Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction
Brazil · Semi-finalsCupKnockout
São Januário, Rio de Janeiro 08/11/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.23
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
2 days
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras: the result in context
Palmeiras beat Vasco DA Gama on penalties (5-4) after a 2-1 draw in the Copa Do Brasil on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Palmeiras had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Vasco DA Gama.
Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Palmeiras tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.1 for Vasco DA Gama.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%2.60
X28%3.21
240%2.70
Double Chance
1X60%1.44
X268%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.81
No51%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.81 + 1.16 = 1.97
Over 1.562%1.36
Over 2.538%2.12
Over 3.521%3.87
Under 1.538%3.10
Under 2.562%1.70
Under 3.579%1.23
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
16'Facundo ColidioAssist: Cuiabano
20'Gabriel PereiraFoul
25'Thiago MendesDissent
45+1'Maurício Magalhães PradoFoul
45+5'Daniel FuzatoDissent
45+6'Jhon AriasDissent
55'Joaquín PiquerezAssist: Lucas Evangelista
60'Marcelo LombaDissent
66'Gabriel Pereira INBrenner out
67'Paulo Henrique INJose Luis Rodriguez out
71'Jhon Arias INAndreas Pereira out
71'Maurício Magalhães Prado INArthur Gabriel out
71'José Manuel López INVitor Roque out
76'Jose Luis RodriguezAssist: Alan Lescano
80'Joaquín Piquerez INRamon Sosa out
82'Bruno Duarte Da Silva INDavid out
82'Andrés GómezFoul
83'Murilo Cerqueira Paim INBruno Fuchs out
84'Alexander BarbozaArgument
88'Marlon FreitasFoul
90+3'CuiabanoFoul
90+3'Cuiabano INLucas Piton out
Penalty Shootout4 - 5
1Vitor Roque(Penalty)
1Alan Lescano(Penalty missed)
2Gustavo Gómez(Penalty)
2Thiago Mendes(Penalty)
3Ramon Sosa(Penalty)
3Santiago Sosa(Penalty)
4Andreas Pereira(Penalty)
4Facundo Colidio(Penalty)
5Agustin Giay(Penalty missed)
5Jose Luis Rodriguez(Penalty)
6Marlon Freitas(Penalty)
6Andrés Gómez(Penalty missed)
Lineups
Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras
3-4-2-1Coach: Abel FerreiraAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Jardim
96P. Henrique
55G. Pereira
30R. Renan
66Cuiabano
5S. Sosa
23T. Mendes
11A. Gómez
22A. Lescano
9F. Colidio
19B. Duarte
1C. Miguel
26Murilo
15G. Gómez
2A. Barboza
4A. Giay
17M. Freitas
30L. Evangelista
22J. Piquerez
18Maurício
11J. Arias
42J. LópezVasco DA Gama Substitutes
7David82'for Bruno Duarte Da Silva
28Adson
18M. Hinestroza
6Lucas Piton90+3'for Cuiabano
17Nuno Moreira
8Jair
2J. Rodríguez67'for Paulo Henrique76'
83Ramon Rique
20Brenner66'for Gabriel Pereira
3Tchê Tchê
43Lucas Freitas
13Daniel Fuzato45+5'
Palmeiras Substitutes
12Khellven
56Arthur71'for Maurício Magalhães Prado
9Vitor Roque71'for José Manuel López
43Benedetti
50Luis Felipe
32E. Martínez
14Marcelo Lomba60'
8Andreas Pereira71'for Jhon Arias
7Felipe Anderson
19R. Sosa80'for Joaquín Piquerez
48Larson
3Bruno Fuchs83'for Murilo Cerqueira Paim
Match Stats
Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras 53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards5
11Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
12Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
439Total Passes339
339Passes Accurate234
11Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras1742Elo Rating 1874
1.64Attack 2.18
0.97Defense 2.59
44%Hit Rate 66%
12.0Shots per Game 17.3
3.0Shots on Target 5.6
3.1Corners per Game 5.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vasco DA Gama- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Vasco DA Gama1Wins · 11%Draws111%
Palmeiras7Wins · 78%
7Wins · 78%2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
01/11/2026PalmeirasVasco DA Gama10
23/08/2026PalmeirasVasco DA Gama41
12/03/2026Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras21
02/10/2025PalmeirasVasco DA Gama30
04/05/2025Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras01
22/09/2024Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras01
14/06/2024PalmeirasVasco DA Gama20
27/08/2023PalmeirasVasco DA Gama10
23/04/2023Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras22
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama5W1D4L
04/11/2026
Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
FlamengoVasco DA Gama
CorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Boca Juniors
Sao PauloVasco DA GamaBoca JuniorsVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
Remo
BotafogoVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama13
W01/11/2026PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
30/10/2026PalmeirasVasco DA Gama10
LVasco DA GamaFlamengo14
L24/10/2026Vasco DA GamaCorinthians32
W21/10/2026Vasco DA GamaBoca Juniors13
L18/10/2026Sao PauloVasco DA Gama10
L14/10/2026Boca JuniorsVasco DA Gama01
W10/10/2026Vasco DA GamaRemo00
D08/10/2026BotafogoVasco DA Gama12
W20/09/2026Vasco DA GamaCoritiba50
WPalmeiras8W2D0L
05/11/2026PalmeirasRemoPalmeiras
RB BragantinoPalmeiras
FluminenseFluminensePalmeirasPalmeirasCorinthiansPalmeiras
Bahia
GremioPalmeiras
PalmeirasRemo61
W01/11/2026PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama10
W28/10/2026
SantosPalmeiras
24/10/2026SantosPalmeiras00
DPalmeirasRB Bragantino20
W22/10/2026PalmeirasFluminense5031
W18/10/2026Atletico ParanaensePalmeiras
15/10/2026Atletico ParanaensePalmeiras02
WFluminensePalmeiras12
W11/10/2026PalmeirasCorinthians41
W09/10/2026PalmeirasBahia10
W20/09/2026GremioPalmeiras00
DBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13Botafogo
Chapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemo
CruzeiroSantosCoritiba
InternacionalRB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengo
Vitoria
Atletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
More Copa Do Brasil matches
About the Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.