Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.61
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Lanus Rest
8 days
Velez Sarsfield Rest
6 days
Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield: result, form and history
Lanus beat Velez Sarsfield 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.18 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.15
X31%3.00
225%3.75
Double Chance
1X75%1.25
X256%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.10
No53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.95 = 2.27
Over 1.565%1.50
Over 2.538%2.50
Over 3.518%5.00
Under 1.535%2.54
Under 2.562%1.50
Under 3.582%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.558%1.65
Over 9.548%2.08
Over 10.535%2.65
Under 8.542%2.15
Under 9.552%1.67
Under 10.565%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.574%1.31
Over 4.557%1.62
Under 3.526%3.25
Under 4.543%2.20
Match Events
11'Lucas RobertoneFoul
19'Thiago AguirreFoul
34'Rodrigo AliendroFoul
57'Thiago Aguirre INDiego Valdés out
59'Sasha Julian MarcichAssist: Lucas Agustín Besozzi
67'Allan Steven Wlk Duré INYoshan Valois out
67'Lucas Agustín Besozzi INMatías Sepúlveda out
73'Carlos IzquierdozFoul
74'Matias Arias INDilan Godoy out
74'Juan Cruz Policella INSimón Escobar out
81'Marcelino Moreno INRamiro Carrera out
81'Eduardo Salvio INGonzalo Thomás Lobos out
88'Ramiro CarreraDissent
90+1'Lucas Robertone INLuca Feler out
90+1'Elías Gómez INLautaro Piola out
90+4'Diego Agustín Medina INGonzalo German Perez Corbalan out
90+5'Tomás MarchioriOG
Lineups
LanusVelez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1Coach: Guillermo Barros SchelottoAvg ratingAvg rating
26N. Losada
33T. Guidara
24C. Izquierdoz
13J. Canale
6S. Marcich
17A. Medina
30A. Cardozo
77L. Besozzi
10M. Moreno
11E. Salvio
20A. Wlk
1T. Marchiori
4J. García
32T. Silveor
16L. Magallán
3E. Gómez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone
35M. Arias
37J. Policella
39T. Aguirre
77R. MartínezLanus Substitutes
23R. Carrera81'for Marcelino Moreno88'
35R. De Jesús
15R. Loaiza
42G. Lobos81'for Eduardo Salvio
3N. Morgantini
1F. Petroli
5F. Peña
4G. Pérez90+4'for Diego Agustín Medina
16M. Sepúlveda67'for Lucas Agustín Besozzi
19Y. Valois67'for Allan Steven Wlk Duré
8F. Watson
38B. Acosta
Velez Sarsfield Substitutes
46Ulises Piedrabuena
47A. Pereyra
21Jano Gordon
15D. Godoy74'for Matias Arias
48Luca Feler90+1'for Lucas Robertone
18S. Escobar74'for Juan Cruz Policella
19L. Cristaldo
5C. Baeza
30L. Piola90+1'for Elías Gómez
23F. Sanguinetti
10D. Valdés57'for Thiago Aguirre
17A. Verón
Match Stats
LanusVelez Sarsfield 48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots3
8Fouls13
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
451Total Passes485
360Passes Accurate374
12Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
LanusVelez Sarsfield1702Elo Rating 1720
1.48Attack 1.30
2.83Defense 1.68
81%Hit Rate 44%
10.8Shots per Game 14.4
4.1Shots on Target 4.9
4.2Corners per Game 6.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Lanus- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Lanus2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Velez Sarsfield5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
21/03/2026Velez SarsfieldLanus01
31/08/2025Velez SarsfieldLanus30
22/05/2025LanusVelez Sarsfield20
22/02/2025LanusVelez Sarsfield00
20/11/2024Velez SarsfieldLanus00
05/07/2023LanusVelez Sarsfield01
21/07/2022LanusVelez Sarsfield22
02/04/2022Velez SarsfieldLanus31
21/08/2021Velez SarsfieldLanus51
25/04/2021LanusVelez Sarsfield12
Recent Form
Lanus4W2D4L
03/10/2026
Newells Old BoysLanusLanus
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca JuniorsLanusLanus
Argentinos JRSLanus
Independiente
Talleres CordobaLanus
Union Santa FeLanusLanus
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old BoysLanus00
D22/09/2026LanusEstudiantes L.P.21
W15/09/2026
Deportivo RiestraLanus
Deportivo RiestraLanus03
W06/09/2026Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
29/08/2026LanusDefensa Y Justicia10
WBoca JuniorsLanus10
L25/08/2026LanusArgentinos JRS11
D17/08/2026LanusIndependiente13
L12/08/2026Talleres CordobaLanus03
W07/08/2026Union Santa FeLanus21
L03/08/2026LanusInstituto Cordoba01
LVelez Sarsfield3W6D1L
06/10/2026Velez Sarsfield
PlatenseVelez Sarsfield
TigreNewells Old BoysVelez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
River PlateVelez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldDefensa Y JusticiaBoca JuniorsVelez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldIndependiente
Velez SarsfieldPlatense22
D21/09/2026Velez SarsfieldTigre32
W11/09/2026Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield11
D06/09/2026Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.10
W03/09/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
LDeportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield11
D24/08/2026River PlateVelez Sarsfield22
D18/08/2026Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y Justicia11
D09/08/2026Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield11
D04/08/2026Velez SarsfieldIndependiente10
WReferee Profile
6.18Cards per match
5.90Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.18 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DWDLD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | DWLLD |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | DDLLD |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | LLLWD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 29 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:14 | +7 | 24 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:13 | +5 | 24 | WLLWD |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | +7 | 23 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 20 | DWWLD |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:13 | +2 | 20 | DWLLD |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | DWLLD |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 17 | DWDLD |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | LWLDD |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | LLDLD |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 | DDLLD |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | WLWDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 13 | 18:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 16:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 13 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 7:12 | 17 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 12:20 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
About the Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lanus and Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Velez Sarsfield are 3rd and Lanus 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Lanus 18-15, Velez Sarsfield 18-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Lanus have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.