Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon Prediction

Stade Brestois 29
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lyon
Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest·Jeremy Stinat 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.24
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
5 days
Lyon Rest
2 days

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: the result in context

Stade Brestois 29 beat Lyon 2-0 in the Ligue 1 on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Lyon tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 2.7 for Stade Brestois 29.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.78
X
26%3.50
2
38%2.50
Double Chance
1X
62%1.52
X2
64%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.45 = 2.90
Over 1.5
77%1.24
Over 2.5
55%1.80
Over 3.5
33%2.90
Under 1.5
23%3.92
Under 2.5
45%2.05
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.52
Over 9.5
46%1.89
Over 10.5
35%2.42
Under 8.5
43%2.34
Under 9.5
54%1.85
Under 10.5
65%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.67
Over 4.5
41%2.15
Under 3.5
40%2.11
Under 4.5
59%1.65

Match Events

22'Noah EdjoumaAssist: Kamory Doumbia
55'Corentin TolissoDissent
58'Noah Teye Nartey INMads Bidstrup out
62'Penalty cancelledKail Boudache
63'Kail Boudache
66'Mama Baldé INPathé Mboup out
67'Noah Edjouma INGiovani Versini out
67'Kail Boudache INErnest Nuamah out
67'Nicolás Tagliafico INAbner Vinicius out
73'Kamory Doumbia INMamady Diambou out
78'Keito Nakamura INJulien Duranville out
79'Khalis Merah INAlejandro Gomes Rodríguez out
90'Ludovic AjorqueTime wasting
90+4'Ludovic Ajorque(Penalty)

Lineups

Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Lyon
4-3-3Coach: Jorge Maciel
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.45
E. Selvik7.01E. Selvik
K. Lala7.070K. Lala
L. Tousart7.429L. Tousart
G. Lloris6.94G. Lloris
B. Locko6.92B. Locko
J. Chotard6.613J. Chotard
H. Magnetti6.88H. Magnetti
N. Edjouma8.211N. Edjouma
K. Doumbia7.723K. Doumbia
Mama Baldé6.217M. Baldé
L. Ajorque7.519L. Ajorque
D. Greif6.91D. Greif
Z. Athekame6.313Z. Athekame
R. Kluivert6.421R. Kluivert
M. Niakhaté6.619M. Niakhaté
N. Tagliafico6.73N. Tagliafico
N. Nartey6.699N. Nartey
T. Tessmann7.06T. Tessmann
C. Tolisso6.88C. Tolisso
K. Boudache5.926K. Boudache
K. Merah6.518K. Merah
Keito Nakamura6.511K. Nakamura

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

18J. Bourgault
6M. Diambou73'for Kamory Doumbia6.7
21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante
9P. Mboup66'for Mama Baldé6.5
39D. N´Guessan
7J. Nonge Boende
30M. Patouillet
10G. Versini67'for Noah Edjouma6.5
20L. Zogbe

Lyon Substitutes

24J. Duranville78'for Keito Nakamura6.3
32Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez79'for Khalis Merah6.2
85N. Kamara
22Clinton Mata
7E. Nuamah67'for Kail Boudache6.1
40R. Descamps
2M. Bidstrup58'for Noah Teye Nartey6.0
20F. Bacher
16Abner67'for Nicolás Tagliafico6.4

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29Lyon
31%Ball Possession69%
1Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
14Fouls10
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
313Total Passes664
250Passes Accurate588
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
LyonLyon
1733Elo Rating 1835
1.93Attack 1.01
1.90Defense 1.70
44%Hit Rate 37%
12.0Shots per Game 12.3
4.8Shots on Target 4.1
2.7Corners per Game 4.9
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LyonLyon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293Wins · 30%
Draws330%
LyonLyon4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 118/01/2026
LyonStade Brestois 29
21
Ligue 102/11/2025
Stade Brestois 29Lyon
00
Ligue 102/03/2025
LyonStade Brestois 29
21
Ligue 111/01/2025
Stade Brestois 29Lyon
21
Ligue 114/04/2024
LyonStade Brestois 29
43
Ligue 123/09/2023
Stade Brestois 29Lyon
10
Ligue 101/02/2023
LyonStade Brestois 29
00
Ligue 128/12/2022
Stade Brestois 29Lyon
24
Ligue 120/04/2022
Stade Brestois 29Lyon
21
Ligue 107/08/2021
LyonStade Brestois 29
11

Referee Profile

Jeremy Stinat150 matches

3.95Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremy Stinat3.95
Other referees3.90

3.95 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lyon are 5th and Stade Brestois 29 9th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Stade Brestois 29 18-12, Lyon 15-9. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.