Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction
France · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: what the numbers say
This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 5 wins from five for Paris Saint Germain and 3 for Lyon. They meet in the Ligue 1 on 25 Oct 2026.
Paris Saint Germain have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Paris Saint Germain
LyonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Paris Saint Germain- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lyon- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Paris Saint Germain7Wins · 70%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
19/04/2026Paris Saint GermainLyon09/11/2025LyonParis Saint Germain23/02/2025LyonParis Saint Germain15/12/2024Paris Saint GermainLyon
25/05/2024LyonParis Saint Germain21/04/2024Paris Saint GermainLyon03/09/2023LyonParis Saint Germain02/04/2023Paris Saint GermainLyon18/09/2022LyonParis Saint Germain09/01/2022LyonParis Saint GermainRecent Form
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Barcelona
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Manchester CityParis Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Le Mans
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Slovan BratislavaParis Saint Germain
Monaco
LilleParis Saint Germain
RennesParis Saint Germain
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.14 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).
Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 14 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 14 | LDWDW |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 | WWLLL |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 9 | DWLLW |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 9 | WDWDL |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 13 |  Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | LWWLD |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 5:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 5:11 | 2 |
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This match
About the Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Paris Saint Germain and Lyon in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Paris Saint Germain (2nd) and Lyon (1st) are level on 14 points. League goal record so far: Paris Saint Germain 14-9, Lyon 13-5. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Paris Saint Germain have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lyon have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.