Daouda Weidmann INThomas Van den Belt out
82'Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard INLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink out
82'Daouda WeidmannFoul
87'Oscar Gloukh INAbdellah Ouazane out
87'Tolu Arokodare INMarcos Leonardo Santos Almeida out
90+2'Ramiz ZerroukiDissent
90+3'Penalty confirmedRamiz Zerrouki
90+4'Owen Wijndal
90+5'Wout Weghorst(Penalty)

Lineups

Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: J. van den Brom
Ajax
4-2-3-1Coach: Míchel
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.58
J. Drommel6.016J. Drommel
B. van Rooij6.528B. van Rooij
R. Pröpper6.33R. Pröpper
R. Nijstad6.84R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard6.529A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki6.26R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann6.48D. Weidmann
D. Rots6.711D. Rots
Y. Taha6.610Y. Taha
S. Ørjasæter6.327S. Ørjasæter
W. Weghorst7.89W. Weghorst
M. ter Stegen7.11M. ter Stegen
Lucas Rosa6.52L. Rosa
A. Bouwman6.230A. Bouwman
D. Janse6.136D. Janse
O. Wijndal6.05O. Wijndal
Y. Bissouma6.828Y. Bissouma
Y. Baas6.415Y. Baas
D. Klaassen5.918D. Klaassen
J. Mokio6.424J. Mokio
O. Gloukh7.910O. Gloukh
T. Arokodare7.499T. Arokodare

Twente Substitutes

18Jordy Bawuah
31Yannick Gerritsen
14K. Hlynsson
24K. Kurowski
22R. Pasveer
7M. Pjaca69'for Younes Taha El Idrissi6.9
2M. Rosiak
20T. van den Belt82'for Daouda Weidmann6.0
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink82'for Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard6.9

Ajax Substitutes

38Marcos Leonardo87'for Tolu Arokodare6.5
68A. Ouazane87'for Oscar Gloukh6.1
26M. Paes
21Jofre Torrents
20O. Edvardsen
12Caio Henrique
22J. Heerkens
43Rayane Bounida59'for Davy Klaassen66'7.5
17D. Blind79'for Youri Baas6.3
67Mohamed Abdalla
4S. Amrabat60'for Yves Bissouma6.2

Match Stats

TwenteAjax
55%Ball Possession45%
9Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards5
23Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
3Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
516Total Passes420
438Passes Accurate358
10Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

TwenteTwente
AjaxAjax
1877Elo Rating 1906
4.06Attack 3.27
2.28Defense 2.25
86%Hit Rate 100%
23.4Shots per Game 17.0
9.7Shots on Target 6.6
7.7Corners per Game 4.9
1.2Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.41 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TwenteTwente
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.6 in first half)
AjaxAjax
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TwenteTwente3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
AjaxAjax5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie04/04/2026
AjaxTwente
12
Eredivisie26/10/2025
TwenteAjax
23
Eredivisie18/05/2025
AjaxTwente
20
Eredivisie10/11/2024
TwenteAjax
22
Eredivisie14/04/2024
AjaxTwente
21
Eredivisie17/09/2023
TwenteAjax
31
Eredivisie28/05/2023
TwenteAjax
31
KNVB Beker09/02/2023
TwenteAjax
01
Eredivisie14/01/2023
AjaxTwente
00
Eredivisie13/02/2022
AjaxTwente
50

Referee Profile

Joey Kooij158 matches

3.37Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joey Kooij3.37
Other referees3.27

3.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Twente vs Ajax forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Twente and Ajax in the Eredivisie table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ajax are 3rd in the Eredivisie, 1 point ahead of Twente in 4th. League goal record so far: Twente 30-12, Ajax 32-15. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Twente have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ajax have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.