Lille vs Galatasaray Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Lille Rest
3 days
Galatasaray Rest
4 days
Lille vs Galatasaray: the result in context
Galatasaray beat Lille 4-2 in the UEFA Champions League on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.22
X26%3.67
231%3.10
Double Chance
1X69%1.36
X257%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.53
No38%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.47 = 3.06
Over 1.580%1.18
Over 2.559%1.67
Over 3.538%2.62
Under 1.520%4.50
Under 2.541%2.25
Under 3.562%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.556%1.60
Over 9.545%2.01
Over 10.534%2.62
Under 8.544%2.23
Under 9.555%1.74
Under 10.566%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.8
Over 3.570%1.53
Over 4.552%1.96
Under 3.530%2.44
Under 4.548%1.79
Match Events
2'Yunus Akgün
7'Soriba DiaouneAssist: Alexsandro
21'Nabil BentalebFoul
27'Penalty cancelledVictor Osimhen
39'Soriba DiaouneAssist: Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
44'Aleksey BatrakovAssist: Roland Sallai
52'Berke ÖzerOG
59'Benjamin AndréFoul
61'Victor OsimhenAssist: Baris Alper Yilmaz
62'Gabriel INMario Lemina out
62'Benjamin André INMaurits Kjaergaard out
63'Maxima Goffi INNianzou Tanguy Kouassi out
63'Ngal'ayel Mukau INOlivier Giroud out
75'Soriba Diaoune INGaëtan Perrin out
75'Nabil Bentaleb INBasar Onal out
75'Baris Alper Yilmaz INEren Elmalı out
76'Yunus Akgün INLeroy Sané out
84'Victor Osimhen INDeniz Gül out
85'Aleksey Batrakov INİlkay Gündoğan out
85'Ismail JakobsFoul
89'Gaëtan PerrinFoul
Lineups
LilleGalatasaray
4-2-3-1Coach: O. BurukAvg ratingAvg rating
1B. Özer
38M. Goffi
3N. Ngoy
4A. Ribeiro
24C. Verdonk
17N. Mukau
6N. Bentaleb
21B. André
7D. Bakwa
10H. Haraldsson
35S. Diaoune
1U. Çakır
7R. Sallai
6D. Sánchez
42A. Bardakcı
4I. Jakobs
34L. Torreira
8G. Sara
11Y. Akgün
83A. Batrakov
53B. Yılmaz
45V. OsimhenLille Substitutes
14M. Kjærgaard62'for Benjamin André
23T. Nianzou63'for Maxima Goffi
19B. Önal75'for Nabil Bentaleb
15R. Perraud
28G. Perrin75'for Soriba Diaoune89'
50Thomas Sajous
2L. Srdanovic
9O. Giroud63'for Ngal'ayel Mukau
12O. Gill
26I. Cossier
Galatasaray Substitutes
17E. Elmalı75'for Baris Alper Yilmaz
20İ. Gündoğan85'for Aleksey Batrakov
19G. Güvenç
99M. Lemina62'for Gabriel
73Berat Luş
74Renato Nhaga
10L. Sané76'for Yunus Akgün
90W. Singo
18L. Ugochukwu
24J. Yılmaz
3E. Bitshiabu
21D. Gül84'for Victor Osimhen
Match Stats
LilleGalatasaray 56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
9Fouls10
6Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
523Total Passes412
450Passes Accurate331
8Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
LilleGalatasaray1781Elo Rating 1830
1.07Attack 2.00
0.83Defense 0.95
17%Hit Rate 66%
12.5Shots per Game 13.8
3.8Shots on Target 4.8
3.6Corners per Game 5.3
1.7Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
Game State Tendencies
Lille- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Galatasaray- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Lille5W2D3L
Galatasaray6W1D3L
17/10/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.GalatasarayGalatasaray
BarcelonaGalatasaray
Kasımpaşa
Sporting CPGalatasaray
BaşakşehirGalatasarayGalatasaray
Göztepe
Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Galatasaray01
W13/10/2026GalatasarayBarcelona14
L09/10/2026GalatasarayKasımpaşa31
W02/10/2026
PendiksporGalatasaray
PendiksporGalatasaray33
D19/09/2026
TrabzonsporGalatasaray
TrabzonsporGalatasaray40
L13/09/2026Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
09/09/2026GalatasarayKocaelispor10
WSporting CPGalatasaray31
L04/09/2026BaşakşehirGalatasaray23
W29/08/2026GalatasarayGöztepe32
W21/08/2026Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray04
WReferee Profile
4.29Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).
Cards come from 69 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
VikingAEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Praha
LyonSlovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonSlovan BratislavaMjallby AIFAarhusLech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeFC ThunDinamo ZagrebSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianFK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer ShevaOmonia NicosiaCeljeExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the Lille vs Galatasaray forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lille and Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, Galatasaray are 23rd and Lille 35th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Lille 4-10, Galatasaray 6-9. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Lille and Galatasaray have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.