Rennes vs Lille Prediction

Rennes
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Lille
Roazhon Park, Rennes·Clement Turpin 08/11/2026
RennesRennes
1-2
Finished
LilleLille

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Rennes Rest
3 days
Lille Rest
4 days

Rennes vs Lille: the result in context

Lille beat Rennes 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.57 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.31
X
29%3.50
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
59%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.55
No
39%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.37 = 2.88
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.68
Over 3.5
36%2.70
Under 1.5
20%4.29
Under 2.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
64%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
56%1.53
Over 9.5
45%1.90
Over 10.5
34%2.42
Under 8.5
44%2.35
Under 9.5
55%1.87
Under 10.5
66%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.85
Over 4.5
39%2.69
Under 3.5
41%1.85
Under 4.5
61%1.44

Match Events

24'Soriba Diaoune
31'Boulaye DiaAssist: Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal
55'Calvin VerdonkNot retreating
62'Calvin Verdonk INRomain Perraud out
62'Nabil Bentaleb INMaurits Kjaergaard out
63'Eliezer Mayenda INMousa Al-Tamari out
68'Nathan NgoyAssist: Soriba Diaoune
73'Maurits KjaergaardFoul
73'Ethan Mbappe INDilane Bakwa out
74'Boulaye Dia INIssa Soumaré out
75'Mahdi Camara INDjaoui Cissé out
75'Adrien Thomasson INLudovic Blas out
77'Nathan NgoyFoul
82'Gonçalo Oliveira INSebastian Szymański out
83'Ngal'ayel Mukau INIsaac Cossier out
83'Hákon Arnar Haraldsson INOlivier Giroud out

Lineups

Rennes
3-5-2Coach: F. Haise
Lille
4-3-3Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.57
B. Samba6.130B. Samba
A. Ait Boudlal7.848A. Ait Boudlal
C. Cresswell6.84C. Cresswell
Gonçalo Oliveira6.85G. Oliveira
B. Reynolds6.214B. Reynolds
A. Thomasson6.328A. Thomasson
V. Rongier7.021V. Rongier
M. Camara6.345M. Camara
M. Nagida6.418M. Nagida
B. Dia7.822B. Dia
Eliezer Mayenda6.312E. Mayenda
B. Özer6.21B. Özer
N. Ngoy7.13N. Ngoy
T. Nianzou6.923T. Nianzou
Alexsandro Ribeiro6.94A. Ribeiro
C. Verdonk6.124C. Verdonk
N. Mukau6.517N. Mukau
N. Bentaleb6.56N. Bentaleb
B. André6.321B. André
E. Mbappé6.48E. Mbappé
H. Haraldsson6.310H. Haraldsson
S. Diaoune8.235S. Diaoune

Rennes Substitutes

10L. Blas75'for Adrien Thomasson6.7
6D. Cissé75'for Mahdi Camara5.8
95P. Frankowski
16N. Lemaître
26Q. Merlin
24A. Rouault
90I. Soumaré74'for Boulaye Dia6.5
17S. Szymański82'for Gonçalo Oliveira6.1
11Mousa Tamari63'for Eliezer Mayenda6.5

Lille Substitutes

7D. Bakwa73'for Ethan Mbappe6.8
26I. Cossier83'for Ngal'ayel Mukau5.9
12O. Gill
9O. Giroud83'for Hákon Arnar Haraldsson6.6
38M. Goffi
14M. Kjærgaard62'for Nabil Bentaleb73'6.1
15R. Perraud62'for Calvin Verdonk6.2
28G. Perrin
11O. Sahraoui

Match Stats

RennesLille
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots1
7Fouls15
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
558Total Passes466
483Passes Accurate385
15Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

RennesRennes
LilleLille
1813Elo Rating 1812
1.80Attack 0.90
0.96Defense 2.00
19%Hit Rate 23%
13.8Shots per Game 11.7
5.9Shots on Target 4.1
4.2Corners per Game 4.8
1.9Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RennesRennes
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
LilleLille
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RennesRennes1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
LilleLille5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 115/03/2026
RennesLille
12
Ligue 103/01/2026
LilleRennes
02
Ligue 116/02/2025
RennesLille
02
Ligue 124/11/2024
LilleRennes
10
Ligue 110/03/2024
LilleRennes
22
Ligue 116/09/2023
RennesLille
22
Ligue 104/02/2023
RennesLille
13
Ligue 106/11/2022
LilleRennes
11
Ligue 121/05/2022
LilleRennes
22
Ligue 101/12/2021
RennesLille
12

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin270 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.33Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Clement Turpin3.57
Other referees4.09

3.57 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.09).

Cards come from 263 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
5NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
6MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
7RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
8MarseilleMarseille950420:13+715WWWWL
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4LyonLyon1015:917
5NiceNice1015:1217
6MonacoMonaco1013:1116
7RennesRennes1021:2116
8MarseilleMarseille920:1315
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens916:1313
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Rennes vs Lille forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rennes and Lille in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lille are 2nd and Rennes 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Rennes 21-21, Lille 14-7. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.