Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Corinthians
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Chapecoense-sc
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo·W. do Nascimento 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.99
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Corinthians Rest
7 days
Chapecoense-sc Rest
7 days

Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc: the result in context

Chapecoense-sc beat Corinthians 2-1 in the Serie A on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 0.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.45
X
21%4.45
2
16%7.20
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
37%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.99
No
46%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.9 = 2.58
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.88
Over 3.5
31%3.13
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
46%1.93
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.34
Over 9.5
51%1.61
Over 10.5
39%1.99
Under 8.5
35%2.80
Under 9.5
49%2.13
Under 10.5
61%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.39
Over 4.5
40%1.83
Under 3.5
40%2.80
Under 4.5
60%1.83

Match Events

1'Yago FelipeFoul
2'Matheus BiduAssist: Gustavo Henrique
40'Marcio Antonio de Sousa JuniorAssist: Heitor
45+1'Goal cancelledBreno Bidon
45+4'Tulio Eduardo Silva De OliveiraFoul
57'Giovanni AugustoFoul
61'Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira INYannick Bolasie out
61'Giovanni Augusto INMiguel Carvalho Vianna out
66'Memphis Depay INGui Negão out
66'Allan INJesse Lingard out
73'Kauan FariaTime wasting
74'Yago Felipe INEverton Souza da Cruz out
74'Heitor INBruno Matias out
77'Marcio Antonio de Sousa JuniorAssist: Yannick Bolasie
82'Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior INDavid Antunes da Silva out
84'Rodrigo Garro INPedro Raul out
84'André Carrillo INMatheus Pereira out
90'Kaio César INDieguinho out

Lineups

Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael Lacerda
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.56
Kauê Camargo6.951K. Camargo
Matheuzinho7.12Matheuzinho
João Pedro6.54J. Pedro
Gustavo Henrique7.013G. Henrique
Matheus Bidu7.721M. Bidu
A. Carrillo6.519A. Carrillo
Allan6.329Allan
Kaio César6.637K. César
R. Garro6.18R. Garro
Breno6.77Breno
M. Depay6.310M. Depay
Anderson7.598Anderson
Heitor7.15Heitor
Kauan Faria Gomes6.221K. Faria Gomes
Doma6.63Doma
Fernando5.912Fernando
Yago Felipe6.088Y. Felipe
Camilo6.727Camilo
Marcinho8.67Marcinho
Giovanni Augusto6.110G. Augusto
Garcez5.831Garcez
99T. Eduardo Silva De Oliveira

Corinthians Substitutes

18Pedro Raul84'for Rodrigo Garro6.4
46Hugo
77J. Lingard66'for Allan6.0
40Felipe Longo
80Alex Santana
20P. Milans
23Matheus Pereira84'for André Carrillo6.1
35Charles
56Guilherme Inácio66'for Memphis Depay6.4
61Dieguinho90'for Kaio César
55I. Machado
26F. Angileri

Chapecoense-sc Substitutes

15Rafael Thyere
26Everton74'for Yago Felipe6.3
29F. Rossi
6Mancha
30Matheus Aurélio
70Rubens
80Miguel Carvalho61'for Giovanni Augusto6.1
77D. Borrero
11Y. Bolasie61'replaced by Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira6.9
19David Antunes82'for Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior6.3
16Bruno Matias74'for Heitor6.5

Match Stats

CorinthiansChapecoense-sc
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots1
9Fouls21
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
674Total Passes426
610Passes Accurate352
91%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CorinthiansCorinthians
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
1629Elo Rating 1506
1.15Attack 0.80
1.69Defense 0.85
23%Hit Rate 19%
20.4Shots per Game 10.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.3
5.6Corners per Game 4.1
3.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CorinthiansCorinthians2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc0Wins · 0%
0.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A20/03/2026
Chapecoense-scCorinthians
00
Serie A02/11/2021
CorinthiansChapecoense-sc
10
Serie A09/07/2021
Chapecoense-scCorinthians
01

Referee Profile

W. do Nascimento225 matches

5.55Cards per match
5.35Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

W. do Nascimento5.55
Other referees5.22

5.55 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Corinthians and Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Corinthians are 17th and Chapecoense-sc 20th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Corinthians 36-42, Chapecoense-sc 33-68. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.