Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City: the result in context
Minnesota United FC beat St. Louis City 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: St. Louis City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Minnesota United FC.
Minnesota United FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Referee Ramy Touchan averages 5.24 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Minnesota United FC
Avg ratingAvg rating
12D. Callender
52C. Valerius
28J. Díaz
23M. Duggan
21B. Hlongwane
25N. Triantis
20W. Trapp
13A. Markanich
18M. Gonzalez
16A. Jackson
9K. Yeboah
1R. Bürki
99J. Orozco
32T. Baumgartl
27F. Fall
59M. Joyner
21D. Polvara
28M. Perez
14T. Totland
77J. Sang-Bin
11S. Becher
9R. NavarroMinnesota United FC Substitutes
St. Louis City Substitutes
Match Stats
Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City Team Comparison
Minnesota United FCSt. Louis CityAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Minnesota United FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
St. Louis City- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Minnesota United FC6Wins · 75%2Wins · 25%Previous meetings
13/09/2026St. Louis CityMinnesota United FC27/07/2025St. Louis CityMinnesota United FC
22/05/2025Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City18/05/2025Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City20/10/2024Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City15/09/2024St. Louis CityMinnesota United FC24/09/2023Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City02/04/2023St. Louis CityMinnesota United FCRecent Form
Minnesota United FC
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis CityMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
FC Dallas
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Atlanta United FCSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy
New York Red BullsSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Toronto FCColorado RapidsSt. Louis CitySt. Louis CityMinnesota United FCPortland TimbersSt. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CitySt. Louis CityFC DallasSt. Louis CityHouston DynamoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.24 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).
Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
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This match
About the Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Minnesota United FC and St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: St. Louis City are 2nd in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC sit 13th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Minnesota United FC 47-55, St. Louis City 56-41. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
St. Louis City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.