FC Cincinnati vs DC United Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 23
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
FC Cincinnati Rest
3 days
DC United Rest
3 days
FC Cincinnati vs DC United: result, form and history
FC Cincinnati beat DC United 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.57
X20%4.60
219%4.65
Double Chance
1X81%1.18
X239%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.35
No35%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.99 = 3.03
Over 1.587%1.07
Over 2.570%1.30
Over 3.551%1.74
Under 1.513%7.45
Under 2.530%3.45
Under 3.549%2.02
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 5.2 = 11.6
Over 8.579%1.32
Over 9.569%1.57
Over 10.559%1.97
Under 8.521%2.96
Under 9.531%2.22
Under 10.541%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.552%1.61
Over 4.533%2.20
Under 3.548%2.23
Under 4.567%1.62
Match Events
14'David Douděra
38'Kimito NonoAssist: João Gabriel Martins Peglow
45'Tyrell Malacia INBryan Ramirez out
54'Kimito NonoFoul
55'Teenage HadebeAssist: Evander
67'Jackson Hopkins INNathan Ordaz out
69'David Douděra INAlvas Powell out
79'Silvan Hefti INOscar Avilez out
79'Brandon Servania INMatti Peltola out
80'Kevin Denkey INSamuel Mawuena Gidi out
80'Tom Barlow INAyoub Jabbari out
87'Nick HagglundArgument
88'Tai BariboArgument
90'Evander INKenji Mboma Dem out
90'Kye Rowles INSean Nealis out
90+5'Ayoub JabbariTime wasting
Lineups
FC CincinnatiDC United
4-4-2Coach: R. WeilerAvg ratingAvg rating
18R. Celentano
24K. Smith
4N. Hagglund
15T. Hadebe
23D. Douděra
20P. Bucha
5O. Nwobodo
3T. Malacia
10Evander
16T. Barlow
9K. Denkey
26A. Bono
5S. Hefti
3L. Bartlett
15K. Rowles
6K. Kurokawa
2K. Nono
21A. Dozzell
23B. Servania
7Peglow
9T. Baribo
25J. HopkinsFC Cincinnati Substitutes
99A. Jabbari80'for Tom Barlow90+5'
22G. Valenzuela
13E. Louro
17K. Mboma Dem90'for Evander
2A. Powell69'for David Douděra
11S. Gidi80'for Kevin Denkey
27B. Anunga
29Bryan Josías Ramírez León45'for Tyrell Malacia
88A. Chirila
DC United Substitutes
13S. Nealis90'for Kye Rowles
8J. Stroud
27Nikola Markovic
4M. Peltola79'for Brandon Servania
22N. Ordaz67'for Jackson Hopkins
24J. Farr
40K. Castillo
32O. Avilez79'for Silvan Hefti
12C. Antley
Match Stats
FC CincinnatiDC United 47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots6
8Fouls13
2Goalkeeper Saves4
407Total Passes447
320Passes Accurate359
13Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
FC CincinnatiDC United1592Elo Rating 1487
1.57Attack 1.31
1.10Defense 0.26
44%Hit Rate 19%
18.1Shots per Game 13.3
6.2Shots on Target 3.8
5.9Corners per Game 6.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cincinnati- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
DC United- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FC Cincinnati4Wins · 40%Draws220%
DC United4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
01/06/2025FC CincinnatiDC United12
13/04/2025DC UnitedFC Cincinnati01
04/07/2024DC UnitedFC Cincinnati23
10/03/2024FC CincinnatiDC United00
25/06/2023DC UnitedFC Cincinnati30
07/05/2023FC CincinnatiDC United21
09/10/2022DC UnitedFC Cincinnati25
06/03/2022FC CincinnatiDC United01
26/09/2021DC UnitedFC Cincinnati42
01/08/2021FC CincinnatiDC United00
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati2W3D5L
18/10/2026FC Cincinnati
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati
Houston DynamoFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Charlotte
Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati
Nashville SCFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Seattle SoundersFC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew02
L15/10/2026FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution23
L11/10/2026Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati13
W27/09/2026CF MontrealFC Cincinnati31
L20/09/2026Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati22
D13/09/2026FC CincinnatiCharlotte33
D10/09/2026Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati50
L30/08/2026Nashville SCFC Cincinnati40
L23/08/2026FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders11
D20/08/2026FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
WDC United2W3D5L
18/10/2026
Orlando City SCDC UnitedDC United
New York Red Bulls
Inter MiamiDC United
Vancouver WhitecapsDC UnitedDC UnitedCharlotteDC UnitedAtlanta United FCDC UnitedColumbus CrewDC United
Los Angeles FCCharlotteDC United
Orlando City SCDC United41
L15/10/2026DC UnitedNew York Red Bulls21
W11/10/2026Inter MiamiDC United40
L01/10/2026DC United
SC Paderborn 07
27/09/2026DC UnitedSC Paderborn 0701
LVancouver WhitecapsDC United33
D20/09/2026DC UnitedCharlotte12
L13/09/2026DC UnitedAtlanta United FC00
D10/09/2026DC UnitedColumbus Crew21
W30/08/2026DC UnitedLos Angeles FC00
D23/08/2026CharlotteDC United31
LReferee Profile
3.96Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.96 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).
Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 70 | WDWWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 51:42 | +9 | 55 | WWWLL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 73:53 | +20 | 55 | LWWWL |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 55:46 | +9 | 51 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 47 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 46 | LDWWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 60:72 | -12 | 42 | DWDWL |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 64:71 | -7 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 41:56 | -15 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 50:49 | +1 | 38 | WWWLW |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 48:59 | -11 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 12 | New York City FC | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 45:43 | +2 | 35 | DDLLD |
| 13 | DC United | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 38:55 | -17 | 33 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 39:54 | -15 | 30 | LLWLD |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36:62 | -26 | 25 | LDLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 66:23 | 70 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 31 | 51:42 | 55 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 31 | 73:53 | 55 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 55:46 | 51 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | 55:48 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | 62:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 31 | 60:72 | 42 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | 64:71 | 42 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 41:56 | 39 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 50:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 48:59 | 36 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 31 | 45:43 | 35 |
| 13 | DC United | 31 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 31 | 39:54 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 36:62 | 25 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal 18/10/26
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC 18/10/26
- Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids 18/10/26
- FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew 18/10/26
- CF Montreal vs Nashville SC 24/10/26
- Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC 24/10/26
- New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami 24/10/26
- Orlando City SC vs New York City FC 25/10/26
About the FC Cincinnati vs DC United forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Cincinnati and DC United in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, FC Cincinnati are 8th and DC United 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Cincinnati 64-71, DC United 38-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.