Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction

Crystal Palace
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Liverpool
Selhurst Park, London·Tony Harrington 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Crystal Palace Rest
2 days
Liverpool Rest
3 days

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: result, form and history

Liverpool beat Crystal Palace 3-1 in the Premier League on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Liverpool had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Crystal Palace.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Liverpool tend to win more corners, 7.9 a game to 2.9 for Crystal Palace.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%5.22
X
22%4.47
2
58%1.59
Double Chance
1X
42%2.37
X2
80%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.56
No
42%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.63 = 2.81
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
40%2.25
Under 1.5
20%5.35
Under 2.5
40%2.62
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5.4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.43
Over 9.5
52%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.14
Under 8.5
37%2.65
Under 9.5
48%2.02
Under 10.5
59%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.8 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.83
Over 4.5
35%2.60
Under 3.5
46%1.88
Under 4.5
65%1.48

Match Events

24'Ronald AraujoFoul
40'Alexis Mac AllisterAssist: Dominik Szoboszlai
54'Florian WirtzAssist: Bradley Barcola
59'Bradley BarcolaFoul
60'Quinten Timber INDario Osorio out
69'Dominik Szoboszlai INTreymaurice Nyoni out
69'Bradley Barcola INVíctor Muñoz out
71'Yeremy PinoFoul
72'Jörgen Strand Larsen INEddie Nketiah out
76'Cody Gakpo INRio Ngumoha out
82'Jefferson LermaArgument
82'Víctor Muñoz
83'Alexis Mac AllisterArgument
87'Yeremy Pino INDwight McNeil out
87'Oscar Mingueza INAnan Khalaili out
89'Alexander IsakAssist: Florian Wirtz
90'Alexander Isak INLewis Koumas out
90+1'Ronald Araujo INJoe Gomez out
90+5'Eddie Nketiah(Penalty)

Lineups

Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: P. Sage
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Coach: Andoni Iraola
Avg rating6.24
Avg rating7.40
D. Henderson6.61D. Henderson
C. Richards6.226C. Richards
A. Disasi6.55A. Disasi
J. Lerma6.08J. Lerma
Óscar Mingueza6.230Ó. Mingueza
A. Wharton6.120A. Wharton
Q. Timber6.723Q. Timber
T. Mitchell5.83T. Mitchell
D. Kamada6.418D. Kamada
Yeremy Pino5.910Y. Pino
J. Strand Larsen6.322J. Strand Larsen
Alisson Becker7.91A. Becker
R. Araújo6.333R. Araújo
J. Jacquet8.05J. Jacquet
V. van Dijk7.34V. van Dijk
M. Kerkez7.16M. Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai7.78D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister8.210A. Mac Allister
C. Gakpo6.618C. Gakpo
F. Wirtz9.07F. Wirtz
B. Barcola7.429B. Barcola
A. Isak7.89A. Isak

Crystal Palace Substitutes

9E. Nketiah72'for Jörgen Strand Larsen90+5'6.1
19W. Hughes
24D. Osorio60'for Quinten Timber6.4
11D. McNeil87'for Yeremy Pino6.3
44W. Benítez
6J. Canvot
33B. Chilwell
25A. Khalaili87'for Oscar Mingueza6.0
28C. Doucouré

Liverpool Substitutes

2J. Gomez90+1'for Ronald Araujo
21K. Tsimikas
3W. Endo
23Víctor Muñoz69'for Bradley Barcola82'6.8
42T. Nyoni69'for Dominik Szoboszlai7.0
53J. McConnell
67L. Koumas90'for Alexander Isak
73R. Ngumoha76'for Cody Gakpo6.7
25G. Mamardashvili

Match Stats

Crystal PalaceLiverpool
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots20
7Shots on Goal8
7Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box18
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots4
10Fouls18
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves6
420Total Passes358
336Passes Accurate276
17Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
LiverpoolLiverpool
1765Elo Rating 1919
0.75Attack 1.63
1.66Defense 1.34
19%Hit Rate 31%
8.7Shots per Game 17.0
3.2Shots on Target 4.0
2.9Corners per Game 7.9
2.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
LiverpoolLiverpool
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
LiverpoolLiverpool4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League25/04/2026
LiverpoolCrystal Palace
31
League Cup29/10/2025
LiverpoolCrystal Palace
03
Premier League27/09/2025
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
21
Premier League25/05/2025
LiverpoolCrystal Palace
11
Premier League05/10/2024
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
01
Premier League14/04/2024
LiverpoolCrystal Palace
01
Premier League09/12/2023
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
12
Premier League25/02/2023
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
00
Premier League15/08/2022
LiverpoolCrystal Palace
11
Premier League23/01/2022
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
13

Referee Profile

Tony Harrington148 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.46Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tony Harrington3.57
Other referees3.74

3.57 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.74).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Crystal Palace vs Liverpool forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Crystal Palace and Liverpool in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Liverpool are 4th in the Premier League, while Crystal Palace sit 20th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Crystal Palace 10-24, Liverpool 14-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.