Mirassol vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie ABrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 35
Mirassol
-
14/11/2026
22:30
Atletico-MG
José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol·S. Sampaio
MirassolMirassol
14/11/202622:30
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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SignalModelSurpriseGap
Mirassol Rest
10 days
Atletico-MG Rest
7 days

Mirassol vs Atletico-MG: what the numbers say

Mirassol have won 2 of their last five, while Atletico-MG are still looking for a first win in that run. The match is played in the Serie A on 14 Nov 2026.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Referee S. Sampaio averages 4.53 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.95
X
3.58
2
3.72
Double Chance
1X
1.25
X2
1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.69
No
2.05
Goals
Over 1.5
1.26
Over 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 1.5
3.65
Under 2.5
1.96
Under 3.5
1.36
Corners
Over 8.5
1.27
Over 9.5
1.50
Over 10.5
1.85
Under 8.5
3.20
Under 9.5
2.37
Under 10.5
1.85
Cards
Over 3.5
1.44
Over 4.5
1.85
Under 3.5
2.67
Under 4.5
1.88
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Team Comparison

MirassolMirassol
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1661Elo Rating 1704
1.07Attack 0.33
1.94Defense 1.30
44%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 12.8
3.3Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 5.8
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MirassolMirassol0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2Wins · 67%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A16/05/2026
Atletico-MGMirassol
31
Serie A28/09/2025
Atletico-MGMirassol
10
Serie A26/04/2025
MirassolAtletico-MG
22

Recent Form

MirassolMirassol
4W3D3L
03/11/2026
Chapecoense-scMirassol
12
W31/10/2026
CorinthiansMirassol
20
L24/10/2026
MirassolSao Paulo
11
D17/10/2026
MirassolInternacional
20
W12/10/2026
BahiaMirassol
10
L08/10/2026
RB BragantinoMirassol
11
D19/09/2026
MirassolBotafogo
20
W13/09/2026
MirassolVitoria
22
D06/09/2026
CoritibaMirassol
12
W03/09/2026
FlamengoMirassol
20
L
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
3W2D5L
07/11/2026
Atletico-MGGremio
11
D
05/11/2026
BotafogoAtletico-MG
10
L01/11/2026
GremioAtletico-MG
20
L29/10/2026
Atletico-MGCruzeiro
01
L27/10/2026
FlamengoAtletico-MG
32
L22/10/2026
Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG
20
L17/10/2026
Atletico-MGCoritiba
10
W15/10/2026
Atletico-MGAtletico Torque
30
W11/10/2026
Atletico-MGSantos
21
W09/10/2026
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG
22
D

Referee Profile

S. Sampaio169 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Sampaio4.53
Other referees5.18

4.53 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).

Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

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About the Mirassol vs Atletico-MG forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mirassol and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG are 7th and Mirassol 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Mirassol 39-48, Atletico-MG 44-40. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.