Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Arena Condá, Chapeco·R. Pereira

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
Upgrade to Pro to see the best pickLog in
Chapecoense-sc Rest
11 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
6 days

Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama in numbers

On form this looks evenly balanced, with Chapecoense-sc on 1 win from their last five and Vasco DA Gama on 2. They meet in the Serie A on 14 Nov 2026.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 0.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6.79
X
4.75
2
1.44
Double Chance
1X
2.75
X2
1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.75
No
1.95
Goals
Over 1.5
1.19
Over 2.5
1.61
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 1.5
4.50
Under 2.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.50
Corners
Over 8.5
1.43
Over 9.5
1.73
Over 10.5
2.14
Under 8.5
2.60
Under 9.5
2.01
Under 10.5
1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-1.61
Over 4.5
-2.10
Under 3.5
-2.23
Under 4.5
-1.68
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1506Elo Rating 1742
0.80Attack 1.64
0.85Defense 0.97
19%Hit Rate 44%
10.9Shots per Game 12.0
3.3Shots on Target 3.0
4.1Corners per Game 3.1
2.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc0Wins · 0%
Draws3100%
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama0Wins · 0%
0.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A06/02/2026
Vasco DA GamaChapecoense-sc
11
Serie B31/07/2022
Vasco DA GamaChapecoense-sc
00
Serie B23/04/2022
Chapecoense-scVasco DA Gama
00

Referee Profile

R. Pereira11 matches analysed

4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 68% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th and Chapecoense-sc 20th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Chapecoense-sc 33-68, Vasco DA Gama 43-50. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.