Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 33
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo preview: form and head-to-head
There is little to separate the two on recent form: Vasco DA Gama have won 2 of their last five and Flamengo 3. It is a derby, played in the Serie A on 29 Oct 2026.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Bruno Arleu averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Vasco DA Gama
FlamengoAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Vasco DA Gama- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Flamengo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Vasco DA Gama0Wins · 0%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
03/05/2026FlamengoVasco DA Gama
22/01/2026FlamengoVasco DA Gama21/09/2025FlamengoVasco DA Gama19/04/2025Vasco DA GamaFlamengo08/03/2025FlamengoVasco DA Gama01/03/2025Vasco DA GamaFlamengo16/02/2025FlamengoVasco DA Gama15/09/2024FlamengoVasco DA Gama02/06/2024Vasco DA GamaFlamengo04/02/2024Vasco DA GamaFlamengoRecent Form
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
CorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Boca Juniors
Sao PauloVasco DA GamaBoca JuniorsVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
Remo
BotafogoVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
CoritibaVasco DA Gama
Santa Fe
GremioVasco DA GamaSanta FeVasco DA GamaFlamengoFlamengo
Atletico-MGFlamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
BahiaFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.FlamengoFlamengo
Fluminense
SantosFlamengoFlamengo
RB BragantinoFlamengo
Independiente del ValleFlamengoCorinthiansIndependiente del ValleFlamengoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.67 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).
Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Serie A matches
About the Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo forecast
As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Flamengo are 1st and Vasco DA Gama 13th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Vasco DA Gama 39-45, Flamengo 64-27. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.