Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction
England · Round of 16
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Liverpool vs Chelsea: the result in context
Liverpool beat Chelsea on penalties (6-5) after a 1-1 draw in the League Cup on 28 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Liverpool had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Chelsea.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Penalty Shootout6 - 5
Lineups
Liverpool
Avg ratingAvg rating
25G. Mamardashvili
2J. Gomez
33R. Araújo
4V. van Dijk
21K. Tsimikas
38R. Gravenberch
42T. Nyoni
67L. Koumas
53J. McConnell
73R. Ngumoha
18C. Gakpo
39M. Penders
34J. Kofi Acheampong
5M. Lacroix
3W. Fofana
27M. Gusto
25M. Caicedo
45R. Lavia
7P. Neto
14J. Henderson
17M. Rogers
18D. WelbeckLiverpool Substitutes
Chelsea Substitutes
Match Stats
LiverpoolChelsea Team Comparison
LiverpoolChelseaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Liverpool- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chelsea- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Liverpool3Wins · 30%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
09/05/2026LiverpoolChelsea04/10/2025ChelseaLiverpool04/05/2025ChelseaLiverpool20/10/2024LiverpoolChelsea25/02/2024ChelseaLiverpool31/01/2024LiverpoolChelsea13/08/2023ChelseaLiverpool04/04/2023ChelseaLiverpool21/01/2023LiverpoolChelsea
14/05/2022ChelseaLiverpoolRecent Form
LiverpoolLiverpool
BrightonLiverpool
Villarreal
BrentfordLiverpool
Lask LinzLiverpoolLiverpool
Manchester City
BournemouthLiverpoolLiverpool
TottenhamLiverpool
FulhamLiverpool
Atletico Madrid
IpswichLiverpoolChelseaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.41 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Wycombe1
Stevenage2
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
Sunderland
Crystal PalaceBournemouth
ArsenalLiverpool
Aston Villa
Manchester UnitedBrightonManchester City
Hull City
CoventryIpswichBrentford
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
NewcastleTottenham
EvertonChelseaFulhamCambridge United0
Millwall1Nottingham Forest0Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02Chelsea2
Luton0Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0SunderlandCrystal PalaceBournemouthArsenalLiverpoolAston VillaManchester UnitedBrightonManchester City
Reading1Brentford2Ipswich2Arsenal4Manchester City5
Norwich0Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Liverpool vs Chelsea forecast
As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About League Cup
More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.