Lille vs Lens Prediction

Lille
-
30/10/2026
21:05
Lens
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
LilleLille
30/10/202621:05
LensLens

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Lille Rest
5 days
Lens Rest
6 days

Lille vs Lens preview: form and head-to-head

Lens arrive in slightly better form, with 3 wins from their last five to 1 for Lille. It is a derby, played in the Ligue 1 on 30 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.48
X
3.54
2
2.71
Double Chance
1X
1.44
X2
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.55
No
2.30
Goals
Over 1.5
1.20
Over 2.5
1.72
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 1.5
4.25
Under 2.5
2.15
Under 3.5
1.44
Corners
Over 8.5
1.50
Over 9.5
1.90
Over 10.5
2.40
Under 8.5
2.38
Under 9.5
1.87
Under 10.5
1.50
Cards
Over 3.5
1.42
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 3.5
2.77
Under 4.5
1.95
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

LilleLille
LensLens
1781Elo Rating 1846
1.07Attack 1.41
0.83Defense 1.38
17%Hit Rate 61%
12.5Shots per Game 14.9
3.8Shots on Target 5.0
3.6Corners per Game 5.5
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

LilleLille
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LilleLille5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
LensLens2Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 104/04/2026
LilleLens
30
Ligue 120/09/2025
LensLille
30
Ligue 130/03/2025
LilleLens
10
Ligue 126/10/2024
LensLille
02
Ligue 129/03/2024
LilleLens
21
Ligue 108/10/2023
LensLille
11
Ligue 104/03/2023
LensLille
11
Ligue 109/10/2022
LilleLens
10
Ligue 116/04/2022
LilleLens
12
Coupe de France04/01/2022
LensLille
4232

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain852116:9+717WWWWW
2RennesRennes851218:14+416WLWLW
3LilleLille843111:6+515DDWLW
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7LensLens841316:12+413WWWLD
8MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
9LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
10NiceNice83238:10-211WLWWL
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre80268:15-72LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain816:917
2RennesRennes818:1416
3LilleLille811:615
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7LensLens816:1213
8MarseilleMarseille818:1312
9LorientLorient87:612
10NiceNice88:1011
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre88:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Lille vs Lens forecast

As a derby, this Ligue 1 meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lille and Lens in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lille are 3rd and Lens 7th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Lille 11-6, Lens 16-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.