Monaco vs Lille Prediction

Monaco
-
25/10/2026
15:00
Lille
Stade Louis II, Monaco·Francois Letexier
MonacoMonaco
25/10/202615:00
LilleLille

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Value Analysis
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Monaco Rest
2 days
Lille Rest
3 days

Monaco vs Lille: what the numbers say

There is little to separate the two on recent form: Monaco have won 3 of their last five and Lille 2. The match is played in the Ligue 1 on 25 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.06
X
3.40
2
3.65
Double Chance
1X
1.29
X2
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.65
No
2.13
Goals
Over 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
1.81
Over 3.5
2.95
Under 1.5
3.80
Under 2.5
2.00
Under 3.5
1.40
Corners
Over 8.5
1.54
Over 9.5
1.96
Over 10.5
2.48
Under 8.5
2.31
Under 9.5
1.82
Under 10.5
1.48
Cards
Over 3.5
1.63
Over 4.5
2.08
Under 3.5
2.23
Under 4.5
1.69
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

MonacoMonaco
LilleLille
1864Elo Rating 1781
1.32Attack 1.07
1.81Defense 0.83
39%Hit Rate 17%
12.6Shots per Game 12.5
4.4Shots on Target 3.8
3.4Corners per Game 3.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

Game State Tendencies

MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LilleLille
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonacoMonaco2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
LilleLille5Wins · 50%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 110/05/2026
MonacoLille
01
Ligue 124/08/2025
LilleMonaco
10
Ligue 122/02/2025
LilleMonaco
21
Ligue 118/10/2024
MonacoLille
00
Ligue 124/04/2024
MonacoLille
10
Ligue 129/10/2023
LilleMonaco
20
Ligue 114/05/2023
MonacoLille
00
Ligue 123/10/2022
LilleMonaco
43
Ligue 106/05/2022
LilleMonaco
12
Ligue 119/11/2021
MonacoLille
22

Referee Profile

Francois Letexier223 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Francois Letexier4.28
Other referees4.04

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).

Cards come from 218 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LyonLyon742113:5+814WLWDW
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain742114:9+514WWWWL
3Paris FCParis FC742112:7+514WLWDW
4LilleLille742110:5+514DWLWW
5MonacoMonaco742110:6+414LDWDW
6RennesRennes741215:14+113LWLWW
7LorientLorient73227:6+111WWLDW
8LensLens731314:11+310WWLDL
9MarseilleMarseille730414:10+49WWLLL
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29723213:10+39DWLLW
11ToulouseToulouse723212:11+19WDWDL
12AuxerreAuxerre730411:17-69WLWWL
13NiceNice72236:9-38LWWLD
14StrasbourgStrasbourg721412:15-37LLLDW
15AngersAngers72149:15-67LLWDL
16Le MansLe Mans713310:15-56LLWDD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes71155:16-114LLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre70255:11-62LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LyonLyon713:514
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain714:914
3Paris FCParis FC712:714
4LilleLille710:514
5MonacoMonaco710:614
6RennesRennes715:1413
7LorientLorient77:611
8LensLens714:1110
9MarseilleMarseille714:109
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29713:109
11ToulouseToulouse712:119
12AuxerreAuxerre711:179
13NiceNice76:98
14StrasbourgStrasbourg712:157
15AngersAngers79:157
16Le MansLe Mans710:156
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes75:164
18Le HavreLe Havre75:112
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Monaco vs Lille forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monaco and Lille in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco (5th) and Lille (4th) are level on 14 points. League goal record so far: Monaco 10-6, Lille 10-5. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monaco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.